Kaspiy Aktau vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Feb 2024

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 94-88 (OT)

25-31 13-19 25-9 22-26 9-3

Position#7

Record5-18

FormLLLLW

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game86.8

Kaspiy Aktau 🏆

Pavlodar

Position#8

Record1-22

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.7

Allowed / game91.5

National League

Other2023-24

Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pavlodar winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAktau

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

63-90

-27

58avg 65

H14/12

National League

Atyrau

77-102

102

-25

66avg 65

H25/12

National League

Atyrau

82-97

-15

79avg 65

H26/12

National League

Almaty

84-81

79avg 65

A11/01

National League

Almaty

79-91

-12

71avg 65

A12/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

57-79

-22

50avg 65

A15/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

60-89

-29

46avg 65

A16/01

National League

Astana 2

48-68

-20

38avg 65

A28/01

National League

Astana 2

66-95

-29

38avg 65

A29/01

National League

Pavlodar

78-69

76avg 65

H07/02

National League

18-22

8-28

18-23

19-17

13-26

20-28

25-30

19-18

25-22

18-27

26-24

13-24

19-23

23-19

21-19

21-20

21-33

18-19

23-17

17-22

17-21

10-19

15-14

15-25

13-30

17-14

8-30

22-15

20-13

4-18

5-22

19-15

19-28

20-27

13-14

14-26

25-15

11-15

19-20

23-19

155.5Avg total

69.4Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	73.0	86.8	159.9	-13.8	22%
Season at home (11)	75.2	91.2	166.4	-16.0	18%
Season away (12)	71.1	82.8	153.9	-11.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	86.1	155.5	-16.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	61.8	80.0	141.8	-18.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	70.5	87.0	157.5	-16.6	13%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	76.4	68.2	144.6	+8.2	100%
vs Weaker (2)	79.5	55.5	135.0	+24.0	100%

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pavlodar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPavlodar

Date

Competition

Aktobe

76-104

104

-28

60avg 61

H15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

83-101

101

-18

73avg 61

A09/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

82-111

111

-29

75avg 61

A10/01

National League

Astana 2

68-90

-22

55avg 61

A12/01

National League

Astana 2

72-101

101

-29

61avg 61

A13/01

National League

Almaty

98-106

106

-8

80avg 61

H23/01

National League

Almaty

69-109

109

-40

49avg 61

H24/01

National League

Atyrau

69-92

-23

58avg 61

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

67-77

-10

55avg 61

H03/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

69-78

-9

62avg 61

A07/02

National League

16-25

25-20

12-32

23-27

24-27

22-28

22-20

15-26

16-20

22-34

16-31

28-26

18-19

19-27

21-24

10-20

16-25

17-22

20-23

19-31

25-27

20-34

20-24

33-21

18-28

15-25

20-31

16-25

18-26

24-24

23-26

4-16

16-16

15-29

26-11

10-21

15-25

15-11

20-19

19-23

172.2Avg total

75.3Scored

96.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	74.7	91.5	166.2	-16.8	4%
Season at home (14)	75.6	91.1	166.6	-15.5	7%
Season away (9)	73.3	92.1	165.4	-18.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	96.9	172.2	-21.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	92.4	166.8	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	74.5	90.8	165.3	-16.3	9%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	71.6	78.2	149.8	-6.6	20%
vs Weaker (2)	79.5	82.5	162.0	-3.0	0%

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Kaspiy AktauPavlodar

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	23.7	42.1	-5.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	23.3	42.3	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.2	23.7	42.0	-5.5	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	9.5	34.0	+15.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	12%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	21.9	39.7	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.4	42.8	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	23.7	41.7	-5.7	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.5	37.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	21.2	38.4	-4.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	20.8	37.6	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.9	21.4	36.3	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.4	18.6	31.0	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.2	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.4	43.2	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	23.4	41.7	-5.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	25.4	44.8	-6.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.6	42.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.6	24.4	44.0	-4.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	23.0	47.5	+1.5	50%	-

Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Irbis Almaty

26-50

-24

H14/12

National League

Atyrau

33-54

-21

H25/12

National League

Atyrau

43-49

-6

H26/12

National League

Almaty

42-42

A11/01

National League

Almaty

39-52

-13

A12/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

27-40

-13

A15/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

30-44

-14

A16/01

National League

Astana 2

24-31

-7

A28/01

National League

Astana 2

39-55

-16

A29/01

National League

Pavlodar

36-30

H07/02

National League

78.6Avg total

33.9Scored

44.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	42.8	78.7	-6.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.6	44.9	80.6	-9.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	40.9	77.0	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	44.7	78.6	-10.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	40.0	71.2	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	34.6	45.3	79.9	-10.7	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.2	37.0	74.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	28.0	75.5	+19.5	100%	-

