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Baylor vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 71-82
34-34 37-48
Position#200
Record13-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game75.9
Baylor
USA
vs
Louisville 🏆
USA
Position#53
Record18-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Baylor v Louisville
23 Jan 2027
BAYL v LOUI
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BAYL71
LOUI82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
63-53
63
53
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
29-44
57-39
37-40
37-43
25-37
36-55
37-37
38-38
52-59
28-35
29-32
38-30
25-23
45-21
41-46
33-37
36-35
41-41
53-58
152.6Avg total
74.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.975.9159.8+8.054%
Season at home (16)90.277.6167.8+12.662%
Season away (8)71.272.4143.6-1.138%
Last 10 (10)74.378.3152.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)73.871.6145.4+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)64.274.8139.0-10.70%
vs Similar (14)80.877.9158.6+2.950%
vs Weaker (10)90.469.8160.2+20.690%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
100-59
100
59
+41
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
52-83
52
83
-31
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-38
26-46
30-34
45-28
28-33
42-46
53-22
47-37
37-22
48-49
28-38
24-45
44-47
44-27
38-32
38-33
43-34
45-46
56-36
62-41
155.9Avg total
82.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.170.9158.0+16.275%
Season at home (16)91.868.4160.1+23.488%
Season away (8)77.876.0153.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)82.573.4155.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)84.475.8160.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.380.0142.3-17.70%
vs Similar (5)72.682.6155.2-10.020%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.067.0157.0+23.195%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -4.7-4.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
BaylorLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H10/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A14/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H21/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H05/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H11/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
37.9Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.234.776.9+7.567%-
Last 30 away (12)35.937.773.6-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.275.1+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.236.766.8-6.517%-
vs Similar (14)37.436.674.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (10)48.734.483.1+14.380%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H07/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
53-22
53
22
+31
A18/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A27/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H10/02
NCAA
74.0Avg total
40.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.032.273.2+8.867%-
Last 30 at home (21)43.031.374.2+11.776%-
Last 30 away (9)36.434.370.8+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.433.674.0+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.736.374.0+1.367%-
vs Similar (5)30.238.268.4-8.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.930.374.2+13.677%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baylor wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26HBrigham Young94-99
07/02/26AIowa State69-72
05/02/26HColorado86-67
31/01/26AWest Virginia63-53
28/01/26ACincinnati57-67
24/01/26HTCU90-97
21/01/26HTexas Tech73-92
17/01/26AKansas62-80
14/01/26AOklahoma State94-79
10/01/26HHouston55-77
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26HNC State118-77
07/02/26AWake Forest88-80
05/02/26HNotre Dame76-65
31/01/26HSMU Mustangs88-74
27/01/26ADuke52-83
24/01/26HVirginia Tech85-71
18/01/26APittsburgh100-59
14/01/26HVirginia70-79
10/01/26HBoston College75-62
07/01/26HDuke73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeLLLWL62%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %54%62%38%
Points / game83.990.271.2
Allowed / game75.977.672.4
Point differential+8.0+12.6-1.1
Avg total159.8167.8143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %75%88%50%
Points / game87.191.877.8
Allowed / game70.968.476.0
Point differential+16.2+23.4+1.8
Avg total158.0160.1153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2423196%88.868.2+20.6
2 Houston2422292%78.361.2+17.1
3 Iowa State2521484%83.665.2+18.4
4 Kansas2519676%77.168.0+9.1
5 Brigham Young2418675%86.374.0+12.3
6 Texas Tech2418675%82.272.2+9.9
7 UCF Knights2317674%82.477.8+4.6
8 TCU2516964%78.972.1+6.8
9 Oklahoma State2516964%84.781.3+3.4
10 West Virginia2415962%70.063.6+6.3
11 Colorado25141156%79.878.1+1.7
12 Baylor24131154%83.975.9+8.0
13 Cincinnati25131252%72.467.0+5.4
14 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
15 Kansas State24101442%80.980.8+0.1
16 Utah Utes2491538%76.880.0-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2523292%82.263.1+19.1
2 Virginia2521484%80.869.0+11.8
3 North Carolina2520580%81.870.4+11.4
4 Miami (FL)2419579%83.869.8+14.0
5 Clemson2620677%74.864.7+10.1
6 Louisville2418675%87.170.9+16.2
7 NC State2518772%85.374.3+11.0
8 California2618869%79.073.0+6.0
9 SMU Mustangs2517868%86.277.6+8.6
10 Virginia Tech2617965%79.274.7+4.4
11 Stanford2516964%75.972.7+3.2
12 Syracuse26151158%76.572.2+4.3
13 Wake Forest24121250%80.277.6+2.6
14 Florida State25121348%80.478.4+2.0
15 Notre Dame26121446%74.773.4+1.2
16 Georgia Tech26111542%74.576.3-1.8
17 Boston College2591636%67.469.3-1.9
18 Pittsburgh2691735%69.971.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor343771
Louisville344882
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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