Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 97-105

24-29 21-27 24-24 28-25

Position#10

Record7-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game86.6

Kastela

Gorica 🏆

Position#11

Record6-10

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game77.2

Premijer ligaRound 19

Other2014-15

Meetings · Kastela v Gorica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gorica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

#11

77-109

109

-32

A22/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

88-97

-9

H29/11

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

88-90

-2

A06/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

73-68

H13/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

74-83

-9

H04/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

76-85

-9

A11/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

66-75

-9

H17/01

Premijer liga

Split

85-81

A31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

87-76

+11

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

71-76

-5

A14/02

Premijer liga

10-34

22-25

23-23

22-27

26-28

23-20

23-23

16-26

19-25

20-19

15-17

34-29

20-15

20-19

16-19

17-15

17-26

16-15

14-25

27-17

11-20

17-26

24-19

24-20

19-21

17-19

9-17

21-18

14-20

24-29

18-18

29-14

25-20

22-21

20-19

20-16

18-16

21-19

23-21

9-20

162.5Avg total

78.5Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.6	86.6	171.2	-1.9	44%
Season at home (8)	83.8	82.1	165.9	+1.6	62%
Season away (8)	85.5	91.0	176.5	-5.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	84.0	162.5	-5.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	78.6	155.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	86.4	85.1	171.6	+1.3	56%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	81.3	88.2	169.5	-6.8	33%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	90.0	178.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gorica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

87-83

A29/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

94-82

+12

H07/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

76-90

-14

A13/12

Premijer liga

Kvarner

86-95

-9

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

69-93

-24

A10/01

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

H17/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

79-81

-2

A24/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

85-89

-4

H31/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

85-97

-12

A08/02

Premijer liga

Zabok

60-70

-10

H15/02

Premijer liga

15-20

23-23

27-21

22-19

21-20

23-24

28-18

22-20

22-9

17-31

15-27

22-23

21-19

18-30

23-28

24-18

25-22

17-24

10-19

17-28

–

28-21

21-16

16-22

14-22

30-27

21-22

20-24

14-16

19-29

20-25

17-17

29-26

12-16

16-26

13-13

19-15

152.1Avg total

74.1Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	76.0	77.2	153.2	-1.2	38%
Season at home (8)	74.0	68.4	142.4	+5.6	50%
Season away (8)	78.0	86.0	164.0	-8.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	78.0	152.1	-3.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	65.8	67.4	133.2	-1.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.2	86.2	160.4	-12.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	77.5	78.0	155.5	-0.5	45%
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	35.5	81.5	+10.5	100%

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KastelaGorica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	19.5	23.6	43.1	-4.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.0	24.4	42.4	-6.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.1	22.9	43.0	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.8	17.8	39.6	+4.0	67%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.4	20.3	41.8	+1.1	67%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	22.5	39.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.9	22.2	43.2	-1.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	78%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	78%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.5	22.7	42.2	-3.2	39%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.7	22.9	43.6	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.3	22.4	40.8	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	24.6	44.1	-5.0	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	25.5	43.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	22.1	41.9	-2.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	-

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gorica

#11

32-59

-27

A22/11

Premijer liga

Kvarner

49-48

H29/11

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

39-44

-5

A06/12

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

40-34

H13/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

33-41

-8

H04/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

28-46

-18

A11/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

36-40

-4

H17/01

Premijer liga

Split

38-49

-11

A31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

47-41

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

39-35

A14/02

Premijer liga

81.8Avg total

38.1Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	40.5	45.8	86.3	-5.4	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.9	43.6	84.4	-2.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	40.0	48.4	88.4	-8.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.7	81.8	-5.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.2	79.8	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	42.1	44.3	86.4	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.5	47.0	87.5	-6.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Split

38-43

-5

A29/11

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

44-44

H07/12

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

39-40

-1

A13/12

Premijer liga

Kvarner

39-49

-10

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Kvarner

42-46

-4

A10/01

Premijer liga

Alkar

#12

49-37

+12

A24/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

51-49

H31/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

39-54

-15

A08/02

Premijer liga

Zabok

28-42

-14

H15/02

Premijer liga

85.9Avg total

41.0Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	40.4	41.2	81.7	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (9)	40.1	40.2	80.3	-0.1	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	41.0	44.9	85.9	-3.9	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.6	87.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	48.0	82.5	-13.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.4	40.2	81.6	+1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	40.0	34.0	74.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.7	20.6	41.4	+0.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.2	21.4	42.7	-0.2	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.0	34.2	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	21.1	19.5	40.6	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	23.1	19.3	42.4	+3.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.4	24.6	43.0	-6.1	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.0	18.5	44.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	17.0	28.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	41.8	40.1	81.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (8)	44.1	40.5	84.6	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.3	80.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.4	75.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	44.3	40.8	85.1	+3.6	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	39.0	38.3	77.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (18)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.8	37.4	78.2	+3.3	78%	-
Last 30 away (9)	35.7	44.6	80.2	-8.9	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	41.8	80.9	-2.7	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	40.4	74.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	39.5	82.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.4	41.1	78.5	-3.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	37.0	69.0	-5.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kastela wins

Gorica wins

Date	Game	Score
22/11/14	Gorica v Kastela	109-77

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	71-76
07/02/15	H	Osijek	87-76
31/01/15	A	Split	85-81
17/01/15	H	Zabok	66-75
11/01/15	A	Zagreb	76-85
04/01/15	H	GKK Sibenik	74-83
13/12/14	H	Alkar	73-68
06/12/14	A	Slavonski Brod	88-90
29/11/14	H	Kvarner	88-97
22/11/14	A	Gorica	77-109

Goricalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/15	H	Zabok	60-70
08/02/15	A	Zagreb	85-97
31/01/15	H	GKK Sibenik	85-89
24/01/15	A	Alkar	79-81
17/01/15	H	Slavonski Brod	20-0
10/01/15	A	Kvarner	69-93
30/12/14	H	Kvarner	86-95
13/12/14	A	Jolly Sibenik	76-90
07/12/14	H	Osijek	94-82
29/11/14	A	Split	87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	44%
Home	LWLLW	62%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	44%	62%	25%
Points / game	84.6	83.8	85.5
Allowed / game	86.6	82.1	91.0
Point differential	-1.9	+1.6	-5.5
Avg total	171.2	165.9	176.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	38%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Gorica

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	38%
Home	WWWLL	50%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	38%	50%	25%
Points / game	76.0	74.0	78.0
Allowed / game	77.2	68.4	86.0
Point differential	-1.2	+5.6	-8.0
Avg total	153.2	142.4	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	GKK Sibenik	17	13	4	76%	80.0	74.9	+5.1
2	Zagreb	17	12	5	71%	85.6	77.4	+8.2
3	Kvarner	16	11	5	69%	81.3	74.8	+6.5
4	Alkar	16	10	6	62%	74.8	72.6	+2.2
5	Zabok	16	10	6	62%	77.1	75.9	+1.2
6	Jolly Sibenik	18	9	9	50%	71.1	72.0	-0.9
7	Kastela	16	7	9	44%	84.6	86.6	-1.9
8	Gorica	16	6	10	38%	76.0	77.2	-1.2
9	Osijek	17	6	11	35%	70.0	73.5	-3.5
10	Split	17	5	12	29%	74.4	77.0	-2.6
11	Slavonski Brod	16	2	14	12%	44.2	57.6	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kastela	24	21	24	28	97
Gorica	29	27	24	25	105

← all games of the day

Kastela vs Gorica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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