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Karaganda vs BC Almaty 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 79-106
25-30 20-27 18-28 16-21
Position#7
Record9-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.9
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karaganda v BC Almaty 2
29 Mar 2026
KARA75
BC A98
27 Mar 2026
KARA79
BC A106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 72
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 72
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
no box
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
no box
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
75avg 72
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 72
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
95avg 72
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 72
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-36
84
36
+48
80avg 72
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
73avg 72
A26/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
22-16
24-20
19-15
26-29
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
31-17
16-22
20-21
30-26
26-2
18-12
28-6
12-16
16-19
25-19
18-18
19-27
159.6Avg total
85.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.178.2158.4+1.943%
Season at home (10)84.775.4160.1+9.340%
Season away (11)76.080.8156.8-4.845%
Last 10 (10)85.374.3159.6+11.060%
Last 5 (5)90.269.6159.8+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)50.972.9123.8-21.90%
vs Similar (4)59.065.2124.2-6.225%
vs Weaker (11)88.868.0156.8+20.882%
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
L
89-94
89
94
-5
71avg 75
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 75
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
94avg 75
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
104-57
104
57
+47
98avg 75
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
52avg 75
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
70-45
70
45
+25
65avg 75
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
89avg 75
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
85-63
85
63
+22
no box
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
105-78
105
78
+27
90avg 75
A05/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
94avg 75
H26/03
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-23
15-32
29-20
32-29
33-16
24-24
24-28
25-24
29-16
18-9
20-11
34-15
30-14
27-18
13-10
13-14
19-10
12-14
13-7
29-4
20-9
11-9
10-23
24-23
25-30
28-27
26-19
18-19
18-19
28-12
21-13
21-14
38-17
30-17
16-30
35-17
21-16
20-13
16-18
161.2Avg total
91.0Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.372.9154.2+8.462%
Season at home (11)85.670.4156.0+15.373%
Season away (10)76.575.7152.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)91.070.2161.2+20.890%
Last 5 (5)91.069.8160.8+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.092.8153.8-31.80%
vs Similar (3)94.384.3178.7+10.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.966.5153.4+20.487%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +7.9+7.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
KaragandaBC Almaty 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-14
44
14
+30
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/03
Higher League
76.6Avg total
41.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)37.637.975.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.834.874.6+4.962%-
Last 30 away (13)35.440.976.3-5.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.776.6+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)44.431.475.8+13.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.543.873.2-14.28%-
vs Similar (3)42.031.773.7+10.3100%-
vs Weaker (11)45.233.278.4+12.082%-
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H05/12
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H06/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A07/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
64-29
64
29
+35
H08/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A09/01
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
49-13
49
13
+36
H02/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A03/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
A05/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/03
Higher League
85.7Avg total
50.9Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.236.482.6+9.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.334.283.5+15.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.838.281.9+5.659%-
Last 10 (10)50.934.885.7+16.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.833.683.4+16.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.053.085.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (3)45.339.384.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)48.733.281.9+15.678%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karaganda: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.0
56.4%
49.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.05.0
18.5%
28.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws26.019.0
73.1%
63.9%19.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.228.1
58.3%
49.5%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.1
27.1%
28.5%18.4
🏀 Free throws26.917.4
64.7%
63.9%17.4
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/8 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karaganda
LWWWWWLLLW
BC Almaty 2
WWWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#5
-6.1
Net rating
+29.2
95.4
Offensive rating
115.4
101.5
Defensive rating
86.3
44.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.38
18.5%
3-point %
27.1%
59.3%
Assist %
51.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 115.4Defence101.5 · 86.3Shooting44.7% · 52.6%3-point %18.5% · 27.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Karaganda   ■ BC Almaty 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Karaganda wins
4
BC Almaty 2 wins
DateGameScore
07/04/23BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda81-67
16/11/22BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda80-65
21/10/22BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda93-76
17/12/20BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda79-64
25/11/20BC Almaty 2 v Karaganda51-85
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-83
14/02/26HPavlodar84-36
13/02/26AArlans97-86
12/02/26HAiRom101-63
11/02/26AArlans91-80
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HPavlodar92-64
05/03/26AChelSU Kostanay105-78
04/03/26HTobol Kostanay 285-63
03/03/26AChelSU Kostanay103-99
02/03/26HTobol Kostanay 270-45
09/01/26AAiRom57-45
08/01/26HArlans104-57
07/01/26AAiRom92-60
06/01/26HArlans113-97
05/12/25HAktobe89-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%40%45%
Points / game80.184.776.0
Allowed / game78.275.480.8
Point differential+1.9+9.3-4.8
Avg total158.4160.1156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game81.385.676.5
Allowed / game72.970.475.7
Point differential+8.4+15.3+0.8
Avg total154.2156.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%73%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan24240100%89.760.0+29.7
2 Shymkent2421388%95.268.1+27.2
3 Aktobe2420483%83.866.0+17.8
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2419579%85.960.0+25.9
5 Atyrau 22216673%77.767.9+9.9
6 BC Almaty 22113862%81.372.9+8.4
7 CHAMP1ON22121055%75.073.3+1.7
8 ChelSU Kostanay24131154%76.480.0-3.6
9 Karaganda2191243%80.178.2+1.9
10 Tigers-KazATU24101442%67.575.7-8.2
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
13 Tobol Kostanay 22442017%68.483.1-14.8
14 Pavlodar222209%54.990.0-35.0
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karaganda2520181679
BC Almaty 230272821106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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