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Karhu Basket vs BC Nokia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-71
24-18 22-13 15-16 29-24
Position#5
Record16-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.5
Karhu Basket 🏆
Finland
vs
BC Nokia
Finland
Position#2
Record19-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game84.4
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Karhu Basket v BC Nokia
04 Dec 2024
KAH91
NOK85
16 Mar 2024
KAH90
NOK71
07 Oct 2023
KAH67
NOK80
31 Dec 2022
KAH76
NOK72
23 Oct 2021
KAH91
NOK62
23 Mar 2021
KAH82
NOK69
19 Mar 2021
KAH96
NOK74
14 Mar 2021
KAH85
NOK61
18 Nov 2020
KAH77
NOK67
18 Jan 2020
KAH88
NOK76
09 Oct 2019
KAH94
NOK102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Nokia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 77
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
no box
H16/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 77
A26/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 77
H03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
87avg 77
H10/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 77
A14/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 77
H17/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 77
A02/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
79avg 77
H06/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
80avg 77
A09/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
26-14
20-18
16-15
18-22
17-16
24-22
18-17
17-20
34-20
25-16
18-15
22-12
14-18
26-18
22-18
14-16
29-24
33-21
14-16
21-19
27-19
16-21
19-33
23-24
19-17
19-22
16-7
15-17
37-20
26-23
14-24
14-19
11-14
22-14
30-16
21-30
20-25
21-25
22-24
166.9Avg total
87.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)87.081.5168.4+5.557%
Season at home (14)89.578.1167.6+11.471%
Season away (14)84.484.9169.3-0.443%
Last 10 (10)87.079.9166.9+7.170%
Last 5 (5)82.682.6165.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.086.5167.5-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)89.287.5176.7+1.760%
vs Weaker (12)90.178.6168.7+11.558%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 83
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 83
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 83
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
63avg 83
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 83
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 83
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
91-94
91
94
-3
83avg 83
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
73avg 83
H06/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 83
H09/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
25-19
18-22
18-18
24-20
12-23
26-28
14-12
16-15
27-16
13-16
20-21
15-17
31-21
21-22
18-25
19-24
15-17
17-11
21-30
19-21
19-27
21-16
33-19
21-19
17-12
22-25
13-25
25-20
16-30
27-20
23-24
21-29
17-17
15-24
24-15
24-23
17-26
29-4
21-34
166.6Avg total
83.6Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.184.4173.5+4.768%
Season at home (14)90.383.1173.4+7.171%
Season away (14)87.985.6173.6+2.364%
Last 10 (10)83.683.0166.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)84.886.0170.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.289.0169.2-8.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.886.0173.8+1.858%
vs Weaker (13)92.081.4173.4+10.685%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.8-1.8
Karhu BasketBC Nokia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A26/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H03/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A02/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H06/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A09/03
Korisliiga
81.4Avg total
42.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.384.1+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.937.780.6+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)44.642.987.5+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.881.4+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.539.978.4-1.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.442.187.5+3.380%-
vs Weaker (12)45.839.285.0+6.767%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H19/01
Suomen Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
Suomen Cup
Kobrat
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H03/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A17/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A02/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H06/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Korisliiga
81.7Avg total
40.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.086.5+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.540.986.4+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)45.441.186.5+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.081.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.884.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.246.087.2-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.742.284.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)48.839.087.8+9.885%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.9
52.6%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
33.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.012.8
80.0%
73.5%12.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.9
55.5%
51.0%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
73.5%11.9
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LWWWLWWWLW
BC Nokia
WLLLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#2
+9.4
Net rating
+2.6
113.2
Offensive rating
108.2
103.8
Defensive rating
105.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.9%
3-point %
31.6%
68.1%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 108.2Defence103.8 · 105.6Shooting53.9% · 52.5%3-point %36.9% · 31.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ BC Nokia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Karhu Basket wins
3
BC Nokia wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24BC Nokia v Karhu Basket92-83
09/12/23BC Nokia v Karhu Basket84-91
07/10/23Karhu Basket v BC Nokia67-80
31/12/22Karhu Basket v BC Nokia76-72
04/11/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket76-86
05/02/22BC Nokia v Karhu Basket75-82
23/10/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia91-62
23/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia82-69
21/03/21BC Nokia v Karhu Basket86-80
19/03/21Karhu Basket v BC Nokia96-74
Karhu Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls84-104
06/03/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki77-63
02/03/24AKataja92-84
17/02/24HSalon Vilpas77-70
14/02/24ABC Nokia83-92
10/02/24HHelsinki Seagulls90-77
03/02/24HPyrinto Tampere84-66
26/01/24AKTP Kotka Basket94-71
16/01/24HKobrat100-103 OT
05/01/24HBisons Loimaa89-69
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HSalon Vilpas91-87
06/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-85
02/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-94
17/02/24AKataja73-81
14/02/24HKarhu Basket92-83
08/02/24ASalon Vilpas72-82
03/02/24HKTP Kotka Basket100-94 OT
27/01/24AKobrat76-68
20/01/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-83
19/01/24HKataja88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game87.089.584.4
Allowed / game81.578.184.9
Point differential+5.5+11.4-0.4
Avg total168.4167.6169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%14%0%
BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game89.190.387.9
Allowed / game84.483.185.6
Point differential+4.7+7.1+2.3
Avg total173.5173.4173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2921872%91.080.9+10.1
2 BC Nokia2819968%89.184.4+4.7
3 Kouvot Kouvola29171259%89.284.2+5.0
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki29171259%88.387.3+0.9
5 Karhu Basket28161257%87.081.5+5.5
6 Salon Vilpas29161355%86.483.8+2.6
7 Kataja29161355%83.283.0+0.2
8 Kobrat28121643%81.082.6-1.6
9 KTP Kotka Basket29121741%83.988.1-4.2
10 Pyrinto Tampere29111838%82.887.2-4.3
11 Bisons Loimaa2982128%83.589.5-6.0
12 Lahti Basketball2872125%85.598.6-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket2422152990
BC Nokia1813162471
← all games of the day
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