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Air Force vs UNLV Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-91
0-0 31-34 0-0 35-57
Position#371
Record3-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game79.7
Air Force
USA
vs
UNLV 🏆
USA
Position#192
Record13-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v UNLV
21 Feb 2026
AIR 66
UNLV91
31 Dec 2024
AIR 58
UNLV77
21 Feb 2024
AIR 43
UNLV72
20 Jan 2022
AIR 69
UNLV62
09 Jan 2021
AIR v UNLV
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNLV winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
63-93
63
93
-30
A14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-27
0-0
41-43
0-0
29-40
0-0
37-41
0-0
21-38
0-0
31-43
0-0
29-48
0-0
25-48
0-0
39-44
0-0
23-35
0-0
18-48
0-0
39-33
0-0
26-45
0-0
28-43
0-0
39-47
0-0
35-44
0-0
33-45
0-0
30-48
0-0
33-55
0-0
28-43
146.3Avg total
60.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)61.479.7141.2-18.312%
Season at home (16)64.579.1143.6-14.619%
Season away (10)56.580.7137.2-24.20%
Last 10 (10)60.585.8146.3-25.30%
Last 5 (5)61.890.2152.0-28.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)61.080.0141.0-19.010%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
96-98
96
98
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-31
0-0
36-31
0-0
38-38
0-0
48-38
0-0
34-39
0-0
37-43
0-0
22-41
0-0
39-48
0-0
28-33
0-0
48-56
0-0
50-49
0-0
46-49
0-0
44-34
0-0
36-44
0-0
45-41
0-0
37-34
0-0
29-40
0-0
48-37
0-0
39-47
0-0
47-44
162.3Avg total
80.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.579.2158.7+0.250%
Season at home (14)81.675.9157.6+5.757%
Season away (12)76.983.1160.0-6.242%
Last 10 (10)80.082.3162.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)86.085.0171.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.880.7152.5-8.825%
vs Similar (11)87.084.8171.8+2.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)73.462.3135.7+11.171%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -14.9-14.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -10.4-10.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -14.9-14.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -10.4-10.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
Air ForceUNLV
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
18-48
18
48
-30
A04/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H08/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A18/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
28.8Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.339.267.5-10.913%-
Last 30 at home (17)29.539.268.6-9.712%-
Last 30 away (13)26.839.266.0-12.515%-
Last 10 (10)28.843.772.5-14.90%-
Last 5 (5)29.848.077.8-18.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)28.339.267.5-10.913%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H24/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-41
22
41
-19
H28/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H19/02
NCAA
76.2Avg total
36.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.873.9+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.335.774.0+2.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.638.173.7-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.376.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.283.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.838.373.1-3.625%-
vs Similar (11)39.640.780.4-1.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.028.065.0+9.086%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
8
UNLV wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26UNLV v Air Force67-39
12/03/25UNLV v Air Force68-59
12/02/25UNLV v Air Force77-52
31/12/24Air Force v UNLV58-77
22/02/24Air Force v UNLV43-72
24/01/24UNLV v Air Force58-90
08/03/23UNLV v Air Force78-70 OT
25/02/23UNLV v Air Force54-53
09/02/22UNLV v Air Force78-44
21/01/22Air Force v UNLV69-62
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26ANew Mexico61-98
14/02/26AFresno State63-93
11/02/26HColorado State74-91
08/02/26HSan Diego State54-88
04/02/26AGrand Canyon57-81
31/01/26HFresno State62-79
24/01/26ABoise State54-96
21/01/26AColorado State52-81
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HColorado State86-91
14/02/26ABoise State86-83 OT
11/02/26HSan Jose State82-75
07/02/26HGrand Canyon80-78
04/02/26AFresno State96-98
31/01/26ANevada76-89
28/01/26HNew Mexico61-89
24/01/26HSan Diego State71-82
21/01/26AUtah State86-76
17/01/26ASan Jose State76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %12%19%0%
Points / game61.464.556.5
Allowed / game79.779.180.7
Point differential-18.3-14.6-24.2
Avg total141.2143.6137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNLV
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game79.581.676.9
Allowed / game79.275.983.1
Point differential+0.2+5.7-6.2
Avg total158.7157.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2518772%79.169.5+9.6
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State26161062%76.570.9+5.6
7 Boise State26151158%78.474.6+3.8
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV26131350%79.579.2+0.2
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2671927%70.877.1-6.3
12 Air Force2632312%61.479.7-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Air Force03103566
UNLV03405791
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