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Kaspiy Aktau vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 73-75
25-31 18-14 11-15 19-15
Position#2
Record7-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#4
Record8-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau
12 Jan 2026
KASP73
ATYR75
11 Jan 2026
KASP101
ATYR91
12 Oct 2025
KASP78
ATYR84
11 Oct 2025
KASP76
ATYR86
12 Nov 2024
KASP76
ATYR78
11 Nov 2024
KASP73
ATYR85
07 Apr 2024
KASP66
ATYR89
26 Dec 2023
KASP82
ATYR97
25 Dec 2023
KASP77
ATYR102
11 Oct 2021
KASP64
ATYR79
10 Oct 2021
KASP57
ATYR84
07 Apr 2021
KASP67
ATYR77
06 Apr 2021
KASP60
ATYR83
14 Nov 2020
KASP69
ATYR88
13 Nov 2020
KASP75
ATYR97
12 Nov 2019
KASP53
ATYR77
11 Nov 2019
KASP48
ATYR66
26 Apr 2019
KASP89
ATYR91
25 Apr 2019
KASP70
ATYR76
14 Feb 2019
KASP82
ATYR101
13 Feb 2019
KASP71
ATYR82
19 Mar 2018
KASP73
ATYR98
18 Mar 2018
KASP78
ATYR89
22 Oct 2017
KASP57
ATYR72
22 Feb 2017
KASP60
ATYR83
21 Feb 2017
KASP86
ATYR80
30 Oct 2016
KASP82
ATYR89
29 Oct 2016
KASP66
ATYR80
27 Jan 2016
KASP68
ATYR65
26 Jan 2016
KASP72
ATYR100
14 Dec 2015
KASP62
ATYR79
02 Apr 2015
KASP84
ATYR68
01 Apr 2015
KASP83
ATYR88
30 Mar 2015
KASP93
ATYR64
27 Jan 2014
KASP72
ATYR61
03 Dec 2013
KASP71
ATYR76
02 Dec 2013
KASP72
ATYR87
23 Oct 2013
KASP62
ATYR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
104-74
104
74
+30
100avg 76
A09/11
National League
Almaty
#3
W
70-67
70
67
+3
no box
A22/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
53avg 76
A23/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
71-97
71
97
-26
62avg 76
H02/12
National League
Astana
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
no box
H03/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
92-68
92
68
+24
91avg 76
A07/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
78-64
78
64
+14
74avg 76
A08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
73avg 76
H19/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-62
105
62
+43
114avg 76
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
105avg 76
H11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
27-20
26-20
25-17
17-15
17-21
16-19
20-12
21-21
10-20
18-16
20-18
20-21
16-26
20-27
15-23
18-14
18-17
11-28
16-16
20-25
28-19
22-16
22-8
19-19
22-20
26-11
11-14
23-23
23-12
12-24
17-22
29-12
21-17
25-17
30-16
29-18
29-21
22-32
21-20
158.2Avg total
82.8Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.577.3156.8+2.241%
Season at home (9)79.181.6160.7-2.422%
Season away (8)79.972.5152.4+7.462%
Last 10 (10)82.875.4158.2+7.460%
Last 5 (5)90.273.2163.4+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.082.1149.1-15.10%
vs Similar (11)75.773.9149.6+1.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.375.0163.3+13.373%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
86-56
86
56
+30
81avg 70
A19/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
45avg 70
A25/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
63-96
63
96
-33
51avg 70
A26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
56avg 70
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 70
H08/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 70
A13/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
75avg 70
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
92avg 70
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
90-72
90
72
+18
87avg 70
H23/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
85avg 70
A11/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
22-7
31-22
16-15
18-14
19-23
20-23
4-18
24-28
11-26
21-23
7-19
25-20
19-28
16-22
8-22
19-19
20-22
11-26
14-11
28-14
18-17
17-25
29-32
21-16
18-21
22-19
22-17
26-11
25-25
23-9
20-27
28-22
15-15
23-16
24-19
18-29
21-29
32-22
20-21
159.8Avg total
79.2Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.582.8163.4-2.347%
Season at home (8)79.587.8167.2-8.225%
Season away (9)81.478.4159.9+3.067%
Last 10 (10)79.280.6159.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)90.081.2171.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.683.8158.5-9.231%
vs Similar (13)75.882.2158.0-6.331%
vs Weaker (4)89.265.0154.2+24.2100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.7-3.7
Kaspiy AktauAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A09/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
National League
Almaty
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A23/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H02/12
National League
Astana
#1
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A08/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H19/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/12
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H11/01
National League
81.1Avg total
