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Kansas State vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-82
28-42 45-40
Position#292
Record9-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#92
Record13-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kansas State v UCF Knights
14 Jan 2026
KANS73
UCF 82
06 Jan 2024
KANS77
UCF 52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H06/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-49
108
49
+59
H09/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A13/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H20/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-39
42-47
35-49
31-33
29-35
38-43
55-21
53-28
51-33
32-43
57-34
49-42
46-36
48-49
35-45
38-38
36-51
40-50
38-36
46-51
162.9Avg total
82.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.480.0166.4+6.456%
Season at home (11)89.676.7166.4+12.973%
Season away (5)79.487.2166.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)82.680.3162.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)86.686.4173.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.680.1153.8-6.536%
vs Similar (13)78.670.2148.8+8.569%
vs Weaker (3)95.763.7159.3+32.0100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
39-31
47-52
55-39
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
32-41
44-46
33-32
40-40
157.8Avg total
84.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.075.5161.5+10.587%
Season at home (13)86.874.8161.5+12.092%
Season away (2)81.080.5161.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)84.573.3157.8+11.290%
Last 5 (5)83.478.8162.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.683.9164.5-3.327%
vs Similar (17)83.377.2160.5+6.176%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)89.558.5148.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +8.4+8.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +8.4+8.4
Kansas StateUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana
#145
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H02/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
55-21
55
21
+34
H09/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A13/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H20/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H28/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H03/01
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A10/01
NCAA
78.8Avg total
40.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.972.1+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.233.273.3+7.067%-
Last 30 away (12)32.837.570.2-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.978.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.482.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.239.173.3-4.936%-
vs Similar (13)37.832.370.1+5.562%-
vs Weaker (3)48.726.775.3+22.0100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/01
NCAA
77.8Avg total
40.3Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.975.7-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (20)39.235.774.9+3.565%-
Last 30 away (10)34.842.477.2-7.610%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.577.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.278.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.938.573.5-3.636%-
vs Similar (17)38.538.977.5-0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)46.526.072.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kansas State wins
1
UCF Knights wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25UCF Knights v Kansas State80-76
06/01/24Kansas State v UCF Knights77-52
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AArizona State84-87
08/01/26AArizona76-101
03/01/26HBrigham Young73-83
28/12/25HLouisiana Monroe94-85
20/12/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes106-76
13/12/25ACreighton83-76
09/12/25HMiss. Valley St.108-49
06/12/25HSeton Hall67-78
02/12/25HBowling Green66-82
26/11/25AIndiana69-86
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HCincinnati73-72
07/01/26AOklahoma State76-87
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57
26/11/25HQuinnipiac102-91
21/11/25HPittsburgh77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %56%73%20%
Points / game86.489.679.4
Allowed / game80.076.787.2
Point differential+6.4+12.9-7.8
Avg total166.4166.4166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %87%92%50%
Points / game86.086.881.0
Allowed / game75.574.880.5
Point differential+10.5+12.0+0.5
Avg total161.5161.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%54%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona16160100%91.168.0+23.1
2 Houston1716194%77.259.3+17.9
3 Brigham Young1615194%88.268.7+19.6
4 Iowa State1715288%85.665.1+20.5
5 UCF Knights1513287%86.075.5+10.5
6 Oklahoma State1713476%88.480.8+7.6
7 Texas Tech1612475%83.173.2+9.9
8 Kansas1712571%77.967.8+10.1
9 Colorado1712571%84.577.5+6.9
10 Baylor1611569%88.774.6+14.1
11 TCU1611569%80.468.4+12.0
12 West Virginia1711665%73.263.2+10.1
13 Arizona State1610662%80.878.8+1.9
14 Kansas State169756%86.480.0+6.4
15 Cincinnati179853%73.865.9+7.8
16 Utah Utes168850%80.680.7-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kansas State284573
UCF Knights424082
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