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Jurbarkas vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-77
27-9 19-21 14-29 20-18
Position#5
Record6-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#16
Record3-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game91.5
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Ukmerges Stekas
19 Nov 2026
JURB v UKME
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
JURB80
UKME77
02 Nov 2024
JURB77
UKME65
12 Oct 2023
JURB70
UKME73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
50avg 72
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
80avg 72
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
65avg 72
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
53-98
53
98
-45
37avg 72
A23/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
76-70
76
70
+6
77avg 72
A25/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
83-66
83
66
+17
86avg 72
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
69-62
69
62
+7
58avg 72
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
68-71 OT
68
71
-3
60avg 72
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
83avg 72
A13/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-15
23-19
14-20
16-27
12-24
19-16
22-22
20-24
26-21
11-13
24-7
12-16
19-16
17-24
20-20
16-30
15-20
8-22
14-26
16-21
24-10
17-21
19-18
22-16
19-12
19-20
23-18
15-18
26-13
14-19
14-12
17-14
8-9
14-12
19-23
12-20
23-12
24-16
13-24
148.2Avg total
73.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.276.5151.7-1.455%
Season at home (4)74.871.5146.2+3.250%
Season away (7)75.479.4154.9-4.057%
Last 10 (10)73.474.8148.2-1.460%
Last 5 (5)76.669.4146.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
vs Similar (20)76.278.2154.4-2.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.369.7149.0+9.686%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
49avg 73
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 73
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
80avg 73
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 73
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
84-116
84
116
-32
64avg 73
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 73
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
74-94
74
94
-20
65avg 73
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 73
H13/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
15-17
11-19
23-17
19-21
22-19
7-28
22-23
22-23
17-30
19-28
36-24
30-16
21-31
19-25
18-10
23-17
22-20
31-25
22-28
14-19
29-25
21-17
25-26
18-26
23-22
19-37
24-31
23-25
13-23
19-20
26-17
24-24
15-22
11-27
24-21
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
173.1Avg total
81.8Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.991.5172.5-10.627%
Season at home (7)80.788.6169.3-7.943%
Season away (4)81.296.8178.0-15.50%
Last 10 (10)81.891.3173.1-9.530%
Last 5 (5)80.492.8173.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.389.6168.9-10.225%
vs Similar (16)80.977.9158.9+3.062%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
JurbarkasUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A11/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A16/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H18/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A23/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H30/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H08/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/11
NKL
71.8Avg total
36.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.573.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.532.069.5+5.569%-
Last 30 away (17)35.940.075.9-4.141%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.771.8+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.429.065.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.735.368.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (20)36.737.173.8-0.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.035.373.3+2.757%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H11/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H18/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A30/10
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
86.4Avg total
40.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.084.3-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.482.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.946.085.9-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.986.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.447.486.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.646.286.8-5.725%-
vs Similar (16)40.441.181.6-0.750%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.4
51.0%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.5
26.6%
32.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.511.9
61.0%
69.3%11.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.122.6
50.1%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.0
26.5%
32.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
69.3%15.0
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWWWLLWLW
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLWWWLLL
#5
League position
#16
-2.3
Net rating
-11.6
93.7
Offensive rating
103.4
96.1
Defensive rating
115.0
46.8%
Effective FG%
46.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
21.4%
Turnover %
14.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.6%
3-point %
26.5%
60.6%
Assist %
54.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 103.4Defence96.1 · 115.0Shooting46.8% · 46.3%3-point %26.6% · 26.5%Ball care21.4% · 14.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25AVilkaviskis87-78 OT
08/11/25HNeptunas 268-71 OT
06/11/25AVytis VDU69-62
30/10/25HPlunges Olimpas83-66
25/10/25AAlytaus Alytus76-70
23/10/25ARytas 253-98
18/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga68-76
16/10/25AKretinga81-65
11/10/25ASilute69-89
04/10/25HMazeikiai80-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
08/11/25HOmega-Tauras74-94
06/11/25ATelsiai81-85
30/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas 284-116
25/10/25HPlunges Olimpas89-87
23/10/25HSilute98-90
18/10/25HMazeikiai88-82
16/10/25AKedainiu SC94-105
11/10/25HNeptunas 270-91
09/10/25AVytis VDU66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game75.274.875.4
Allowed / game76.571.579.4
Point differential-1.4+3.2-4.0
Avg total151.7146.2154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %18%25%14%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %27%43%0%
Points / game80.980.781.2
Allowed / game91.588.696.8
Point differential-10.6-7.9-15.5
Avg total172.5169.3178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1110191%94.984.5+10.4
2 Suduva-Mantinga118373%86.378.1+8.2
3 Vytis VDU107370%82.878.4+4.4
4 Telsiai128467%84.883.2+1.5
5 Omega-Tauras117464%92.086.6+5.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2117464%87.684.6+3.0
7 Mazeikiai116555%83.281.5+1.7
8 Jurbarkas116555%75.276.5-1.4
9 Vilkaviskis126650%85.382.1+3.2
10 Neptunas 2126650%77.778.9-1.2
11 Rytas 2136746%81.880.8+1.0
12 Silute125742%85.587.0-1.5
13 Kretinga114736%83.085.0-2.0
14 BC Olimpas Palanga134931%78.886.8-7.9
15 Ukmerges Stekas113827%80.991.5-10.6
16 Plunges Olimpas123925%81.286.8-5.7
17 Alytaus Alytus1221017%78.484.3-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2719142080
Ukmerges Stekas921291877
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