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Kaspiy Aktau vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 72-47
23-18 19-12 13-10 17-7
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game69.2
KazakhstanPremier League
Other2017-18
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar
09 Mar 2025
KASP96
PAVL75
08 Mar 2025
KASP82
PAVL79
08 Feb 2024
KASP94
PAVL88
07 Feb 2024
KASP78
PAVL69
30 Nov 2017
KASP79
PAVL48
29 Nov 2017
KASP72
PAVL47
12 Dec 2015
KASP88
PAVL34
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A30/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A31/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A21/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-64
105
64
+41
A23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H20/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H22/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A15/11
Premier League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A16/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H17/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
22-15
21-26
20-18
14-24
15-19
15-26
23-26
23-26
19-21
17-19
23-20
28-16
30-16
17-17
30-15
8-23
20-23
26-23
37-23
16-18
26-18
14-10
16-17
21-22
17-19
8-17
11-14
19-15
8-26
16-24
22-14
20-7
22-16
23-27
20-18
16-16
23-14
24-16
25-18
156.5Avg total
80.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.373.0149.3+3.350%
Season at home (3)78.776.0154.7+2.733%
Season away (3)74.070.0144.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)80.276.3156.5+3.950%
Last 5 (5)73.469.2142.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.881.7145.5-17.911%
vs Similar (5)81.474.0155.4+7.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.878.8166.7+9.050%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#6
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A04/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H05/03
Premier League
Kokshetay
#4
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A26/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H28/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
109-66
109
66
+43
A30/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H14/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H15/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A27/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
22-18
19-13
15-14
24-18
29-23
22-9
21-6
11-21
8-14
5-10
14-15
21-10
6-21
15-23
22-15
28-12
25-24
17-20
14-12
21-22
27-10
32-18
29-16
6-27
15-13
11-20
27-21
8-11
22-13
21-20
16-16
19-26
28-8
20-12
10-20
19-22
16-16
17-15
32-17
141.1Avg total
75.0Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.869.2141.0+2.575%
Season at home (2)63.070.5133.5-7.550%
Season away (2)80.568.0148.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.066.1141.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)79.268.6147.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)58.673.8132.4-15.317%
vs Similar (2)54.065.0119.0-11.050%
vs Weaker (5)88.052.6140.6+35.4100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +4.8+4.8
Kaspiy AktauPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A30/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A31/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H20/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H22/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A15/11
Premier League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A16/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/11
Premier League
76.9Avg total
39.4Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.640.977.4-4.331%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.340.576.8-4.231%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.177.9-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.576.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.271.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.243.576.7-10.311%-
vs Similar (5)39.035.874.8+3.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.835.882.6+11.080%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H05/03
Premier League
Kokshetay
#4
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A06/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A26/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H28/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A30/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H14/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H15/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A27/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/10
Premier League
72.0Avg total
37.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.536.667.2-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.837.268.0-6.436%-
Last 30 away (16)30.336.166.4-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.972.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.669.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.338.566.8-10.213%-
vs Similar (2)21.533.054.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker (5)44.429.674.0+14.8100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kaspiy Aktau wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
12/12/15Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar88-34
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/17HAlmaty88-64
16/11/17ATobol Kostanay85-68
15/11/17AAtyrau65-79
22/10/17HAtyrau57-72
21/10/17AAlmaty72-63
20/10/17HTobol Kostanay91-92
23/04/17ATobol Kostanay105-64
21/04/17AAtyrau82-86
31/03/17AAtyrau67-95
30/03/17AAtyrau90-80
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/17AKazygurt84-70
27/10/17AKazygurt77-66
15/10/17HKazygurt67-60
14/10/17HKazygurt59-81
30/03/17AKaspiy Aktau 2109-66
28/03/17HKaspiy Aktau 284-68
26/03/17AAstana 264-69
06/03/17AKokshetay38-60
05/03/17HKaspiy Aktau 296-56
04/03/17AAstana 272-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
Premier League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game76.378.774.0
Allowed / game73.076.070.0
Point differential+3.3+2.7+4.0
Avg total149.3154.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Premier League 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game71.863.080.5
Allowed / game69.270.568.0
Point differential+2.5-7.5+12.5
Avg total141.0133.5148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Atyrau97278%78.862.0+16.8
2 Kapshagay43175%82.275.2+7.0
3 Pavlodar43175%71.869.2+2.5
4 Tobol Kostanay64267%74.775.3-0.7
5 Kokshetay53260%80.867.6+13.2
6 Kaspiy Aktau63350%76.373.0+3.3
7 Atyrau 263350%64.574.0-9.5
8 Bars Petropavlovsk52340%67.680.8-13.2
9 Kazygurt41325%69.271.8-2.5
10 Aktobe41325%75.282.2-7.0
11 Almaty61517%65.579.3-13.8
12 Astana 23030%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau2319131772
Pavlodar181210747
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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