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Almaty vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 88-92
14-28 17-18 25-17 32-29
Position#3
Record9-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Atyrau 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#4
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.5
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Almaty v Atyrau
24 May 2026
ALMA85
ATYR76
23 May 2026
ALMA68
ATYR85
15 Mar 2026
ALMA74
ATYR72
14 Mar 2026
ALMA72
ATYR69
14 Dec 2025
ALMA73
ATYR83
13 Dec 2025
ALMA88
ATYR92
19 Jan 2025
ALMA81
ATYR68
18 Jan 2025
ALMA105
ATYR96
30 Jan 2024
ALMA83
ATYR89
29 Jan 2024
ALMA0
ATYR20
20 Dec 2020
ALMA72
ATYR84
19 Dec 2020
ALMA81
ATYR85
18 May 2019
ALMA67
ATYR78
24 Jan 2019
ALMA82
ATYR89
23 Jan 2019
ALMA89
ATYR70
25 Mar 2016
ALMA60
ATYR91
24 Mar 2016
ALMA70
ATYR82
14 Nov 2015
ALMA83
ATYR84
15 Feb 2014
ALMA62
ATYR94
03 Nov 2013
ALMA46
ATYR92
02 Nov 2013
ALMA47
ATYR108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atyrau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 79
A25/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 79
A26/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
113-112 OT
113
112
+1
104avg 79
A29/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 79
A30/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
53-92
53
92
-39
42avg 79
H08/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
73-106
73
106
-33
56avg 79
H09/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H22/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 79
H23/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-63
105
63
+42
103avg 79
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
103-62
103
62
+41
101avg 79
A28/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
16-24
22-11
20-13
21-22
13-17
26-16
18-17
22-32
27-9
25-33
31-31
26-20
24-18
20-16
19-29
16-24
11-25
8-23
18-20
16-24
22-26
19-27
16-29
15-17
21-17
19-16
12-20
21-21
20-10
16-18
18-20
23-21
30-15
24-20
28-7
33-9
17-10
24-28
29-15
163.6Avg total
83.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.376.5162.8+9.875%
Season at home (6)78.075.8153.8+2.250%
Season away (6)94.777.2171.8+17.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.680.0163.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)84.674.0158.6+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.084.1158.1-10.113%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.478.8162.2+4.778%
vs Weaker (6)74.740.5115.2+34.2100%
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtyrau
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
40avg 68
H18/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
64-99
64
99
-35
61avg 68
H19/10
National League
Almaty
#3
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
96avg 68
H29/10
National League
Almaty
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 68
H30/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
87-60
87
60
+27
87avg 68
A18/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
86-56
86
56
+30
81avg 68
A19/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
45avg 68
A25/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
63-96
63
96
-33
51avg 68
A26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
56avg 68
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
54avg 68
H08/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
19-21
15-14
14-24
12-25
19-28
22-24
11-22
32-22
9-27
33-25
31-31
20-26
18-24
16-20
29-19
25-16
18-18
23-16
21-10
17-12
22-7
31-22
16-15
18-14
19-23
20-23
4-18
24-28
11-26
21-23
7-19
25-20
19-28
16-22
8-22
19-19
20-22
11-26
14-11
159.7Avg total
74.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.683.5160.1-6.933%
Season at home (6)75.393.0168.3-17.70%
Season away (6)77.874.0151.8+3.867%
Last 10 (10)74.984.8159.7-9.920%
Last 5 (5)68.480.0148.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.881.9155.7-8.129%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.083.9161.9-5.929%
vs Weaker (2)86.558.0144.5+28.5100%
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
AlmatyAtyrau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A25/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H08/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H09/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H23/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A27/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
50-19
50
19
+31
A28/11
National League
80.0Avg total
41.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.738.981.6+3.856%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.035.676.6+5.458%-
Last 30 away (15)44.141.585.6+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.634.077.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.543.684.1-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.338.078.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker (4)55.824.280.0+31.5100%-
This opponent (Atyrau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AtyrauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#1
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H18/10
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H19/10
National League
Almaty
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H29/10
National League
Almaty
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H30/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A18/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
39-19
39
19
+20
A19/11
National League
Astana
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A25/11
National League
Astana
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A26/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
National League
81.3Avg total
37.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.979.6-2.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.743.983.7-4.220%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.975.5-0.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.943.481.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.141.879.9-3.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.942.181.0-3.121%-
vs Weaker (2)41.026.567.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Almaty wins
6
Atyrau wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Atyrau v Almaty83-89
29/10/25Atyrau v Almaty112-113 OT
19/01/25Almaty v Atyrau81-68
18/01/25Almaty v Atyrau105-96
02/12/24Atyrau v Almaty105-85
01/12/24Atyrau v Almaty80-78
30/01/24Almaty v Atyrau83-89
29/01/24Almaty v Atyrau0-20
06/12/23Atyrau v Almaty87-61
05/12/23Atyrau v Almaty80-77
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25ATobol Kostanay103-62
27/11/25ATobol Kostanay105-63
23/11/25HKaspiy Aktau75-69
22/11/25HKaspiy Aktau67-70
09/11/25HAstana73-106
08/11/25HAstana53-92
30/10/25AAtyrau89-83
29/10/25AAtyrau113-112 OT
26/10/25AKaspiy Aktau78-72
25/10/25AKaspiy Aktau80-71
Atyraulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HKaspiy Aktau64-78
07/12/25HKaspiy Aktau68-92
26/11/25AAstana63-96
25/11/25AAstana61-78
19/11/25ATobol Kostanay86-56
18/11/25ATobol Kostanay87-60
30/10/25HAlmaty83-89
29/10/25HAlmaty112-113 OT
19/10/25HAstana64-99
18/10/25HAstana61-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game86.378.094.7
Allowed / game76.575.877.2
Point differential+9.8+2.2+17.5
Avg total162.8153.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Atyrau
National League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%0%67%
Points / game76.675.377.8
Allowed / game83.593.074.0
Point differential-6.9-17.7+3.8
Avg total160.1168.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana12120100%91.063.4+27.6
2 Almaty129375%86.376.5+9.8
3 Kaspiy Aktau145936%76.477.1-0.7
4 Atyrau124833%76.683.5-6.9
5 Tobol Kostanay100100%60.496.0-35.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty1417253288
Atyrau2818172992
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