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Kansas vs UNLV Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Projected 89-67
Projected total 155.7
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game59.7
Kansas
USA
Vs
97%
■ KANS 97%■ UNLV 3%
Pythia win probability
UNLV
USA
Position#81
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Kansas faces UNLV in the NCAA on 17 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating Kansas as the clear favourite at 97% versus 3% for UNLV, a reflection of Kansas' perfect 3-0 season record, 91.0 points per game and 59.7 allowed per game, placing them 19th in the league, compared to UNLV's 2-0 record, 88.5 points per game and 78.0 allowed per game, 90th in the league. Kansas has won both of its home games, averaging 92.0 points and allowing 55.0, and has gone 4-1 in its last five games, highlighted by a 95-65 home win over Fordham, a 89-45 win over Middle Tenn. St. and an 89-69 away win over Kentucky; UNLV has gone 3-2 in its last five, with wins over Samford and Northern Arizona at home and a recent 60-80 loss to Utah State away. Head-to-head history is not recorded. Pythia projects a 89-67 score, 155.7 total points, a 1% overtime probability, and a 97% chance that Kansas will cover the home spread. The game will conclude with Kansas winning comfortably, as the model's projections suggest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas win
97.0%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV win
3.0%fair 32.81
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A28/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
104-85
104
85
+19
H07/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
47-69
47
69
-22
A14/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H22/03
NCAA
Fordham
#125
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H03/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#127
W
89-45
89
45
+44
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#126
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
33-45
20-40
40-30
46-33
58-52
31-34
47-39
25-33
22-36
38-18
30-42
26-34
39-33
43-31
52-34
36-14
53-31
46-36
43-33
144.3Avg total
75.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.059.7150.7+31.3100%
Season at home (2)92.055.0147.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.668.7144.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)81.261.2142.4+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.069.3134.3-4.343%
vs Similar (14)77.671.6149.2+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.365.9149.2+17.489%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#374
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#276
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#117
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
57-35
24-42
43-38
35-37
39-37
32-24
60-41
39-42
47-47
44-31
29-39
23-37
37-43
43-47
46-30
45-40
43-39
39-33
37-35
156.4Avg total
80.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season at home (3)84.374.7159.0+9.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.775.7156.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)77.274.8152.0+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.981.5155.4-7.625%
vs Similar (10)80.682.0162.6-1.470%
vs Weaker (8)80.965.6146.5+15.288%
This opponent (Kansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5
Over 148.5
67.1%
Under 148.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
55.2%
Under 153.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
42.8%
Under 158.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kansas total 83.5
Over 83.5
71.1%
Under 83.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kansas total 87.5
Over 87.5
56.0%
Under 87.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kansas total 91.5
Over 91.5
40.0%
Under 91.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNLV total 62
Over 62
68.4%
Under 62
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNLV total 66
Over 66
52.5%
Under 66
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNLV total 70
Over 70
36.1%
Under 70
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kansas -3
KANS -3
95.6%
UNLV +3
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
KANS
No market prices yet.
UNLV
No market prices yet.
Spread Kansas 0
KANS 0
97.0%
UNLV 0
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
KANS
No market prices yet.
UNLV
No market prices yet.
Spread Kansas +3
KANS +3
98.1%
UNLV -3
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
KANS
No market prices yet.
UNLV
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +5.4+5.4
KansasUNLV
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A28/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/03
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A14/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H21/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H22/03
NCAA
Fordham
#125
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H03/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#127
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#126
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
33.9Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.369.4+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.830.168.9+8.878%-
Last 30 away (12)34.335.870.1-1.450%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.265.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.826.664.4+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.933.366.1-0.443%-
vs Similar (14)38.032.170.1+5.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.831.970.7+6.989%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H11/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A12/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#374
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H04/11
NCAA
Samford
#276
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Stanford
#117
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H14/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.973.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)33.839.072.8-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.472.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.838.070.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (10)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
vs Weaker (8)41.232.874.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Kansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kansas wins
0
UNLV wins
No previous meetings.
Kansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AKentucky89-69
07/11/26HMiddle Tenn. St.89-45
03/11/26HFordham95-65
22/03/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)65-67
21/03/26HCalifornia Baptist68-60
14/03/26AHouston47-69
13/03/26HTCU78-73
07/03/26HKansas State104-85
04/03/26AArizona State60-70
28/02/26AArizona61-84
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HStanford76-68
07/11/26HSamford88-79
04/11/26HNorthern Arizona89-77
12/03/26AUtah State60-80
11/03/26HWyoming73-70
07/03/26ASan Diego State86-89
04/03/26HUtah State92-65
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.092.089.0
Allowed / game59.755.069.0
Point differential+31.3+37.0+20.0
Avg total150.7147.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.384.3-
Allowed / game74.774.7-
Point differential+9.7+9.7-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
6 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
7 Texas Tech330100%78.759.3+19.3
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
11 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
12 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
13 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
14 Cincinnati32167%73.760.0+13.7
15 Colorado32167%81.070.3+10.7
16 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 New Mexico330100%96.064.7+31.3
4 Grand Canyon330100%100.377.0+23.3
5 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
6 Colorado State330100%83.070.7+12.3
7 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Wyoming32167%83.762.0+21.7
10 Nevada32167%81.773.3+8.3
11 Fresno State32167%82.784.0-1.3
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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