Alkar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 88-59

22-22 19-13 22-8 25-16

Position#12

Record10-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game74.1

Alkar 🏆

Kastela

Position#10

Record8-11

FormWLLLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game83.2

Premijer ligaRound 22

Other2014-15

Meetings · Alkar v Kastela

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kastela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alkar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

74-77

-3

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Split

73-67

A03/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

81-89

-8

H10/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

71-79

-8

A17/01

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

81-79

H24/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

68-90

-22

A31/01

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

H07/02

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

78-79

-1

A01/03

Premijer liga

Zagreb

66-90

-24

H07/03

Premijer liga

Zabok

67-78

-11

A14/03

Premijer liga

27-23

12-21

20-17

15-16

17-15

14-16

15-22

27-14

14-22

23-31

20-11

24-25

15-22

19-13

17-21

20-23

21-28

16-21

22-16

22-14

9-20

22-29

18-22

19-19

–

15-16

14-22

21-16

28-25

18-20

12-21

17-27

19-22

–

140.7Avg total

67.9Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	74.1	74.1	148.2	+0.0	53%
Season at home (9)	73.3	71.0	144.3	+2.3	67%
Season away (10)	74.8	76.9	151.7	-2.1	40%
Last 10 (10)	67.9	72.8	140.7	-4.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	59.8	67.4	127.2	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	72.7	80.9	153.6	-8.1	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	76.4	78.2	154.5	-1.8	46%
vs Weaker (2)	53.0	32.5	85.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kastela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#12

73-68

H13/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

74-83

-9

H04/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

76-85

-9

A11/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

66-75

-9

H17/01

Premijer liga

Split

85-81

A31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

87-76

+11

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

71-76

-5

A14/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

97-105

105

-8

H28/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

72-90

-18

A07/03

Premijer liga

Slavonski Brod

#14

20-0

+20

H14/03

Premijer liga

20-15

20-19

16-19

17-15

17-26

16-15

14-25

27-17

11-20

17-26

24-19

24-20

19-21

17-19

9-17

21-18

14-20

24-29

18-18

29-14

25-20

22-21

20-19

20-16

18-16

21-19

23-21

9-20

24-29

21-27

24-24

28-25

19-27

24-21

15-19

14-23

–

146.0Avg total

72.1Scored

73.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	81.2	83.2	164.4	-1.9	42%
Season at home (10)	78.7	76.2	154.9	+2.5	60%
Season away (9)	84.0	90.9	174.9	-6.9	22%
Last 10 (10)	72.1	73.9	146.0	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.4	69.4	138.8	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	85.0	85.6	170.6	-0.6	50%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	83.6	90.6	174.1	-7.0	29%
vs Weaker (2)	54.0	45.0	99.0	+9.0	50%

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlkarKastela

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.7	20.4	38.1	-2.7	32%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.2	21.3	38.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	30.0	20.0	50.0	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.7	24.1	43.8	-4.3	26%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.2	23.5	44.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.1	24.7	42.8	-6.6	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.6	21.6	40.1	-3.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	25.1	45.0	-5.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	21.5	40.6	-2.3	32%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	22.1	41.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	31%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.5	21.8	38.2	-5.2	12%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.2	37.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.9	20.6	38.4	-2.7	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	22.9	43.8	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	21.1	22.4	43.5	-1.3	58%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	22.2	23.7	45.9	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	23.4	45.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

39-44

-5

H30/12

Croatian Cup

Split

31-31

A03/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

37-53

-16

H10/01

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

34-35

-1

A17/01

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

37-49

-12

H24/01

Premijer liga

Kvarner

31-49

-18

A31/01

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

29-38

-9

A01/03

Premijer liga

Zagreb

30-41

-11

H07/03

Premijer liga

76.0Avg total

33.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	36.8	41.9	78.7	-5.0	32%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.9	42.8	80.7	-4.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.6	40.8	76.4	-5.2	23%	-
Last 10 (8)	33.5	42.5	76.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	42.4	74.6	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.4	40.0	74.4	-5.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.0	44.2	82.2	-6.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	37.0	91.0	+17.0	100%	-

