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Kansas State vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 62-91
31-53 31-38
Position#292
Record10-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.3
Kansas State
USA
vs
Cincinnati 🏆
USA
Position#161
Record12-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kansas State v Cincinnati
11 Feb 2026
KANS62
CINC91
30 Dec 2024
KANS70
CINC67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#76
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
61-95
61
95
-34
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-45
38-38
36-51
40-50
38-36
46-51
28-42
45-40
43-48
40-36
46-43
35-35
35-37
27-49
22-28
32-31
21-50
40-45
46-42
36-42
156.8Avg total
72.9Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.780.3162.0+1.343%
Season at home (15)84.279.0163.2+5.260%
Season away (8)77.082.9159.9-5.912%
Last 10 (10)72.983.9156.8-11.010%
Last 5 (5)68.080.4148.4-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.982.9153.9-12.013%
vs Similar (13)80.571.5152.0+8.969%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A07/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H15/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A31/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H06/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
32-31
32-33
40-40
43-25
34-43
35-31
44-39
27-33
24-44
33-37
35-45
35-28
32-29
20-32
34-44
30-20
24-39
40-28
52-44
137.0Avg total
67.4Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.667.2138.9+4.450%
Season at home (16)75.663.3138.9+12.375%
Season away (8)63.675.1138.8-11.50%
Last 10 (10)67.469.6137.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)67.069.2136.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.674.6136.2-13.012%
vs Similar (10)69.163.6132.7+5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.266.4143.7+10.867%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -4.7-4.7
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -7.2-7.21st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: -4.7-4.7
Kansas StateCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#76
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H21/01
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H25/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
21-50
21
50
-29
H01/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/02
NCAA
77.2Avg total
35.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.073.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.435.874.2+2.553%-
Last 30 away (11)34.439.073.4-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.042.277.2-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.074.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.940.473.3-7.520%-
vs Similar (13)39.534.473.8+5.162%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#147
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/01
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H15/01
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A25/01
NCAA
Baylor
#200
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A31/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/02
NCAA
62.1Avg total
32.3Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.564.1+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.327.763.9+8.689%-
Last 30 away (12)29.634.864.4-5.38%-
Last 10 (10)32.329.862.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.060.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.132.461.5-3.238%-
vs Similar (10)32.427.660.0+4.870%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.631.869.3+5.858%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kansas State wins
1
Cincinnati wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Cincinnati v Kansas State49-54
31/12/24Kansas State v Cincinnati70-67
03/03/24Cincinnati v Kansas State74-72
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ATCU82-84
01/02/26HIowa State61-95
28/01/26AWest Virginia54-59
25/01/26HKansas62-86
21/01/26HUtah Utes81-78
18/01/26AOklahoma State83-84
15/01/26HUCF Knights73-82
10/01/26AArizona State84-87
08/01/26AArizona76-101
03/01/26HBrigham Young73-83
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HUCF Knights92-72
06/02/26HWest Virginia54-59
31/01/26AHouston54-76
28/01/26HBaylor67-57
25/01/26AArizona State68-82
22/01/26AArizona51-77
17/01/26HIowa State79-70
15/01/26HColorado77-68
11/01/26AUCF Knights72-73
07/01/26AWest Virginia60-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeLLWLL60%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %43%60%12%
Points / game81.784.277.0
Allowed / game80.379.082.9
Point differential+1.3+5.2-5.9
Avg total162.0163.2159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)100% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game71.675.663.6
Allowed / game67.263.375.1
Point differential+4.4+12.3-11.5
Avg total138.9138.9138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona2423196%88.868.2+20.6
2 Houston2422292%78.361.2+17.1
3 Iowa State2420483%84.065.5+18.4
4 Kansas2419579%78.067.8+10.2
5 Brigham Young2418675%86.374.0+12.3
6 Texas Tech2418675%82.272.2+9.9
7 UCF Knights2317674%82.477.8+4.6
8 Oklahoma State2416867%84.480.8+3.7
9 TCU2415962%78.271.2+7.0
10 West Virginia2415962%70.063.6+6.3
11 Colorado25141156%79.878.1+1.7
12 Baylor24131154%83.975.9+8.0
13 Arizona State25131252%78.779.2-0.4
14 Cincinnati24121250%71.667.2+4.4
15 Kansas State23101343%81.780.3+1.3
16 Utah Utes2491538%76.880.0-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State313162
Cincinnati533891
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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