43.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.577.7+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.036.277.2+4.872%-
Last 30 away (12)39.039.478.4-0.458%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.881.1+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.285.8+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.641.173.8-8.512%-
vs Similar (11)39.536.375.8+3.373%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.436.082.4+10.4100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
39-19
39
19
+20
A19/11
National League
Astana
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A13/12
National League
Almaty
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H22/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A11/01
National League
81.0Avg total
41.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.479.5-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.442.783.1-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.838.276.0-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.881.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.883.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.343.882.2-5.523%-
vs Similar (13)38.439.878.2-1.438%-
vs Weaker (4)44.031.575.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kaspiy Aktau: 101.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀34%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws28.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
50.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.013.0
37.1%
30.4%39.0
🏀 Free throws40.028.0
70.0%
69.6%28.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atyrautheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atyrau: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.0
43.9%
50.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.014.0
40.0%
30.4%42.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
69.6%13.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kaspiy Aktau
WWLWWLLLWW
Atyrau
LWWWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#4
+11.9
Net rating
-11.9
120.2
Offensive rating
108.3
108.3
Defensive rating
120.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.60
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.1%
3-point %
40.0%
113.3%
Assist %
71.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 108.3Defence108.3 · 120.2Shooting54.5% · 51.3%3-point %37.1% · 40.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.60 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kaspiy Aktau   ■ Atyrau
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kaspiy Aktau wins
5
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau101-91
08/12/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau64-78
07/12/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau68-92
12/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau78-84
11/10/25Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau76-86
15/03/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau60-85
14/03/25Atyrau v Kaspiy Aktau62-71
12/11/24Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau76-78
11/11/24Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau73-85
07/04/24Kaspiy Aktau v Atyrau66-89
Kaspiy Aktaulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HAtyrau101-91
20/12/25HTobol Kostanay105-62
19/12/25HTobol Kostanay75-81
08/12/25AAtyrau78-64
07/12/25AAtyrau92-68
03/12/25HAstana63-75
02/12/25HAstana71-97
23/11/25AAlmaty69-75
22/11/25AAlmaty70-67
09/11/25ATobol Kostanay104-74
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AKaspiy Aktau91-101
23/12/25HTobol Kostanay90-72
22/12/25HTobol Kostanay94-72
14/12/25AAlmaty83-73
13/12/25AAlmaty92-88
08/12/25HKaspiy Aktau64-78
07/12/25HKaspiy Aktau68-92
26/11/25AAstana63-96
25/11/25AAstana61-78
19/11/25ATobol Kostanay86-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW41%
HomeLLLWW22%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%22%62%
Points / game79.579.179.9
Allowed / game77.381.672.5
Point differential+2.2-2.4+7.4
Avg total156.8160.7152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%22%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLLLWW25%
AwayLLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%25%67%
Points / game80.579.581.4
Allowed / game82.887.878.4
Point differential-2.3-8.2+3.0
Avg total163.4167.2159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana16160100%91.164.9+26.2
2 Almaty1811761%87.478.3+9.1
3 Atyrau178947%80.582.8-2.3
4 Kaspiy Aktau1771041%79.577.3+2.2
5 Tobol Kostanay181176%64.897.1-32.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau2518111973
Atyrau3114151575
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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