PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shymkent vs Tobol Kostanay 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 112-79
36-24 28-22 26-14 22-19
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game97.6
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game93.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Shymkent v Tobol Kostanay 2
13 Nov 2025
SHYM112
TOBO79
11 Nov 2025
SHYM112
TOBO68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tobol Kostanay 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 79
A08/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
96-45
96
45
+51
95avg 79
H09/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A10/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
104-70
104
70
+34
100avg 79
A22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H23/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
102-55
102
55
+47
107avg 79
A24/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
93-66
93
66
+27
81avg 79
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
58avg 79
H26/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
112-68
112
68
+44
106avg 79
H11/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
108-73
108
73
+35
97avg 79
A12/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
23-19
20-18
14-21
29-14
22-12
33-11
12-8
–
–
–
–
30-16
19-17
32-12
23-25
28-17
28-12
24-21
16-14
34-15
21-14
29-11
18-15
27-22
22-20
27-11
17-13
21-19
15-27
15-13
17-21
26-17
31-18
32-22
23-11
32-15
28-12
20-23
28-23
148.3Avg total
87.8Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.668.0165.6+29.686%
Season at home (4)92.269.5161.8+22.875%
Season away (3)104.766.0170.7+38.7100%
Last 10 (10)87.860.5148.3+27.380%
Last 5 (5)96.668.4165.0+28.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.576.5148.0-5.050%
vs Similar (5)73.277.0150.2-3.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.461.5152.0+28.9100%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
69-42
69
42
+27
no box
H21/03
National League
Pavlodar
#13
L
56-58
56
58
-2
no box
H22/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
49avg 51
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
68avg 51
A22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
65-108
65
108
-43
52avg 51
H23/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
53-86
53
86
-33
35avg 51
A24/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
52avg 51
A25/10
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
68-112
68
112
-44
59avg 51
A11/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
55-85
55
85
-30
45avg 51
H12/11
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-27
14-17
14-23
19-16
25-6
13-5
12-15
20-10
9-14
9-17
18-17
22-21
16-25
12-28
14-14
19-27
16-18
16-14
23-15
20-24
14-35
16-22
15-27
18-25
10-21
15-24
10-16
14-20
17-25
23-27
20-19
17-26
18-31
22-32
11-23
17-23
10-26
13-15
15-21
148.5Avg total
64.8Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.693.1158.7-27.60%
Season at home (3)61.393.7155.0-32.30%
Season away (4)68.892.8161.5-24.00%
Last 10 (10)64.883.7148.5-18.910%
Last 5 (5)63.096.4159.4-33.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.583.3141.8-24.80%
vs Similar (8)71.871.5143.2+0.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +10.0+10.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.8+9.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -7.5-7.5Q3Q3: +10.0+10.0Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.8-3.8
ShymkentTobol Kostanay 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#5
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H09/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H23/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A24/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H25/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H26/10
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H11/11
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
60-27
60
27
+33
A12/11
Higher League
85.6Avg total
50.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.932.580.4+15.483%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.932.379.1+14.687%-
Last 30 away (14)49.032.781.7+16.379%-
Last 10 (9)50.934.785.6+16.278%-
Last 5 (5)51.435.887.2+15.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.032.569.5+4.575%-
vs Similar (5)40.242.082.2-1.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)52.030.182.1+21.9100%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tobol Kostanay 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A20/03
National League
Kokshetay
#11
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H21/03
National League
Pavlodar
#13
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H22/03
National League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H21/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
H23/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A24/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/10
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A11/11
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Higher League
77.5Avg total
33.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)30.943.073.9-12.115%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.739.170.8-7.427%-
Last 30 away (15)30.345.976.2-15.57%-
Last 10 (10)33.743.877.5-10.120%-
Last 5 (5)31.051.282.2-20.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.045.375.4-15.35%-
vs Similar (5)34.633.267.8+1.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shymkent wins
0
Tobol Kostanay 2 wins
DateGameScore
11/11/25Shymkent v Tobol Kostanay 2112-68
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AChelSU Kostanay108-73
11/11/25HTobol Kostanay 2112-68
26/10/25HTuran68-80
25/10/25HBC Almaty 293-66
24/10/25ACHAMP1ON102-55
23/10/25HBC Almaty 296-64
22/10/25ACHAMP1ON104-70
10/04/25AKaraganda20-0
09/04/25HChelSU Kostanay96-45
08/04/25ABars Petropavlovsk79-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HTuran55-85
11/11/25AShymkent68-112
25/10/25AChelSU Kostanay74-91
24/10/25ATigers-KazATU53-86
23/10/25HBars Petropavlovsk65-108
22/10/25ATigers-KazATU80-82 OT
21/10/25HBars Petropavlovsk64-88
22/03/16HPavlodar56-58
21/03/16HKokshetay69-42
20/03/16AAtyrau 264-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game97.692.2104.7
Allowed / game68.069.566.0
Point differential+29.6+22.8+38.7
Avg total165.6161.8170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tobol Kostanay 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.661.368.8
Allowed / game93.193.792.8
Point differential-27.6-32.3-24.0
Avg total158.7155.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%96.262.2+34.0
2 Aktobe440100%95.266.8+28.5
3 Turan770100%83.958.1+25.7
4 Shymkent76186%97.668.0+29.6
5 Atyrau 2108280%78.267.0+11.2
6 Arlans74357%75.071.6+3.4
7 ChelSU Kostanay73443%70.985.4-14.6
8 Tigers-KazATU52340%76.678.2-1.6
9 BC Almaty 2104640%71.373.7-2.4
10 CHAMP1ON103730%68.175.9-7.8
11 AiRom71614%66.483.9-17.4
12 Kaspiy Aktau 2101910%56.084.0-28.0
13 Tobol Kostanay 27070%65.693.1-27.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent36282622112
Tobol Kostanay 22422141979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.