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Karaganda vs Tigers-KazATU Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 May 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 86-61
22-16 18-14 22-21 24-10
Position#7
Record14-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#10
Record12-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game76.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karaganda v Tigers-KazATU
04 May 2026
KARA86
TIGE61
17 Nov 2025
KARA83
TIGE64
15 Nov 2025
KARA81
TIGE83
27 Feb 2024
KARA66
TIGE76
13 Nov 2023
KARA49
TIGE68
10 Nov 2023
KARA58
TIGE64
11 Mar 2023
KARA99
TIGE90
13 Feb 2023
KARA56
TIGE80
23 Dec 2022
KARA72
TIGE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tigers-KazATU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
79-106
79
106
-27
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A28/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H29/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H14/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A15/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A17/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H03/05
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-2
18-12
28-6
12-16
16-19
25-19
18-18
19-27
25-30
20-27
18-28
16-21
16-24
22-21
22-10
18-12
18-26
12-19
20-23
25-30
17-15
23-18
22-10
21-22
24-20
26-27
19-7
16-16
20-20
26-27
25-24
14-17
19-17
14-9
25-19
20-16
27-14
18-18
18-17
21-15
154.7Avg total
80.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.378.0158.3+2.348%
Season at home (15)83.578.3161.9+5.240%
Season away (14)76.977.6154.6-0.757%
Last 10 (10)80.973.8154.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)83.069.6152.6+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.085.6148.6-22.60%
vs Similar (2)83.588.5172.0-5.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.568.4154.9+18.182%
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigers-KazATUKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
47-78
47
78
-31
A12/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A14/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H15/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A16/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H17/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H14/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A15/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A17/04
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H03/05
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
13-19
16-26
10-14
17-17
23-13
17-16
25-23
20-15
9-8
21-14
17-13
14-18
19-20
16-13
18-20
15-19
10-19
30-17
30-26
10-12
24-21
19-28
18-14
17-23
22-27
14-22
27-14
22-21
24-20
10-20
12-24
24-23
21-21
19-19
17-15
22-18
13-9
18-17
22-22
146.2Avg total
72.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.876.1144.8-7.341%
Season at home (13)70.773.2143.8-2.554%
Season away (16)67.278.4145.6-11.231%
Last 10 (10)72.373.9146.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)75.078.0153.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.788.7148.4-29.07%
vs Similar (8)78.573.8152.2+4.850%
vs Weaker (8)75.055.4130.4+19.6100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
KaragandaTigers-KazATU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-14
44
14
+30
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A28/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H29/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A15/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H16/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/05
Higher League
79.6Avg total
41.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.439.379.7+1.155%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.780.3+4.860%-
Last 30 away (14)38.140.979.0-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.479.6+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.246.980.1-13.710%-
vs Similar (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.135.079.1+9.176%-
This opponent (Tigers-KazATU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tigers-KazATULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A12/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A14/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H15/03
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A16/03
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H17/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/04
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/04
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/05
Higher League
70.9Avg total
34.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.037.871.8-3.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.235.871.0-0.562%-
Last 30 away (17)33.039.472.4-6.435%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.270.9-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.345.474.7-16.121%-
vs Similar (8)40.837.678.4+3.162%-
vs Weaker (8)35.424.860.1+10.675%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karaganda: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.2
57.7%
49.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.17.6
23.5%
28.5%22.7
🏀 Free throws12.79.3
73.7%
63.9%9.3
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tigers-KazATUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tigers-KazATU: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.716.9
42.6%
49.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
28.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.711.2
63.3%
63.9%11.2
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karaganda
WWLWWLWLLW
Tigers-KazATU
WWLLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#10
+0.6
Net rating
-2.2
99.7
Offensive rating
97.8
99.1
Defensive rating
99.9
47.8%
Effective FG%
45.3%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.26
23.5%
3-point %
32.7%
56.7%
Assist %
38.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 97.8Defence99.1 · 99.9Shooting47.8% · 45.3%3-point %23.5% · 32.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Karaganda   ■ Tigers-KazATU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Karaganda wins
8
Tigers-KazATU wins
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HPavlodar84-64
17/04/26AChelSU Kostanay78-61
16/04/26HTobol Kostanay 285-88
15/04/26AChelSU Kostanay85-70
14/04/26HTobol Kostanay 283-65
29/03/26HBC Almaty 275-98
28/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-67
27/03/26HBC Almaty 279-106
26/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-83
14/02/26HPavlodar84-36
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/26HAiRom75-66
17/04/26ACHAMP1ON81-78
16/04/26HBC Almaty 268-85
15/04/26ACHAMP1ON80-86
14/04/26HBC Almaty 271-75
17/03/26HAiRom85-81
16/03/26AArlans67-71
15/03/26HAiRom67-50
14/03/26AArlans82-69
12/03/26AAtyrau 247-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW48%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %48%40%57%
Points / game80.383.576.9
Allowed / game78.078.377.6
Point differential+2.3+5.2-0.7
Avg total158.3161.9154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%13%0%
Tigers-KazATU
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeWWLLW54%
AwayLWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %41%54%31%
Points / game68.870.767.2
Allowed / game76.173.278.4
Point differential-7.3-2.5-11.2
Avg total144.8143.8145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan33330100%86.959.7+27.2
2 Shymkent3329488%94.070.1+23.8
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3326779%84.762.9+21.8
4 Aktobe3325876%81.868.7+13.0
5 BC Almaty 233201361%83.874.5+9.2
6 Atyrau 233191458%75.771.5+4.2
7 ChelSU Kostanay33161748%74.979.7-4.8
8 Karaganda29141548%80.378.0+2.3
9 CHAMP1ON33141942%72.277.7-5.5
10 Tigers-KazATU29121741%68.876.1-7.3
11 Arlans3092130%73.982.5-8.6
12 Tobol Kostanay 23092130%70.180.8-10.7
13 AiRom3052517%63.882.2-18.5
14 Pavlodar302287%57.086.8-29.7
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karaganda2218222486
Tigers-KazATU1614211061
← all games of the day
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