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Shymkent vs Tobol Kostanay 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 112-68
26-17 31-18 32-22 23-11
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game91.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shymkent v Tobol Kostanay 2
13 Nov 2025
SHYM112
TOBO79
11 Nov 2025
SHYM112
TOBO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
86avg 76
A06/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
53-90
53
90
-37
29avg 76
H07/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 76
A08/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
96-45
96
45
+51
95avg 76
H09/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A10/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
100avg 76
A22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H23/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
102-55
102
55
+47
107avg 76
A24/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
93-66
93
66
+27
81avg 76
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
58avg 76
H26/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-16
17-26
28-13
8-25
16-13
5-33
24-19
22-26
23-19
20-18
14-21
29-14
22-12
33-11
12-8
–
–
–
–
30-16
19-17
32-12
23-25
28-17
28-12
24-21
16-14
34-15
21-14
29-11
18-15
27-22
22-20
27-11
17-13
21-19
15-27
15-13
17-21
142.3Avg total
80.2Scored
62.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.667.0159.6+25.680%
Season at home (3)85.770.0155.7+15.767%
Season away (2)103.062.5165.5+40.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.262.1142.3+18.170%
Last 5 (5)92.667.0159.6+25.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.576.5148.0-5.050%
vs Similar (5)73.277.0150.2-3.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)87.960.7148.6+27.2100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Kazygurt
#4
L
57-75
57
75
-18
no box
H21/02
National League
Astana
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
no box
H19/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
69-42
69
42
+27
no box
H21/03
National League
Pavlodar
#13
L
56-58
56
58
-2
no box
H22/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
49avg 51
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
68avg 51
A22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
65-108
65
108
-43
52avg 51
H23/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
53-86
53
86
-33
35avg 51
A24/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
52avg 51
A25/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
13-13
15-20
12-14
17-25
21-7
16-20
12-20
18-18
18-27
14-17
14-23
19-16
25-6
13-5
12-15
20-10
9-14
9-17
18-17
22-21
16-25
12-28
14-14
19-27
16-18
16-14
23-15
20-24
14-35
16-22
15-27
18-25
10-21
15-24
10-16
14-20
17-25
23-27
20-19
143.5Avg total
64.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)67.291.0158.2-23.80%
Season at home (2)64.598.0162.5-33.50%
Season away (3)69.086.3155.3-17.30%
Last 10 (10)64.878.7143.5-13.910%
Last 5 (5)67.291.0158.2-23.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)55.582.9138.4-27.40%
vs Similar (8)71.871.5143.2+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.0-3.0
ShymkentTobol Kostanay 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A06/03
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H07/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H09/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H23/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A24/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H26/10
Higher League
80.8Avg total
45.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.031.979.0+15.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.531.577.9+15.087%-
Last 30 away (14)47.632.480.1+15.279%-
Last 10 (9)45.735.180.8+10.667%-
Last 5 (5)49.035.884.8+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.032.569.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (5)40.242.082.2-1.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.829.380.0+21.4100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazygurt
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H21/02
National League
Astana
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H19/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H21/03
National League
Pavlodar
#13
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H23/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A24/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/10
Higher League
74.8Avg total
34.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)29.743.172.8-13.415%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.740.471.1-9.627%-
Last 30 away (15)28.945.174.0-16.17%-
Last 10 (10)34.340.574.8-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)33.248.281.4-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)28.545.474.0-16.95%-
vs Similar (5)34.633.267.8+1.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shymkent wins
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
No previous meetings.
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HTuran68-80
25/10/25HBC Almaty 293-66
24/10/25ACHAMP1ON102-55
23/10/25HBC Almaty 296-64
22/10/25ACHAMP1ON104-70
10/04/25AKaraganda20-0
09/04/25HChelSU Kostanay96-45
08/04/25ABars Petropavlovsk79-84
07/04/25HTuran53-90
06/03/25ATigers-KazATU91-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AChelSU Kostanay74-91
24/10/25ATigers-KazATU53-86
23/10/25HBars Petropavlovsk65-108
22/10/25ATigers-KazATU80-82 OT
21/10/25HBars Petropavlovsk64-88
22/03/16HPavlodar56-58
21/03/16HKokshetay69-42
20/03/16AAtyrau 264-85
19/03/16HAstana66-72
21/02/16HKazygurt57-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game92.685.7103.0
Allowed / game67.070.062.5
Point differential+25.6+15.7+40.5
Avg total159.6155.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.264.569.0
Allowed / game91.098.086.3
Point differential-23.8-33.5-17.3
Avg total158.2162.5155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%96.262.2+34.0
2 Turan550100%83.258.0+25.2
3 Aktobe330100%91.067.7+23.3
4 Shymkent54180%92.667.0+25.6
5 Atyrau 297278%76.768.8+7.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay53260%72.280.8-8.6
7 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
8 Tigers-KazATU52340%76.678.2-1.6
9 BC Almaty 293633%70.374.7-4.3
10 CHAMP1ON93633%68.475.4-7.0
11 AiRom61517%66.879.8-13.0
12 Kaspiy Aktau 291811%56.683.1-26.6
13 Tobol Kostanay 25050%67.291.0-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent26313223112
Tobol Kostanay 21718221168
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