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Karaganda vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 84-36
26-2 18-12 28-6 12-16
Position#7
Record8-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#14
Record2-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game54.2
Allowed / game90.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Karaganda v Pavlodar
03 May 2026
KARA84
PAVL64
14 Feb 2026
KARA84
PAVL36
14 Mar 2023
KARA81
PAVL66
16 Feb 2023
KARA100
PAVL75
26 Dec 2022
KARA81
PAVL74
24 Nov 2020
KARA76
PAVL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaraganda
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
112-72
112
72
+40
112avg 65
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
55avg 65
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 65
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 65
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
58-95
58
95
-37
no box
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
no box
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
84-58
84
58
+26
75avg 65
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 65
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
95avg 65
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 65
A13/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
31-19
33-22
23-19
20-23
25-9
13-26
14-22
15-12
35-21
14-17
22-13
18-26
27-17
24-11
19-34
10-19
11-32
21-22
16-22
13-18
22-14
15-15
26-29
24-14
22-17
19-12
19-15
22-16
24-20
19-15
26-29
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
31-17
16-22
20-21
30-26
165.1Avg total
87.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.180.2160.3-0.242%
Season at home (9)84.879.8164.6+5.033%
Season away (10)75.880.6156.4-4.850%
Last 10 (10)87.577.6165.1+9.960%
Last 5 (5)90.473.8164.2+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)51.573.0124.5-21.56%
vs Similar (4)59.065.2124.2-6.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.669.9160.4+20.789%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
35-92
35
92
-57
25avg 47
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 47
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
55-86
55
86
-31
54avg 47
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
60-58
60
58
+2
47avg 47
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-112
52
112
-60
no box
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
55-93
55
93
-38
30avg 47
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
55-101
55
101
-46
45avg 47
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
57-86
57
86
-29
no box
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
61-98
61
98
-37
37avg 47
A13/02
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
11-23
8-20
5-22
21-17
26-14
22-14
24-18
7-27
17-20
14-20
17-19
12-15
9-21
23-11
16-11
15-35
2-27
23-26
12-24
17-16
13-28
8-23
14-19
7-28
13-21
17-25
18-19
8-31
12-27
12-23
23-20
14-30
11-15
15-23
17-18
23-29
12-23
16-23
10-23
145.0Avg total
57.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)54.290.1144.3-35.811%
Season at home (10)55.385.9141.2-30.620%
Season away (9)53.094.7147.7-41.70%
Last 10 (10)57.587.5145.0-30.020%
Last 5 (5)56.092.8148.8-36.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)61.193.1154.2-32.04%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -12.0-12.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -12.0-12.0Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -9.3-9.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
KaragandaPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A15/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H16/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A17/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A16/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H17/01
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Higher League
79.3Avg total
43.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)36.339.275.5-2.842%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.737.174.8+0.654%-
Last 30 away (13)35.041.276.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)43.535.879.3+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.677.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.143.672.6-14.57%-
vs Similar (3)42.031.773.7+10.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.834.880.6+11.078%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A15/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/12
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A17/12
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/12
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
17-62
17
62
-45
A18/01
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H19/01
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
20-49
20
49
-29
H10/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
20-58
20
58
-38
A11/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H12/02
Higher League
AiRom
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A13/02
Higher League
73.5Avg total
26.1Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.047.977.9-17.913%-
Last 30 at home (11)30.145.275.3-15.127%-
Last 30 away (19)29.949.579.4-19.55%-
Last 10 (10)26.147.473.5-21.310%-
Last 5 (5)26.049.675.6-23.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.748.978.6-19.211%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karaganda wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
18/11/25Pavlodar v Karaganda60-80
14/03/23Karaganda v Pavlodar81-66
16/02/23Karaganda v Pavlodar100-75
26/12/22Karaganda v Pavlodar81-74
25/02/21Pavlodar v Karaganda66-70
31/01/21Pavlodar v Karaganda56-86
18/12/20Pavlodar v Karaganda46-75
24/11/20Karaganda v Pavlodar76-59
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AArlans97-86
12/02/26HAiRom101-63
11/02/26AArlans91-80
10/02/26HAiRom84-58
17/01/26HAktobe79-82 OT
16/01/26AAktobe58-95
18/12/25HAtyrau 295-97 OT
17/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 286-63
16/12/25HAtyrau 272-80
15/12/25AKaspiy Aktau 2112-72
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26AAiRom61-98
12/02/26HArlans57-86
11/02/26AAiRom55-101
10/02/26HArlans55-93
19/01/26HAktobe52-86
18/01/26AAktobe52-112
18/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 260-58
17/12/25AAtyrau 255-86
16/12/25HKaspiy Aktau 293-63
15/12/25AAtyrau 235-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW42%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game80.184.875.8
Allowed / game80.279.880.6
Point differential-0.2+5.0-4.8
Avg total160.3164.6156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %11%22%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game54.255.353.0
Allowed / game90.185.994.7
Point differential-35.8-30.6-41.7
Avg total144.3141.2147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan20200100%87.759.9+27.8
2 Shymkent1917289%95.969.2+26.7
3 Aktobe1915479%82.167.1+14.9
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2015575%82.861.0+21.8
5 Atyrau 22115671%77.768.9+8.9
6 ChelSU Kostanay1812667%75.775.9-0.2
7 BC Almaty 2168850%78.273.9+4.4
8 CHAMP1ON167944%70.472.4-2.1
9 Karaganda1981142%80.180.2-0.2
10 Arlans1971237%76.578.5-2.0
11 Tigers-KazATU1971237%66.977.2-10.3
12 Tobol Kostanay 21841422%71.681.0-9.4
13 AiRom1941521%65.277.9-12.7
14 Pavlodar1921711%54.290.1-35.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2221215%53.083.6-30.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karaganda2618281284
Pavlodar21261636
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