The NKL clash on 7 November 2026 between Jurbarkas and Telsiai is a finely balanced affair, with no clear favourite as the two sides are almost evenly matched. Jurbarkas, 9-1 overall, averages 89.0 points while allowing 75.3, sits second in the league and has won three of its four home games, scoring 84.2 and conceding 74.2; its last five games include four wins and a narrow 72-79 loss to Silute. Telsiai, undefeated 11-0, posts 89.5 points per game and 71.6 points allowed, leads the standings, and has gone 5-0 on the road with 82.2 points scored and 73.4 allowed; its recent victories include 103-63 over Silute, 91-88 over Vytis VDU, and 100-76 over Kauno Atletas. Historically, Telsiai has dominated the nine meetings, winning eight times, most recently 74-71 on 7 February 2026. Pythia assigns a 48% chance to Jurbarkas and 52% to Telsiai, naming the latter the model favourite, and projects a final score of 81-82 with a total of 163.1 points. The home line of -1.5 gives Jurbarkas a 45% probability of covering, while the over/under of 163.5 carries a 48% chance of an over, and there is a 5% likelihood of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Jurbarkas can keep its offensive output high enough to counter Telsiai's flawless road record.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (10) | 89.0 | 75.3 | 164.3 | +13.7 | 90% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.2 | 74.2 | 158.5 | +10.0 | 75% |
| Season away (6) | 92.2 | 76.0 | 168.2 | +16.2 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.2 | 77.7 | 162.9 | +7.5 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.8 | 80.0 | 167.8 | +7.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 76.5 | 95.2 | 171.7 | -18.7 | 17% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 83.4 | 76.5 | 159.9 | +6.9 | 75% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 91.4 | 80.6 | 172.1 | +10.8 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 89.5 | 71.6 | 161.2 | +17.9 | 100% |
| Season at home (6) | 95.7 | 70.2 | 165.8 | +25.5 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 82.2 | 73.4 | 155.6 | +8.8 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.4 | 71.1 | 160.5 | +18.3 | 100% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.8 | 73.2 | 167.0 | +20.6 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 74.1 | 87.5 | 161.6 | -13.4 | 12% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 80.8 | 80.7 | 161.5 | +0.1 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 90.5 | 74.7 | 165.2 | +15.8 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 39.1 | 82.4 | +4.2 | 63% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 43.0 | 38.3 | 81.3 | +4.7 | 64% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.5 | 39.8 | 83.3 | +3.7 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 37.3 | 79.8 | +5.2 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.4 | 40.0 | 83.4 | +3.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 38.5 | 47.5 | 86.0 | -9.0 | 17% | 83% |
| vs Similar ◀ (8) | 43.9 | 36.9 | 80.8 | +7.0 | 88% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (16) | 44.8 | 37.1 | 81.8 | +7.7 | 69% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 39.4 | 80.1 | +1.3 | 43% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.7 | 40.2 | 80.9 | +0.5 | 33% | 40% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 38.7 | 79.4 | +2.1 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.7 | 35.1 | 79.8 | +9.6 | 70% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | +18.0 | 100% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 37.0 | 44.8 | 81.8 | -7.8 | 12% | 50% |
| vs Similar ◀ (10) | 39.5 | 39.6 | 79.1 | -0.1 | 40% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 44.2 | 35.8 | 79.9 | +8.4 | 67% | 42% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telsiai +7.5 | 75.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Jurbarkas under 88.5 | 75.8% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Jurbarkas under 87.5 | 72.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Telsiai +6.5 | 72.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Telsiai over 75.5 | 72.9% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | - |
| Telsiai under 87.5 | 71.0% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.4 | 20.7 | 54.5% | 41.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.7 | 9.2 | 31.3% | 27.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.3 | 14.7 | 67.1% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.7 | 23.4 | 54.5% | 46.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.4 | 9.0 | 31.3% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 14.4 | 67.1% | 14.4 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 | Telsiai v Jurbarkas | 74-71 |
| 29/11/25 | Jurbarkas v Telsiai | 74-88 |
| 27/02/25 | Telsiai v Jurbarkas | 73-62 |
| 25/01/25 | Jurbarkas v Telsiai | 100-97 OT |
| 03/10/24 | Telsiai v Jurbarkas | 85-67 |
| 10/02/24 | Jurbarkas v Telsiai | 83-89 |
| 08/02/24 | Telsiai v Jurbarkas | 95-85 |
| 16/12/23 | Telsiai v Jurbarkas | 111-78 |
| 28/10/23 | Jurbarkas v Telsiai | 80-82 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Omega-Tauras | 97-86 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Taurage | 91-77 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Silute | 72-79 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Kretinga | 86-79 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Zalgiris Kaunas 2 | 93-79 |
| 20/10/26 | H | Nevezis | 69-93 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Kedainiai BC | 81-72 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Rytas 2 | 84-72 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Mazeikiai | 91-62 |
| 08/10/26 | H | BC Olimpas Palanga | 88-78 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Silute | 103-63 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Vytis VDU | 91-88 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Kauno Atletas | 100-76 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Suduva-Mantinga | 71-69 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ukmerges Stekas | 104-70 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Vilkaviskis | 94-70 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Neptunas 2 | 85-72 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Kedainiai BC | 73-61 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Mazeikiai | 83-72 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Plunges Olimpas | 90-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 90% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 4 | 6 |
| Win % | 90% | 75% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.0 | 84.2 | 92.2 |
| Allowed / game | 75.3 | 74.2 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +13.7 | +10.0 | +16.2 |
| Avg total | 164.3 | 158.5 | 168.2 |
| Over 163.5 | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 89.5 | 95.7 | 82.2 |
| Allowed / game | 71.6 | 70.2 | 73.4 |
| Point differential | +17.9 | +25.5 | +8.8 |
| Avg total | 161.2 | 165.8 | 155.6 |
| Over 163.5 | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Win by 10+ | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 89.5 | 71.6 | +17.9 | |
| 2 | Jurbarkas | 10 | 9 | 1 | 90% | 89.0 | 75.3 | +13.7 |
| 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 82% | 93.6 | 81.1 | +12.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 92.9 | 79.4 | +13.5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 82.2 | 80.5 | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 96.2 | 89.6 | +6.7 | |
| 7 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 64% | 77.7 | 75.1 | +2.6 | |
| 8 | Omega-Tauras | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 86.9 | 83.7 | +3.2 |
| 9 | Plunges Olimpas | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 80.9 | 78.9 | +2.0 |
| 10 | Alytaus Patriotai | 11 | 6 | 5 | 55% | 86.2 | 87.1 | -0.9 |
| 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 95.6 | 96.5 | -0.8 | |
| 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45% | 82.8 | 85.7 | -2.9 | |
| 13 | Kedainiai BC | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 75.8 | 83.5 | -7.6 |
| 14 | Ukmerges Stekas | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27% | 79.5 | 91.0 | -11.5 |
| 15 | Kretinga | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 80.3 | 89.2 | -8.9 |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 18% | 76.5 | 87.8 | -11.3 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 10% | 77.6 | 93.6 | -16.0 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0% | 76.5 | 88.0 | -11.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurbarkas | 27 | 32 | 21 | 22 | 102 |
| 25 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 101 |
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