Kaspiy Aktau vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 63-75

18-14 18-17 11-28 16-16

Position#2

Record3-8

FormWWWLL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game79.4

Kaspiy Aktau

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record11-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game92.5

Allowed / game63.5

National League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktau

Date

Competition

Atyrau

78-84

-6

63avg 75

H12/10

National League

Almaty

71-80

-9

69avg 75

H25/10

National League

Almaty

72-78

-6

69avg 75

H26/10

National League

Astana

68-84

-16

70avg 75

A03/11

National League

Astana

74-87

-13

69avg 75

A04/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

84-61

+23

80avg 75

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

104-74

104

+30

100avg 75

A09/11

National League

Almaty

70-67

no box

A22/11

National League

Almaty

69-75

-6

53avg 75

A23/11

National League

Astana

71-97

-26

62avg 75

H02/12

National League

20-21

15-11

25-19

18-33

23-22

24-16

11-22

13-20

22-21

17-13

16-26

17-18

18-26

13-22

18-14

19-22

22-20

10-22

18-25

24-20

25-17

23-19

15-12

21-13

26-17

27-20

26-20

25-17

17-15

17-21

16-19

20-12

21-21

10-20

18-16

20-18

20-21

16-26

20-27

15-23

154.8Avg total

76.1Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	76.1	79.4	155.5	-3.3	27%
Season at home (5)	73.6	85.0	158.6	-11.4	0%
Season away (6)	78.2	74.7	152.8	+3.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	78.7	154.8	-2.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	74.8	154.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	67.6	83.1	150.7	-15.6	0%
vs Similar (13)	74.1	76.8	150.8	-2.7	38%
vs Weaker (10)	83.4	74.8	158.2	+8.6	70%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Atyrau

99-64

+35

109avg 86

A19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-56

+32

84avg 86

A26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

103-54

103

+49

101avg 86

A27/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

84-68

+16

72avg 86

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

87-74

+13

79avg 86

H04/11

National League

Almaty

92-53

+39

84avg 86

A08/11

National League

Almaty

106-73

106

+33

106avg 86

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

78-61

+17

78avg 86

H25/11

National League

Atyrau

96-63

+33

99avg 86

H26/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-71

+26

103avg 86

A02/12

National League

25-12

28-19

24-22

22-11

26-16

14-15

26-16

22-9

36-13

23-11

22-17

22-13

26-18

22-13

14-18

22-19

20-22

22-10

25-18

20-24

24-16

25-11

23-8

20-18

24-16

26-22

27-19

29-16

14-18

23-19

23-20

18-4

28-24

26-11

23-21

19-7

21-20

26-16

27-20

23-15

156.7Avg total

93.0Scored

63.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	92.5	63.5	155.9	+29.0	100%
Season at home (4)	86.2	66.5	152.8	+19.8	100%
Season away (7)	96.0	61.7	157.7	+34.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	93.0	63.7	156.7	+29.3	100%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	64.2	158.0	+29.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	68.4	94.3	162.7	-25.9	5%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	92.5	63.5	155.9	+29.0	100%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Kaspiy AktauAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	21.6	39.6	-3.6	14%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.7	22.6	42.3	-2.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	17.5	41.9	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.8	41.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.3	23.9	42.3	-5.6	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.7	17.1	41.8	+7.6	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.9	21.7	36.6	-6.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	14.1	21.0	35.1	-6.9	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.3	19.7	36.0	-3.4	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.8	39.1	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	21.2	39.1	-3.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	14.7	38.2	+8.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	15.8	41.0	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	15.5	24.1	39.6	-8.5	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.3	15.1	38.4	+8.2	91%	-

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

35-32

H12/10

National League

Almaty

47-38

H25/10

National League

Almaty

39-34

H26/10

National League

Astana

31-48

-17

A03/11

National League

Astana

32-42

-10

A04/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

48-36

+12

A08/11

National League

Tobol Kostanay

53-37

+16

A09/11

National League

Almaty

34-36

-2

A22/11

National League

Almaty

31-41

-10

A23/11

National League

Astana

36-47

-11

H02/12

National League

77.7Avg total

38.6Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.1	75.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.8	36.3	75.1	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	40.1	76.7	-3.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.4	79.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	32.1	42.6	74.7	-10.4	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.6	33.8	74.4	+6.8	80%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