This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alkar

#12

40-34

H13/12

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenik

33-41

-8

H04/01

Premijer liga

Zagreb

28-46

-18

A11/01

Premijer liga

Zabok

36-40

-4

H17/01

Premijer liga

Split

38-49

-11

A31/01

Premijer liga

Osijek

#13

47-41

H07/02

Premijer liga

Jolly Sibenik

39-35

A14/02

Premijer liga

Gorica

#11

45-56

-11

H28/02

Premijer liga

Kvarner

43-48

-5

A07/03

Premijer liga

82.1Avg total

38.8Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	40.8	46.5	87.3	-5.6	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.3	44.8	86.1	-3.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	40.3	48.3	88.7	-8.0	22%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.8	43.3	82.1	-4.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.2	44.7	86.9	-2.5	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.1	48.3	89.4	-7.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	44.0	83.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.5	18.5	37.0	-0.0	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.3	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.2	32%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.8	19.8	41.5	+2.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	21.1	19.9	41.1	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	70%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	19.7	41.9	+2.5	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.4	19.1	38.6	+0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	29.0	63.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	37.9	36.8	74.8	+1.1	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	38.5	75.3	-1.6	46%	-
Last 10 (8)	40.5	38.8	79.2	+1.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.0	81.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	38.3	40.9	79.1	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.2	33.2	71.4	+5.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	32.0	28.0	60.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	41.7	40.7	82.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.0	40.7	81.7	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	42.4	40.7	83.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (9)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.8	79.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.8	40.9	83.7	+1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.9	39.9	80.7	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	49.0	46.0	95.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Alkar wins

Kastela wins

Date	Game	Score
13/12/14	Kastela v Alkar	73-68

Alkarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/15	A	Zabok	67-78
07/03/15	H	Zagreb	66-90
01/03/15	A	GKK Sibenik	78-79
07/02/15	H	Slavonski Brod	20-0
31/01/15	A	Kvarner	68-90
24/01/15	H	Gorica	81-79
17/01/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	71-79
10/01/15	H	Osijek	81-89
03/01/15	A	Split	73-67
30/12/14	H	Cibona	74-77

Kastelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/03/15	H	Slavonski Brod	20-0
07/03/15	A	Kvarner	72-90
28/02/15	H	Gorica	97-105
14/02/15	A	Jolly Sibenik	71-76
07/02/15	H	Osijek	87-76
31/01/15	A	Split	85-81
17/01/15	H	Zabok	66-75
11/01/15	A	Zagreb	76-85
04/01/15	H	GKK Sibenik	74-83
13/12/14	H	Alkar	73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	53%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	WLLLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	67%	40%
Points / game	74.1	73.3	74.8
Allowed / game	74.1	71.0	76.9
Point differential	+0.0	+2.3	-2.1
Avg total	148.2	144.3	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	44%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kastela

Premijer liga 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	42%
Home	LLWLW	60%
Away	LLWLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	42%	60%	22%
Points / game	81.2	78.7	84.0
Allowed / game	83.2	76.2	90.9
Point differential	-1.9	+2.5	-6.9
Avg total	164.4	154.9	174.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	40%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zagreb	20	15	5	75%	82.7	72.7	+10.1
2	Zabok	20	14	6	70%	74.5	71.3	+3.1
3	GKK Sibenik	20	14	6	70%	78.8	75.8	+3.0
4	Kvarner	20	13	7	65%	82.0	75.5	+6.5
5	Alkar	19	10	9	53%	74.1	74.1	+0.0
6	Jolly Sibenik	19	10	9	53%	71.4	71.8	-0.4
7	Kastela	19	8	11	42%	81.2	83.2	-1.9
8	Split	19	7	12	37%	75.9	77.0	-1.1
9	Gorica	19	7	12	37%	77.7	79.2	-1.5
10	Osijek	20	7	13	35%	70.6	74.9	-4.3
11	Slavonski Brod	19	2	17	11%	37.3	51.7	-14.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Alkar	22	19	22	25	88
Kastela	22	13	8	16	59

← all games of the day

Alkar vs Kastela Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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