Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 63-90

22-26 10-19 19-20 12-25

Position#13

Record13-24

FormWWLLL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game83.5

Kretinga

Ukmerges Stekas 🏆

Position#7

Record17-20

FormWLWLW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.8

NKL

Other2022-23

Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ukmerges Stekas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kretinga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas 2

74-94

-20

A28/01

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

85-77

H02/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

75-94

-19

A04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

75-90

-15

A11/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

61-93

-32

A16/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

91-73

+18

H18/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

79-66

+13

A23/02

NKL

Rytas 2

79-97

-18

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

74-89

-15

H04/03

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

77-92

-15

A09/03

NKL

16-18

19-24

22-30

17-22

25-15

21-18

20-20

19-24

19-26

18-18

16-27

22-23

12-32

24-19

23-23

16-16

7-16

13-28

25-22

16-27

19-19

23-26

24-18

25-10

22-13

22-17

14-16

21-20

26-24

18-28

22-16

13-29

25-16

13-27

16-24

20-22

23-24

16-29

20-21

18-18

163.5Avg total

77.0Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	78.8	83.5	162.2	-4.7	35%
Season at home (18)	79.8	86.3	166.2	-6.5	22%
Season away (19)	77.7	80.8	158.5	-3.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	86.5	163.5	-9.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	83.4	163.4	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	75.1	86.0	161.1	-10.9	27%
vs Similar (12)	79.6	84.7	164.2	-5.1	25%
vs Weaker (3)	81.0	78.7	159.7	+2.3	67%

This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ukmerges Stekas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palangos Kursiai

#12

81-64

+17

A28/01

NKL

Kretinga

#13

94-75

+19

H04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

89-67

+22

H09/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

64-80

-16

A11/02

NKL

Rytas 2

83-93

-10

A16/02

NKL

Rytas 2

101-81

101

+20

H18/02

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

89-90 OT

-1

A23/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

79-72

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

67-76

-9

A02/03

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

88-84

H04/03

NKL

17-17

22-21

20-6

22-20

26-19

18-18

27-16

23-22

16-17

25-8

25-22

23-20

10-24

15-18

20-24

19-14

21-26

23-20

16-26

23-21

25-25

32-19

23-23

21-14

26-16

14-16

25-25

9-17

23-17

15-20

18-18

16-20

19-22

10-10

22-24

21-25

13-15

20-30

34-14

161.7Avg total

83.5Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	79.3	76.8	156.1	+2.4	46%
Season at home (19)	85.3	79.6	164.9	+5.6	53%
Season away (18)	72.9	73.9	146.8	-0.9	39%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	78.2	161.7	+5.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	80.6	165.4	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	80.7	84.7	165.3	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	77.9	82.4	160.3	-4.6	14%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.8	75.3	158.2	+7.5	65%

This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KretingaUkmerges Stekas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	22.5	40.7	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	18.9	37.2	-0.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	24.7	43.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.7	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.4	42.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.4	43.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.3	21.5	38.7	-4.2	20%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.2	23.8	43.0	-4.7	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	17.8	35.7	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.3	18.7	43.0	+5.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	19.1	35.9	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	16.8	37.7	+4.2	70%	-

KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas 2

35-42

-7

A28/01

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

46-33

+13

H02/02

NKL

Ukmerges Stekas

37-44

-7

A04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

36-51

-15

A11/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

20-44

-24

A16/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

42-45

-3

H18/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

44-30

+14

A23/02

NKL

Rytas 2

44-52

-8

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

38-43

-5

H04/03

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

39-53

-14

A09/03

NKL

81.8Avg total

38.1Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	43.8	81.2	-6.3	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	46.4	84.3	-8.4	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.0	41.5	78.5	-4.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.7	81.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	44.6	86.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.5	43.9	79.5	-8.4	13%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.7	44.2	82.9	-5.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	67%	-

This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Palangos Kursiai

#12

39-38

A28/01

NKL

Kretinga

#13

44-37

H04/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

41-25

+16

H09/02

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

25-42

-17

A11/02

NKL

Rytas 2

44-46

-2

A16/02

NKL

Rytas 2

57-44

+13

H18/02

NKL

Neptunas 2

#14

40-32

A23/02

NKL

Palangos Kursiai

#12

46-34

+12

H25/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

35-42

-7

A02/03

NKL

Vilkaviskis

#11

34-40

-6

H04/03

NKL

78.5Avg total

40.5Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.6	38.4	81.9	+5.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.1	36.8	72.8	-0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.0	78.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	38.4	80.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	43.3	86.3	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.4	39.1	74.6	-3.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.6	36.3	77.9	+5.4	80%	-