This opponent (Pavlodar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

41-45

-4

H15/12

National League

Tobol Kostanay

46-55

-9

A09/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

38-54

-16

A10/01

National League

Astana 2

37-46

-9

A12/01

National League

Astana 2

33-47

-14

A13/01

National League

Almaty

45-61

-16

H23/01

National League

Almaty

33-53

-20

H24/01

National League

Atyrau

42-50

-8

H02/02

National League

Atyrau

31-45

-14

H03/02

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

30-36

-6

A07/02

National League

86.8Avg total

37.6Scored

49.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	46.0	84.1	-7.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	46.5	86.1	-6.9	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.1	45.3	81.4	-9.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	49.2	86.8	-11.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	49.0	85.2	-12.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	37.6	48.0	85.7	-10.4	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	39.5	84.5	+5.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	12.0	20.0	32.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	14.5	35.0	+6.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	21.8	41.1	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	24.1	44.1	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.4	36.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	19.4	38.1	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.1	19.4	35.5	-3.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	19.6	15.0	34.6	+4.6	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	11.5	13.0	24.5	-1.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	23.6	41.3	-5.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.0	21.0	38.9	-3.0	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.2	39.0	75.2	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.3	39.4	77.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.3	38.7	73.0	-4.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	41.4	76.9	-5.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	40.0	70.6	-9.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	35.9	41.7	77.6	-5.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	39.2	31.2	70.4	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.0	27.5	59.5	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	42.1	78.4	-5.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.3	41.1	76.4	-5.8	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	43.5	81.0	-5.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	47.7	85.4	-10.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	36.9	42.7	79.6	-5.9	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.2	39.0	73.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	34.5	43.0	77.5	-8.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kaspiy Aktau wins

Pavlodar wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/24	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	78-69
19/11/23	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	77-85
18/11/23	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	74-96
10/04/23	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	60-61
19/11/22	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	70-47
24/10/22	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	77-73
01/12/17	Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau	64-81
30/11/17	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	79-48
29/11/17	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	72-47
12/12/15	Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar	88-34

Kaspiy Aktaulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/24	H	Pavlodar	78-69
29/01/24	A	Astana 2	66-95
28/01/24	A	Astana 2	48-68
16/01/24	A	Irbis Almaty	60-89
15/01/24	A	Irbis Almaty	57-79
12/01/24	A	Almaty	79-91
11/01/24	A	Almaty	84-81
26/12/23	H	Atyrau	82-97
25/12/23	H	Atyrau	77-102
14/12/23	H	Irbis Almaty	63-90

Pavlodarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/02/24	A	Kaspiy Aktau	69-78
03/02/24	H	Atyrau	67-77
02/02/24	H	Atyrau	69-92
24/01/24	H	Almaty	69-109
23/01/24	H	Almaty	98-106
13/01/24	A	Astana 2	72-101
12/01/24	A	Astana 2	68-90
10/01/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	82-111
09/01/24	A	Tobol Kostanay	83-101
15/12/23	H	Aktobe	76-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau

National League 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	22%
Home	LLLLW	18%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	22%	18%	25%
Points / game	73.0	75.2	71.1
Allowed / game	86.8	91.2	82.8
Point differential	-13.8	-16.0	-11.8
Avg total	159.9	166.4	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	0%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Pavlodar

National League 2023-24

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	4%
Home	LLLLL	7%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	14	9
Win %	4%	7%	0%
Points / game	74.7	75.6	73.3
Allowed / game	91.5	91.1	92.1
Point differential	-16.8	-15.5	-18.8
Avg total	166.2	166.6	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Irbis Almaty	22	21	1	95%	86.8	70.9	+15.9
2	Atyrau	24	17	7	71%	82.0	73.5	+8.5
3	Tobol Kostanay	22	14	8	64%	88.2	83.1	+5.1
4	Astana 2	22	12	10	55%	79.0	74.7	+4.3
5	Aktobe	22	12	10	55%	84.1	83.6	+0.5
6	Almaty	24	9	15	38%	80.0	82.8	-2.8
7	Kaspiy Aktau	23	5	18	22%	73.0	86.8	-13.8
8	Pavlodar	23	1	22	4%	74.7	91.5	-16.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Kaspiy Aktau	25	13	25	22	9	94
Pavlodar	31	19	9	26	3	88

← all games of the day

Kaspiy Aktau vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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