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Kouvot Kouvola vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 85-79
18-21 23-13 20-23 24-22
Position#11
Record7-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#5
Record12-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.3
FinlandKorisliigaRound 25· MLL Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kouvot Kouvola v Kataja
09 Jan 2027
KOUV v KAT
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
KOUV95
KAT76
08 Feb 2026
KOUV85
KAT79
09 Dec 2025
KOUV90
KAT108
01 Nov 2024
KOUV68
KAT94
12 Jan 2024
KOUV84
KAT69
17 Mar 2023
KOUV78
KAT102
22 Nov 2022
KOUV67
KAT79
13 Apr 2022
KOUV60
KAT73
08 Apr 2022
KOUV86
KAT68
04 Apr 2022
KOUV88
KAT86
04 Dec 2021
KOUV105
KAT94
06 Jan 2021
KOUV88
KAT86
31 Jan 2020
KOUV81
KAT73
09 Dec 2019
KOUV84
KAT88
05 Apr 2019
KOUV97
KAT78
03 Jan 2019
KOUV75
KAT61
21 Jan 2018
KOUV105
KAT86
20 Oct 2017
KOUV87
KAT74
10 Mar 2017
KOUV77
KAT93
30 Dec 2016
KOUV93
KAT82
19 Feb 2016
KOUV89
KAT84
22 Nov 2015
KOUV91
KAT94
15 Apr 2015
KOUV97
KAT84
30 Dec 2014
KOUV68
KAT90
08 Mar 2014
KOUV93
KAT85
04 Oct 2013
KOUV64
KAT84
27 Jan 2013
KOUV61
KAT91
17 Oct 2012
KOUV67
KAT66
08 Jan 2012
KOUV60
KAT62
02 Oct 2011
KOUV66
KAT80
02 Apr 2011
KOUV68
KAT75
05 Mar 2011
KOUV66
KAT78
01 Dec 2010
KOUV79
KAT77
15 Apr 2010
KOUV80
KAT72
11 Apr 2010
KOUV75
KAT94
07 Apr 2010
KOUV86
KAT62
27 Jan 2010
KOUV77
KAT75
10 Oct 2009
KOUV94
KAT80
18 Feb 2009
KOUV78
KAT105
02 Jan 2009
KOUV72
KAT90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kouvot Kouvola winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kouvot KouvolaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKouvola
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
105-88
105
88
+17
100avg 75
A16/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
100-105
100
105
-5
90avg 75
H19/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 75
A28/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
76avg 75
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
82-105
82
105
-23
66avg 75
A03/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 75
H10/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
96-107
96
107
-11
no box
A14/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
83avg 75
H20/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
90-94
90
94
-4
73avg 75
A24/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
79-74
79
74
+5
67avg 75
H30/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
26-32
22-19
34-19
25-23
25-30
32-22
18-30
18-23
16-19
21-29
24-17
23-30
22-24
30-25
16-18
12-23
22-24
25-30
23-28
16-27
14-17
28-18
17-22
33-35
30-19
16-29
17-24
20-18
21-15
27-23
22-24
18-26
31-19
14-30
27-19
25-20
19-14
16-23
19-17
180.9Avg total
88.7Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.295.1183.3-7.030%
Season at home (12)89.593.5183.0-4.042%
Season away (11)86.796.9183.6-10.218%
Last 10 (10)88.792.2180.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)86.087.8173.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.194.5179.6-9.530%
vs Similar (8)93.191.9185.0+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)90.091.0181.0-1.050%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 81
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
94avg 81
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
91-72
91
72
+19
87avg 81
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 81
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 81
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A14/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
60avg 81
H21/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
86-107
86
107
-21
74avg 81
A24/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
95-91
95
91
+4
93avg 81
A30/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 81
H04/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
23-12
25-19
28-29
26-19
28-22
23-31
23-20
22-16
22-22
24-20
23-14
20-25
25-29
27-15
19-16
22-25
16-22
20-20
16-12
21-18
22-28
23-21
26-22
15-23
28-16
15-14
18-9
19-30
24-29
15-21
28-27
24-20
28-28
22-20
21-23
23-20
19-20
12-16
28-33
172.4Avg total
88.1Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.087.3175.4+0.750%
Season at home (12)85.383.9169.2+1.442%
Season away (12)90.890.8181.5+0.058%
Last 10 (10)88.184.3172.4+3.870%
Last 5 (5)86.287.6173.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.586.0175.5+3.5100%
vs Similar (13)84.788.7173.4-4.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.188.5178.6+1.747%
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
