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Kaspiy Aktau vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 79-48
24-4 13-10 17-12 25-22
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game69.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game66.8
Allowed / game69.8
KazakhstanPremier League
Other2017-18
Meetings · Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar
09 Mar 2025
KASP96
PAVL75
08 Mar 2025
KASP82
PAVL79
08 Feb 2024
KASP94
PAVL88
07 Feb 2024
KASP78
PAVL69
30 Nov 2017
KASP79
PAVL48
29 Nov 2017
KASP72
PAVL47
12 Dec 2015
KASP88
PAVL34
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
A31/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A21/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
105-64
105
64
+41
A23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
H20/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H22/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A15/11
Premier League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A16/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H17/11
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H29/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
15-19
15-26
23-26
23-26
19-21
17-19
23-20
28-16
30-16
17-17
30-15
8-23
20-23
26-23
37-23
16-18
26-18
14-10
16-17
21-22
17-19
8-17
11-14
19-15
8-26
16-24
22-14
20-7
22-16
23-27
20-18
16-16
23-14
24-16
25-18
23-18
19-12
13-10
17-7
151.4Avg total
78.4Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.769.3145.0+6.457%
Season at home (4)77.068.8145.8+8.250%
Season away (3)74.070.0144.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)78.473.0151.4+5.450%
Last 5 (5)73.466.0139.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.881.7145.5-17.911%
vs Similar (4)84.071.8155.8+12.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.674.3159.9+11.357%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H05/03
Premier League
Kokshetay
#4
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A06/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A26/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H28/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
109-66
109
66
+43
A30/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H14/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H15/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A27/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A28/10
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A29/11
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
29-23
22-9
21-6
11-21
8-14
5-10
14-15
21-10
6-21
15-23
22-15
28-12
25-24
17-20
14-12
21-22
27-10
32-18
29-16
6-27
15-13
11-20
27-21
8-11
22-13
21-20
16-16
19-26
28-8
20-12
10-20
19-22
16-16
17-15
32-17
18-23
12-19
10-13
7-17
139.3Avg total
72.5Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.869.8136.6-3.060%
Season at home (2)63.070.5133.5-7.550%
Season away (3)69.369.3138.7+0.067%
Last 10 (10)72.566.8139.3+5.760%
Last 5 (5)66.869.8136.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)58.474.1132.5-15.717%
vs Similar (2)54.065.0119.0-11.050%
vs Weaker (5)88.052.6140.6+35.4100%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +3.7+3.7
Kaspiy AktauPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A31/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
58-32
58
32
+26
A23/04
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H20/10
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A21/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H22/10
Premier League
Atyrau
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A15/11
Premier League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A16/11
Premier League
Almaty
#4
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H17/11
Premier League
Pavlodar
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/11
Premier League
75.6Avg total
38.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.540.476.9-3.934%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.239.575.6-3.338%-
Last 30 away (16)36.841.177.9-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.975.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.070.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.243.576.7-10.311%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.871.5+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.034.880.8+11.283%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H05/03
Premier League
Kokshetay
#4
L
19-35
19
35
-16
A06/03
Premier League
Astana 2
#6
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A26/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H28/03
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A30/03
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H14/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H15/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A27/10
Premier League
Kazygurt
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/10
Premier League
Kaspiy Aktau
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A29/11
Premier League
71.6Avg total
36.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.636.767.3-6.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.837.268.0-6.436%-
Last 30 away (16)30.436.266.7-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.371.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.668.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.438.667.0-10.213%-
vs Similar (2)21.533.054.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker (5)44.429.674.0+14.8100%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kaspiy Aktau wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
29/11/17Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar72-47
12/12/15Kaspiy Aktau v Pavlodar88-34
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/17HPavlodar72-47
17/11/17HAlmaty88-64
16/11/17ATobol Kostanay85-68
15/11/17AAtyrau65-79
22/10/17HAtyrau57-72
21/10/17AAlmaty72-63
20/10/17HTobol Kostanay91-92
23/04/17ATobol Kostanay105-64
21/04/17AAtyrau82-86
31/03/17AAtyrau67-95
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/17AKaspiy Aktau47-72
28/10/17AKazygurt84-70
27/10/17AKazygurt77-66
15/10/17HKazygurt67-60
14/10/17HKazygurt59-81
30/03/17AKaspiy Aktau 2109-66
28/03/17HKaspiy Aktau 284-68
26/03/17AAstana 264-69
06/03/17AKokshetay38-60
05/03/17HKaspiy Aktau 296-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kaspiy Aktau
Premier League 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game75.777.074.0
Allowed / game69.368.870.0
Point differential+6.4+8.2+4.0
Avg total145.0145.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Premier League 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game66.863.069.3
Allowed / game69.870.569.3
Point differential-3.0-7.5+0.0
Avg total136.6133.5138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kapshagay54180%82.672.2+10.4
2 Atyrau97278%78.862.0+16.8
3 Tobol Kostanay75271%78.975.9+3.0
4 Pavlodar53260%66.869.8-3.0
5 Kaspiy Aktau74357%75.769.3+6.4
6 Kokshetay63350%80.573.7+6.8
7 Atyrau 263350%64.574.0-9.5
8 Bars Petropavlovsk52340%67.680.8-13.2
9 Kazygurt41325%69.271.8-2.5
10 Aktobe41325%75.282.2-7.0
11 Almaty71614%64.780.0-15.3
12 Astana 23030%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kaspiy Aktau2413172579
Pavlodar410122248
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