Almaty vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 75-69

21-21 20-10 16-18 18-20

Position#3

Record6-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game80.4

Almaty 🏆

Kaspiy Aktau

Position#2

Record3-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game77.9

National League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kaspiy Aktau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

90-94 OT

-4

90avg 78

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-58

+37

96avg 78

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

105-60

105

+45

96avg 78

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

80-71

75avg 78

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-72

75avg 78

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

113-112 OT

113

112

104avg 78

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

89-83

88avg 78

A30/10

National League

Astana

53-92

-39

42avg 78

H08/11

National League

Astana

73-106

106

-33

56avg 78

H09/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

67-70

-3

no box

H22/11

National League

28-28

31-20

17-23

11-16

28-12

30-11

23-18

14-17

31-14

31-5

26-27

17-14

22-23

16-24

22-11

20-13

21-22

13-17

26-16

18-17

22-32

27-9

25-33

31-31

26-20

24-18

20-16

19-29

16-24

11-25

8-23

18-20

16-24

22-26

19-27

16-29

15-17

21-17

19-16

12-20

166.1Avg total

84.3Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	83.7	80.4	164.1	+3.2	67%
Season at home (5)	78.6	77.2	155.8	+1.4	40%
Season away (4)	90.0	84.5	174.5	+5.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	84.3	81.8	166.1	+2.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	92.6	171.6	-13.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	76.2	84.4	160.6	-8.2	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	84.1	78.7	162.8	+5.4	78%
vs Weaker (4)	60.0	29.5	89.5	+30.5	100%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktau

Date

Competition

Almaty

74-80

-6

65avg 76

A15/04

National League

Atyrau

76-86

-10

80avg 76

H11/10

National League

Atyrau

78-84

-6

63avg 76

H12/10

National League

Almaty

71-80

-9

69avg 76

H25/10

National League

Almaty

72-78

-6

69avg 76

H26/10

National League

Astana

68-84

-16

70avg 76

A03/11

National League

Astana

74-87

-13

69avg 76

A04/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

84-61

+23

80avg 76

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

104-74

104

+30

100avg 76

A09/11

National League

Almaty

70-67

no box

A22/11

National League

26-12

9-21

19-15

20-32

20-14

18-18

21-26

17-28

20-21

15-11

25-19

18-33

23-22

24-16

11-22

13-20

22-21

17-13

16-26

17-18

18-26

13-22

18-14

19-22

22-20

10-22

18-25

24-20

25-17

23-19

15-12

21-13

26-17

27-20

26-20

25-17

17-15

17-21

16-19

20-12

155.2Avg total

77.1Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	77.4	77.9	155.3	-0.4	33%
Season at home (4)	74.2	82.0	156.2	-7.8	0%
Season away (5)	80.0	74.6	154.6	+5.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.1	78.1	155.2	-1.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	74.6	154.6	+5.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	67.0	80.8	147.8	-13.8	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	74.5	77.6	152.1	-3.1	36%
vs Weaker (10)	83.4	74.8	158.2	+8.6	70%

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyKaspiy Aktau

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	22.7	43.2	-2.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	29.5	13.0	42.5	+16.5	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	18.2	39.9	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	21.7	39.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.2	39.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	30.5	8.0	38.5	+22.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.1	35.8	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.9	16.9	34.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.3	21.8	37.2	-6.5	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	13.8	20.2	34.0	-6.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	16.7	20.5	37.2	-3.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	50%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

59-48

+11

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

58-23

+35

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

62-19

+43

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-47

-9

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-39

-5

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

49-41

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

50-38

+12

A30/10

National League

Astana

27-49

-22

H08/11

National League

Astana

38-50

-12

H09/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

36-34

H22/11

National League

83.9Avg total

45.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.1	40.4	82.6	+1.7	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	37.4	78.8	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	38.8	83.9	+6.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.4	82.4	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	41.5	43.7	85.2	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.3	38.9	78.2	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	60.0	21.0	81.0	+39.0	100%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almaty

35-33

A15/04

National League

Atyrau

38-32

H11/10

National League

Atyrau

35-32

H12/10

National League

Almaty

47-38

H25/10

National League

Almaty

39-34

H26/10

National League

Astana

31-48

-17

A03/11

National League

Astana

32-42

-10

A04/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-36

+12

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-37

+16

A09/11

National League

Almaty

34-36

-2

A22/11

National League

76.0Avg total

39.2Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.9	75.7	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.4	36.4	74.7	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.1	40.0	77.1	-2.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	36.8	76.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	39.8	79.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.5	41.8	73.3	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.5	39.2	77.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.6	33.8	74.4	+6.8	80%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.4	19.0	40.4	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	22.5	47.0	+2.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.1	39.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.8	45.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.9	42.1	83.0	-1.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	40.5	81.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	43.8	84.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	41.6	79.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	48.8	86.2	-11.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.3	44.3	83.6	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.9	39.0	82.9	+4.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.0	41.1	79.1	-3.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	36.7	74.5	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	41.3	79.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	34.8	75.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	39.0	74.5	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	36.0	38.4	74.4	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	40.5	82.5	+1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/25	Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau	67-70
26/10/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty	72-78
25/10/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty	71-80
15/04/25	Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau	80-74
11/04/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty	84-80
07/04/25	Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau	89-74
06/01/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty	91-68
05/01/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Almaty	72-74
27/10/24	Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau	70-68
26/10/24	Almaty v Kaspiy Aktau	76-58

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	67-70
09/11/25	H	Astana	73-106
08/11/25	H	Astana	53-92
30/10/25	A	Atyrau	89-83
29/10/25	A	Atyrau	113-112 OT
26/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	78-72
25/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	80-71
12/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	105-60
11/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-58
19/05/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	90-94 OT

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/25	A	Almaty	70-67
09/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	104-74
08/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-61
04/11/25	A	Astana	74-87
03/11/25	A	Astana	68-84
26/10/25	H	Almaty	72-78
25/10/25	H	Almaty	71-80
12/10/25	H	Atyrau	78-84
11/10/25	H	Atyrau	76-86
15/04/25	A	Almaty	74-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	67%
Home	WWLLL	40%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	67%	40%	100%
Points / game	83.7	78.6	90.0
Allowed / game	80.4	77.2	84.5
Point differential	+3.2	+1.4	+5.5
Avg total	164.1	155.8	174.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	0%	25%

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	33%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LLWWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	33%	0%	60%
Points / game	77.4	74.2	80.0
Allowed / game	77.9	82.0	74.6
Point differential	-0.4	-7.8	+5.4
Avg total	155.3	156.2	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	0%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	8	8	0	100%	93.2	62.9	+30.4
2	Almaty	9	6	3	67%	83.7	80.4	+3.2
3	Atyrau	8	4	4	50%	82.9	82.2	+0.6
4	Kaspiy Aktau	9	3	6	33%	77.4	77.9	-0.4
5	Tobol Kostanay	8	0	8	0%	59.9	94.0	-34.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	21	20	16	18	75
Kaspiy Aktau	21	10	18	20	69

← all games of the day

Almaty vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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