53-31

+22

A19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-31

A26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

59-24

+35

A27/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-31

+17

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

42-32

+10

H04/11

National League

Almaty

49-27

+22

A08/11

National League

Almaty

50-38

+12

A09/11

National League

Atyrau

37-37

H25/11

National League

Atyrau

54-35

+19

H26/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

47-36

+11

A02/12

National League

80.1Avg total

47.9Scored

32.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	42.2	81.2	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.5	43.8	81.4	-6.3	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.2	40.9	81.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	32.2	80.1	+15.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	34.6	82.0	+12.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	33.8	48.0	81.8	-14.2	5%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	48.0	32.2	80.2	+15.8	91%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	17.4	35.9	+1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.1	20.7	38.9	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.1	39.9	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.9	21.4	39.3	-3.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	17.6	42.2	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.6	23.1	39.7	-6.5	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.5	17.6	40.2	+4.9	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.2	38.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	21.2	38.9	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.3	19.9	37.1	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	38.9	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	13.6	35.3	+8.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	12.0	33.8	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	17.9	23.0	40.9	-5.1	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.9	13.6	35.5	+8.3	91%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.4	77.0	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	41.9	79.3	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	36.5	74.3	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.6	77.1	-2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	35.4	74.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	35.4	40.6	76.0	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.4	37.8	73.2	-2.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	40.5	82.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.7	78.8	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.9	40.6	75.5	-5.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.6	40.7	81.3	-0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	31.5	76.6	+13.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	29.6	76.0	+16.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.5	46.1	80.6	-11.6	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	44.5	31.3	75.7	+13.2	91%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Kaspiy Aktautheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	16.9	47.9%	50.5%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.0	29.7%	30.4%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.5	71.4%	69.6%	11.5

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.0	57.4%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	11.3	38.3%	30.4%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.4%	69.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.7	51.5%	50.5%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.6	32.4%	30.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	13.2	9.3	70.9%	69.6%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.8	55.4%	50.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.6%	30.4%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.8	75.8%	69.6%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
02/12/25	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	71-97
04/11/25	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	87-74
03/11/25	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	84-68
06/04/22	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	52-108
05/04/22	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	64-97
24/03/22	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	85-41
23/03/22	Astana v Kaspiy Aktau	88-41
01/11/21	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	54-94
31/10/21	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	59-97
30/04/21	Kaspiy Aktau v Astana	52-85

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/25	H	Astana	71-97
23/11/25	A	Almaty	69-75
22/11/25	A	Almaty	70-67
09/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	104-74
08/11/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	84-61
04/11/25	A	Astana	74-87
03/11/25	A	Astana	68-84
26/10/25	H	Almaty	72-78
25/10/25	H	Almaty	71-80
12/10/25	H	Atyrau	78-84

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-71
26/11/25	H	Atyrau	96-63
25/11/25	H	Atyrau	78-61
09/11/25	A	Almaty	106-73
08/11/25	A	Almaty	92-53
04/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	87-74
03/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	84-68
27/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	103-54
26/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-56
19/10/25	A	Atyrau	99-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	27%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	27%	0%	50%
Points / game	76.1	73.6	78.2
Allowed / game	79.4	85.0	74.7
Point differential	-3.3	-11.4	+3.5
Avg total	155.5	158.6	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	92.5	86.2	96.0
Allowed / game	63.5	66.5	61.7
Point differential	+29.0	+19.8	+34.3
Avg total	155.9	152.8	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	11	11	0	100%	92.5	63.5	+29.0
2	Almaty	12	9	3	75%	86.3	76.5	+9.8
3	Atyrau	10	4	6	40%	78.7	83.2	-4.5
4	Kaspiy Aktau	11	3	8	27%	76.1	79.4	-3.3
5	Tobol Kostanay	10	0	10	0%	60.4	96.0	-35.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kaspiy Aktau	18	18	11	16	63
Astana	14	17	28	16	75

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Kaspiy Aktau vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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