Kouvot KouvolaKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kouvot KouvolaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A16/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H19/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A03/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A14/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A24/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H30/01
Korisliiga
89.5Avg total
43.9Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.047.090.0-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.646.690.2-3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)42.347.589.8-5.236%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.689.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.087.4+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.047.388.2-6.325%-
vs Similar (8)46.847.494.1-0.662%-
vs Weaker (2)48.543.091.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A20/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A28/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H30/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A07/01
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A24/01
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A30/01
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H04/02
Korisliiga
88.6Avg total
44.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.387.6+1.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.640.184.6+4.581%-
Last 30 away (14)44.047.191.1-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.188.6+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.491.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.040.584.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (13)44.242.386.5+1.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.444.689.0-0.260%-
This opponent (Kouvot Kouvola) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kouvot Kouvolatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kouvot Kouvola: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.0
51.9%
2.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.6
34.7%
33.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.012.7
70.6%
74.0%12.7
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
2.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.9
30.6%
33.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.816.8
80.8%
74.0%16.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kouvot Kouvola
WLWLLLLLLW
Kataja
LWLWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#5
+0.0
Net rating
+5.3
0.4
Offensive rating
104.7
0.4
Defensive rating
99.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.1%
0.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
30.6%
55.4%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence0.4 · 104.7Defence0.4 · 99.3Shooting52.0% · 50.1%3-point %34.7% · 30.6%Ball care13.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds24.2% · 36.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Kouvot Kouvola   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kouvot Kouvola wins
7
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HLahti Basketball79-74
24/01/26AKobrat90-94
20/01/26HKTP Kotka Basket90-80
14/01/26ALahti Basketball96-107
10/01/26HKarhu Basket75-84
03/01/26ASalon Vilpas82-105
30/12/25HHonka91-97
28/12/25ABisons Loimaa79-88
19/12/25HPyrinto Tampere100-105
16/12/25AHelsinki Seagulls105-88
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HLahti Basketball82-89
30/01/26AKobrat95-91
24/01/26ALahti Basketball86-107
21/01/26HKarhu Basket76-62
14/01/26ASalon Vilpas92-89
10/01/26HHonka74-79
07/01/26ABisons Loimaa91-85
30/12/25HPyrinto Tampere91-72
28/12/25AHelsinki Seagulls100-92
20/12/25AKobrat94-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kouvot Kouvola
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLWW42%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%42%18%
Points / game88.289.586.7
Allowed / game95.193.596.9
Point differential-7.0-4.0-10.2
Avg total183.3183.0183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWLWL42%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%42%58%
Points / game88.085.390.8
Allowed / game87.383.990.8
Point differential+0.7+1.4+0.0
Avg total175.4169.2181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Karhu Basket2518772%84.081.4+2.6
2 Salon Vilpas2417771%93.582.6+10.9
3 Honka2416867%89.589.0+0.5
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki25141156%90.387.7+2.6
5 Helsinki Seagulls24131154%85.281.7+3.5
6 KTP Kotka Basket24131154%85.282.2+3.0
7 Kataja24121250%88.087.3+0.7
8 Bisons Loimaa24111346%87.085.2+1.8
9 Pyrinto Tampere25111444%83.986.0-2.1
10 Lahti Basketball25101540%88.489.9-1.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola2371630%88.295.1-7.0
12 Kobrat2542116%79.794.5-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kouvot Kouvola1823202485
Kataja2113232279
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