This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.7	41.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.8	18.9	39.8	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	21.7	41.3	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	24.1	43.7	-4.6	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.7	40.2	-1.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.8	39.7	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.1	27%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	16.0	35.3	+3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	18.6	40.3	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	18.5	37.7	+0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	17.0	38.3	+4.3	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.6	18.9	39.5	+1.7	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.0	81.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	40.2	78.9	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	42.8	81.7	-3.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	38.8	77.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.9	40.4	81.3	+0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.0	37.7	76.7	+1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.2	79.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	40.8	82.7	+1.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	37.2	75.3	+1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	39.0	78.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	41.3	79.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.9	41.1	82.0	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.5	38.2	78.7	+2.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kretinga wins

Ukmerges Stekas wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/23	Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga	94-75
22/12/22	Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga	74-90
26/11/22	Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas	72-85

Kretingalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/23	A	Neptunas 2	77-92
04/03/23	H	Delikatesas Joniskis	74-89
25/02/23	H	Rytas 2	79-97
23/02/23	A	Palangos Kursiai	79-66
18/02/23	H	Vilkaviskis	91-73
16/02/23	A	Vilkaviskis	61-93
11/02/23	A	Delikatesas Joniskis	75-90
04/02/23	A	Ukmerges Stekas	75-94
02/02/23	H	Neptunas 2	85-77
28/01/23	A	Rytas 2	74-94

Ukmerges Stekaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/23	H	Vilkaviskis	88-84
02/03/23	A	Delikatesas Joniskis	67-76
25/02/23	H	Palangos Kursiai	79-72
23/02/23	A	Neptunas 2	89-90 OT
18/02/23	H	Rytas 2	101-81
16/02/23	A	Rytas 2	83-93
11/02/23	A	Vilkaviskis	64-80
09/02/23	H	Delikatesas Joniskis	89-67
04/02/23	H	Kretinga	94-75
28/01/23	A	Palangos Kursiai	81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga

NKL 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	35%
Home	LWWLL	22%
Away	LLLWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	18	19
Win %	35%	22%	47%
Points / game	78.8	79.8	77.7
Allowed / game	83.5	86.3	80.8
Point differential	-4.7	-6.5	-3.1
Avg total	162.2	166.2	158.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	11%	42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Ukmerges Stekas

NKL 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	46%
Home	WWWWW	53%
Away	WLLLL	39%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	46%	53%	39%
Points / game	79.3	85.3	72.9
Allowed / game	76.8	79.6	73.9
Point differential	+2.4	+5.6	-0.9
Avg total	156.1	164.9	146.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	42%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (12)	17% (6)	33% (6)
Overtime %	5%	5%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Suduva-Mantinga	37	31	6	84%	83.5	70.2	+13.4
2	Telsiai	38	28	10	74%	81.5	73.0	+8.5
3	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	37	26	11	70%	75.9	70.3	+5.6
4	Mazeikiai	37	22	15	59%	76.2	75.5	+0.6
5	Vytis VDU	37	21	16	57%	80.2	77.7	+2.6
6	Ukmerges Stekas	37	17	20	46%	79.3	76.8	+2.4
7	Silute	37	17	20	46%	73.6	78.2	-4.6
8	Rytas 2	38	17	21	45%	82.8	84.5	-1.7
9	Vilkaviskis	37	16	21	43%	79.6	79.9	-0.4
10	Delikatesas Joniskis	37	16	21	43%	78.6	81.7	-3.0
11	Palangos Kursiai	37	14	23	38%	75.8	78.8	-3.1
12	Kauno Atletas	37	14	23	38%	73.9	78.2	-4.2
13	Kretinga	37	13	24	35%	78.8	83.5	-4.7
14	Neptunas 2	37	8	29	22%	71.2	82.7	-11.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kretinga	22	10	19	12	63
Ukmerges Stekas	26	19	20	25	90

← all games of the day

Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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