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Kataja vs Kobrat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 74-78
20-15 15-24 21-17 18-22
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Kobrat 🏆
Finland
Position#12
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game92.3
FinlandKorisliigaRound 4· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Kobrat
22 Feb 2026
KAT103
KOBR73
18 Oct 2025
KAT74
KOBR78
19 Oct 2024
KAT91
KOBR79
30 Sep 2023
KAT79
KOBR76
08 Oct 2022
KAT91
KOBR73
16 Mar 2022
KAT85
KOBR71
25 Jan 2022
KAT70
KOBR64
02 Dec 2020
KAT109
KOBR101
26 Oct 2019
KAT91
KOBR67
03 Apr 2019
KAT87
KOBR74
13 Jan 2019
KAT91
KOBR72
28 Feb 2018
KAT105
KOBR73
14 Feb 2018
KAT89
KOBR70
05 Mar 2017
KAT79
KOBR69
13 Jan 2017
KAT103
KOBR68
31 Jan 2016
KAT106
KOBR89
09 Dec 2015
KAT91
KOBR78
18 Jan 2015
KAT106
KOBR87
21 Nov 2014
KAT85
KOBR73
09 Apr 2014
KAT89
KOBR72
16 Nov 2013
KAT99
KOBR67
16 Feb 2013
KAT103
KOBR93
10 Nov 2012
KAT101
KOBR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kobrat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
89avg 83
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
93-81
93
81
+12
92avg 83
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 83
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
76avg 83
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 83
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
82avg 83
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
96avg 83
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 83
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
99avg 83
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
73avg 83
A11/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
23-16
26-18
29-12
13-25
30-16
21-20
29-20
21-26
15-25
21-16
22-26
19-19
30-23
18-32
15-22
21-20
16-23
21-21
21-23
30-25
26-16
18-28
13-30
21-21
27-25
26-28
17-17
17-21
15-24
21-18
24-11
26-26
23-17
30-27
18-27
29-14
17-22
23-15
4-22
177.8Avg total
87.8Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.389.3177.7-1.033%
Season at home (1)107.0109.0216.0-2.00%
Season away (2)79.079.5158.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)87.890.0177.8-2.230%
Last 5 (5)90.293.4183.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.396.0184.3-7.70%
vs Similar (16)83.487.4170.8-4.131%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.582.9173.5+7.664%
This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKobrat
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
81avg 68
A06/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
76avg 68
H12/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 68
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 68
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
69-101
69
101
-32
58avg 68
A07/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
75avg 68
H14/03
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 68
A19/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 68
H03/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 68
A08/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 68
H10/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-20
23-28
27-25
24-18
13-20
33-25
14-25
24-21
16-21
20-17
19-26
23-22
21-19
15-19
25-16
14-29
24-18
15-25
16-29
23-12
19-21
20-18
17-22
23-18
12-19
25-23
25-30
18-21
20-18
14-27
22-14
19-26
20-28
14-23
30-31
16-24
20-21
14-22
25-22
168.7Avg total
80.2Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
Season at home (2)74.584.5159.0-10.00%
Season away (1)83.0108.0191.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)80.288.5168.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)79.288.0167.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.189.5166.5-12.410%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
KatajaKobrat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A26/03
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H29/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A05/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H09/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/04
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H19/04
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
Korisliiga
86.9Avg total
43.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.085.2+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.241.388.5+5.976%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.780.8-0.554%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.486.9+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.748.096.7+0.767%-
vs Similar (16)43.740.884.5+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.639.583.1+4.273%-
This opponent (Kobrat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KobratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A06/02
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/02
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H14/03
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/03
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H03/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A08/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H10/10
Korisliiga
80.7Avg total
38.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.480.1-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.839.775.5-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.184.7-5.613%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.880.7-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.742.480.1-4.720%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.9
55.4%
2.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.0
33.1%
33.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
74.0%15.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kobrattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobrat: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.3
49.4%
2.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
33.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.9
81.9%
74.0%14.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LLWLLLLLWW
Kobrat
LLLLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#12
-2.5
Net rating
-11.0
108.3
Offensive rating
105.1
110.8
Defensive rating
116.1
52.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.1%
3-point %
32.6%
59.2%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 105.1Defence110.8 · 116.1Shooting52.9% · 49.2%3-point %33.1% · 32.6%Ball care18.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.6% · 25.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Kataja   ■ Kobrat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Kataja wins
2
Kobrat wins
DateGameScore
18/12/24Kobrat v Kataja69-86
19/10/24Kataja v Kobrat91-79
06/12/23Kobrat v Kataja69-88
30/09/23Kataja v Kobrat79-76
06/12/22Kobrat v Kataja63-88
08/10/22Kataja v Kobrat91-73
16/03/22Kataja v Kobrat85-71
05/03/22Kobrat v Kataja85-58
25/01/22Kataja v Kobrat70-64
02/10/21Kobrat v Kataja91-84
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-85 OT
08/10/25HKouvot Kouvola107-109 OT
03/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-74
19/04/25HSalon Vilpas99-100 OT
15/04/25HKarhu Basket87-99
12/04/25AKarhu Basket79-87
09/04/25HKarhu Basket82-96
05/04/25AKarhu Basket79-93
29/03/25HBisons Loimaa93-81
26/03/25ABisons Loimaa94-76
Kobratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HSalon Vilpas75-89
08/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki83-108
03/10/25HHonka74-80
19/03/25AKTP Kotka Basket85-90
14/03/25HHonka79-73
07/03/25ABC Nokia69-101
05/03/25HKouvot Kouvola84-76
01/03/25APyrinto Tampere79-85
12/02/25HKTP Kotka Basket84-88
06/02/25AHonka90-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game88.3107.079.0
Allowed / game89.3109.079.5
Point differential-1.0-2.0-0.5
Avg total177.7216.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %67%100%50%
Kobrat
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.374.583.0
Allowed / game92.384.5108.0
Point differential-15.0-10.0-25.0
Avg total169.7159.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas330100%99.782.3+17.3
2 Helsinki Seagulls43175%87.874.8+13.0
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki43175%89.887.5+2.2
4 Karhu Basket32167%84.772.0+12.7
5 Lahti Basketball32167%87.388.0-0.7
6 Pyrinto Tampere42250%86.885.0+1.8
7 Bisons Loimaa42250%84.883.5+1.2
8 Kataja31233%88.389.3-1.0
9 Honka31233%74.398.0-23.7
10 KTP Kotka Basket41325%78.079.2-1.2
11 Kouvot Kouvola41325%91.8101.0-9.2
12 Kobrat3030%77.392.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2015211874
Kobrat1524172278
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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