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San Diego State vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 89-86
0-0 42-39 0-0 47-47
Position#70
Record19-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.0
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
UNLV
USA
Position#192
Record16-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v UNLV
05 Dec 2026
SAN v UNLV
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
SAN 89
UNLV86
18 Jan 2025
SAN 68
UNLV76
06 Jan 2024
SAN 72
UNLV61
11 Feb 2023
SAN 82
UNLV71
24 Jan 2022
SAN 80
UNLV55
22 Feb 2020
SAN 63
UNLV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-27
0-0
40-23
0-0
34-34
0-0
32-37
0-0
35-24
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-26
0-0
43-28
0-0
36-25
0-0
35-32
0-0
33-29
0-0
30-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-45
0-0
46-33
0-0
43-39
0-0
37-36
0-0
39-45
0-0
27-34
0-0
50-52
143.9Avg total
74.9Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.171.0150.1+8.166%
Season at home (16)83.669.2152.9+14.481%
Season away (13)73.573.2146.7+0.446%
Last 10 (10)74.969.0143.9+5.950%
Last 5 (5)75.879.0154.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.274.2140.4-8.040%
vs Similar (15)78.177.9155.9+0.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.061.5147.5+24.5100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H04/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-33
0-0
48-56
0-0
50-49
0-0
46-49
0-0
44-34
0-0
36-44
0-0
45-41
0-0
37-34
0-0
29-40
0-0
48-37
0-0
39-47
0-0
47-44
0-0
34-31
0-0
57-35
0-0
24-42
0-0
43-38
0-0
35-37
0-0
39-37
0-0
32-24
0-0
60-41
164.9Avg total
84.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.078.5158.5+1.653%
Season at home (16)82.575.7158.2+6.862%
Season away (14)77.281.6158.9-4.443%
Last 10 (10)84.180.8164.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)84.277.0161.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.781.4156.1-6.627%
vs Similar (12)86.884.7171.5+2.267%
vs Weaker (7)76.763.3140.0+13.471%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
San Diego StateUNLV
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A04/03
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.1Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.932.670.4+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.231.070.2+8.282%-
Last 30 away (13)36.134.670.7+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)35.130.665.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.067.6-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.634.469.0+0.240%-
vs Similar (15)35.333.268.5+2.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.330.774.0+12.6100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H04/03
NCAA
73.8Avg total
36.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.874.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.235.875.0+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.037.972.9-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.037.873.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.836.269.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.037.871.8-3.836%-
vs Similar (12)39.240.479.7-1.242%-
vs Weaker (7)38.928.967.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Diego State wins
3
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
24/01/26UNLV v San Diego State71-82
05/03/25UNLV v San Diego State74-67
19/01/25San Diego State v UNLV68-76
14/03/24UNLV v San Diego State71-74 OT
06/03/24UNLV v San Diego State62-58
06/01/24San Diego State v UNLV72-61
11/02/23San Diego State v UNLV82-71
31/12/22UNLV v San Diego State67-76
25/01/22San Diego State v UNLV80-55
01/01/22UNLV v San Diego State55-62
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ABoise State77-86
28/02/26ANew Mexico76-81
26/02/26HUtah State89-72
21/02/26AColorado State74-83
18/02/26HGrand Canyon63-73
15/02/26HNevada71-57
08/02/26AAir Force88-54
04/02/26HWyoming72-63
31/01/26AUtah State66-71
29/01/26HColorado State73-50
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HUtah State92-65
01/03/26HNevada85-83 OT
26/02/26AGrand Canyon67-80
21/02/26AAir Force91-66
19/02/26HColorado State86-91
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL66%
HomeWWWLW81%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %66%81%46%
Points / game79.183.673.5
Allowed / game71.069.273.2
Point differential+8.1+14.4+0.4
Avg total150.1152.9146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%62%43%
Points / game80.082.577.2
Allowed / game78.575.781.6
Point differential+1.6+6.8-4.4
Avg total158.5158.2158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %10%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3024680%82.770.5+12.2
2 New Mexico3022873%80.470.1+10.4
3 Colorado State30201067%77.171.2+6.0
4 San Diego State29191066%79.171.0+8.1
5 Grand Canyon30191163%75.268.4+6.7
6 Boise State30191163%78.373.3+5.0
7 Nevada30191163%75.972.4+3.6
8 Wyoming30171357%77.072.8+4.2
9 UNLV30161453%80.078.5+1.6
10 Fresno State30131743%73.672.6+1.0
11 San Jose State3082227%71.277.9-6.6
12 Air Force3032710%62.280.1-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Diego State04204789
UNLV03904786
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