Kastela vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2015

Tip-off: 15:45

Final 74-83

18-20 22-17 17-25 17-21

Position#10

Record11-13

FormLLWWW

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game83.2

Kastela

Split 🏆

Position#9

Record10-14

FormWWLLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game73.7

Premijer ligaRound 6

Other2014-15

Meetings · Kastela v Split

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Split winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

#13

87-76

+11

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

71-76

-5

A14/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

97-105

105

-8

H28/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

72-90

-18

A07/03

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

H14/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

59-88

-29

A21/03

Premijer liga

Split

67-88

-21

A08/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

77-75

H14/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

81-75

A18/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

97-92

H21/04

Premijer liga

25-20

22-21

20-19

20-16

18-16

21-19

23-21

9-20

24-29

21-27

24-24

28-25

19-27

24-21

15-19

14-23

–

22-22

13-19

8-22

16-25

16-19

17-23

19-28

15-18

21-21

25-15

14-25

17-14

22-18

16-17

21-20

22-20

30-26

25-20

25-22

17-24

149.3Avg total

72.8Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	80.2	83.2	163.4	-3.1	46%
Season at home (12)	80.1	77.4	157.5	+2.7	67%
Season away (12)	80.2	89.1	169.3	-8.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	76.5	149.3	-3.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	83.6	159.8	-7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	83.2	84.9	168.1	-1.8	50%
vs Similar (10)	81.8	88.9	170.7	-7.1	40%
vs Weaker (2)	54.0	45.0	99.0	+9.0	50%

This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Split

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kastela

#10

81-85

-4

H31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

56-83

-27

A14/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

66-69

-3

H28/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

87-75

+12

A08/03

Premijer liga

Kvarner

92-79

+13

H14/03

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

A21/03

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

88-67

+21

H08/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

77-84 OT

-7

A11/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

66-77

-11

H14/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

83-77

A18/04

Premijer liga

20-14

29-24

18-18

14-29

12-27

11-22

13-14

20-20

18-12

13-20

10-16

25-21

26-20

11-16

21-25

29-14

–

19-16

23-17

28-19

18-15

17-23

16-16

18-19

22-15

22-18

22-19

18-21

4-19

26-16

10-23

22-16

25-22

141.2Avg total

71.6Scored

69.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.0	73.7	147.7	+0.4	42%
Season at home (12)	79.0	73.9	152.9	+5.1	58%
Season away (12)	69.1	73.4	142.5	-4.3	25%
Last 10 (10)	71.6	69.6	141.2	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	61.0	127.8	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.5	85.5	164.0	-7.0	50%
vs Similar (13)	77.7	79.5	157.2	-1.8	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	73.6	72.9	146.5	+0.7	40%

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KastelaSplit

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.2	23.5	43.7	-3.2	29%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.9	23.5	45.4	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	22.5	42.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	24.5	45.7	-3.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.6	19.0	38.7	+0.6	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.7	36.6	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.6	40.6	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	23.0	37.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.7	19.7	41.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	20.2	40.7	+0.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.1	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	54%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	27.5	49.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	57%	-

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osijek

#13

47-41

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

39-35

A14/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

45-56

-11

H28/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

43-48

-5

A07/03

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

35-41

-6

A21/03

Premijer liga

Split

33-42

-9

A08/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

46-36

+10

H14/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

38-35

A18/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

55-46

H21/04

Premijer liga

84.6Avg total

42.3Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	41.0	45.1	86.1	-4.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.8	44.2	87.0	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.1	46.1	85.2	-7.0	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	42.3	42.2	84.6	+0.1	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.1	43.7	84.8	-2.6	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.4	46.1	88.5	-3.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kastela

#10

49-38

+11

H31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

23-49

-26

A14/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

31-32

-1

H28/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

37-36

A08/03

Premijer liga

Kastela

#10

42-33

H08/04

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

33-39

-6

A11/04

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

44-37

H14/04

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

36-39

-3

A18/04

Premijer liga

74.8Avg total

36.9Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.9	39.1	78.0	-0.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	36.9	77.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	41.3	78.0	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.9	37.9	74.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.8	75.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	50.5	86.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.6	39.4	79.0	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.7	37.2	75.9	+1.5	43%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.5	21.4	40.9	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	42%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.1	21%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.8	21.7	38.4	-4.9	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+0.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	54%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	20.6	38.1	-3.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	58%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.6	40.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	40.2	41.3	81.5	-1.0	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.2	41.0	81.2	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.2	41.6	81.8	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	36.3	42.8	79.1	-6.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	43.6	78.4	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	42.1	41.2	83.3	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.3	41.1	79.4	-2.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	38.1	75.9	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	41.4	79.9	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.0	78.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.9	40.1	77.0	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	38.4	40.1	78.6	-1.7	29%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kastela wins

Split wins

Date	Game	Score
08/04/15	Split v Kastela	88-67
31/01/15	Split v Kastela	81-85
29/10/14	Kastela v Split	85-83

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/15	H	Gorica	97-92
18/04/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	81-75
14/04/15	H	Osijek	77-75
08/04/15	A	Split	67-88
21/03/15	A	Alkar	59-88
14/03/15	H	Slavonski Brod	20-0
07/03/15	A	Kvarner	72-90
28/02/15	H	Gorica	97-105
14/02/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	71-76
07/02/15	H	Osijek	87-76

Splitlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/04/15	A	Gorica	83-77
14/04/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	66-77
11/04/15	A	Osijek	77-84 OT
08/04/15	H	Kastela	88-67
21/03/15	A	Slavonski Brod	20-0
14/03/15	H	Kvarner	92-79
08/03/15	A	Gorica	87-75
28/02/15	H	Jolly Sibenik	66-69
14/02/15	A	Osijek	56-83
31/01/15	H	Kastela	81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	46%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	67%	25%
Points / game	80.2	80.1	80.2
Allowed / game	83.2	77.4	89.1
Point differential	-3.1	+2.7	-8.8
Avg total	163.4	157.5	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Split

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	42%
Home	LLWWL	58%
Away	LWWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	42%	58%	25%
Points / game	74.0	79.0	69.1
Allowed / game	73.7	73.9	73.4
Point differential	+0.4	+5.1	-4.3
Avg total	147.7	152.9	142.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	42%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	25% (4)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	8	8	0	100%	84.8	69.4	+15.4
2	Cedevita	6	5	1	83%	93.8	66.7	+27.2
3	Zagreb	27	20	7	74%	81.9	74.8	+7.1
4	Kvarner	28	17	11	61%	81.4	76.3	+5.1
5	GKK Sibenik	28	16	12	57%	77.4	77.2	+0.1
6	Zabok	27	15	12	56%	73.9	75.6	-1.7
7	Zadar	8	4	4	50%	76.4	73.8	+2.6
8	Jolly Sibenik	24	12	12	50%	72.6	72.9	-0.2
9	Kastela	24	11	13	46%	80.2	83.2	-3.1
10	Alkar	28	12	16	43%	71.4	75.5	-4.1
11	Split	24	10	14	42%	74.0	73.7	+0.4
12	Osijek	25	10	15	40%	73.0	76.2	-3.2
13	Gorica	25	9	16	36%	79.2	80.8	-1.5
14	Slavonski Brod	20	2	18	10%	35.4	50.1	-14.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kastela	18	22	17	17	74
Split	20	17	25	21	83

← all games of the day

Kastela vs Split Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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