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Kataja vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 110-68
25-19 23-25 35-8 27-16
Position#7
Record13-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.0
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#12
Record4-17
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game101.7
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena (Joensuu)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kataja v Lahti Basketball
16 Dec 2026
KAT v LAHT
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAT82
LAHT89
22 Nov 2025
KAT107
LAHT93
03 Feb 2024
KAT110
LAHT68
30 Dec 2022
KAT95
LAHT87
23 Mar 2022
KAT73
LAHT75
29 Jan 2022
KAT84
LAHT74
06 Mar 2021
KAT78
LAHT85
08 Feb 2020
KAT91
LAHT86
02 Nov 2019
KAT62
LAHT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
69avg 72
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 72
A16/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
80-123
80
123
-43
61avg 72
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 72
H30/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
66avg 72
H03/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
96-92
96
92
+4
95avg 72
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
56avg 72
A12/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 72
H16/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 72
A19/01
Suomen Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 72
A27/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
17-16
17-15
16-31
15-22
18-13
19-9
27-24
23-26
19-42
21-33
17-22
17-24
27-19
29-19
8-30
15-28
17-13
21-18
25-14
22-20
25-24
32-32
17-16
21-19
21-15
10-21
17-29
28-18
26-16
15-23
21-22
14-27
19-25
22-18
18-18
25-19
28-22
11-18
31-26
167.8Avg total
81.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.483.0166.4+0.562%
Season at home (10)85.181.6166.7+3.570%
Season away (11)81.984.2166.1-2.355%
Last 10 (10)81.786.1167.8-4.450%
Last 5 (5)84.685.6170.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.188.7168.8-8.623%
vs Similar (13)80.877.1157.9+3.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)95.389.0184.3+6.3100%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
97-112
97
112
-15
89avg 76
H01/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 76
A11/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 76
H15/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 76
H19/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 76
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 76
H31/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
83-112
83
112
-29
69avg 76
A07/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
109-101
109
101
+8
102avg 76
A10/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
70avg 76
A16/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 76
H24/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-36
33-28
16-28
19-26
12-28
22-25
21-26
19-19
23-29
23-23
23-30
22-26
19-21
16-22
20-20
23-25
22-25
21-26
21-26
34-21
20-21
19-22
19-24
24-26
19-25
20-35
20-26
26-26
28-20
26-31
29-24
13-27
24-22
21-27
24-22
16-21
17-20
28-31
19-31
188.0Avg total
86.9Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.2101.7188.9-14.519%
Season at home (11)88.798.8187.5-10.127%
Season away (10)85.5104.9190.4-19.410%
Last 10 (10)86.9101.1188.0-14.220%
Last 5 (5)89.2100.4189.6-11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)87.2101.7188.9-14.519%
vs Similar (7)98.792.1190.9+6.671%
vs Weaker (2)107.598.0205.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -4.5-4.5
KatajaLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H30/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H05/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A12/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H16/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A19/01
Suomen Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A27/01
Korisliiga
84.6Avg total
42.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.140.284.4+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.042.883.8-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.384.6+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.086.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.043.586.5-0.546%-
vs Similar (13)40.538.679.2+1.954%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)51.743.094.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H01/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A11/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H19/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A28/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H31/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A07/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A10/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A16/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/01
Korisliiga
91.2Avg total
42.8Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.648.793.3-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.147.992.0-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)45.149.594.5-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.848.491.2-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.890.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)42.649.492.0-6.824%-
vs Similar (7)48.048.496.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker (2)53.042.595.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
51.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.89.7
30.5%
33.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
73.5%14.6
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.4
51.4%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.8
36.4%
33.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
73.5%13.7
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WLWLWWLLWL
Lahti Basketball
LLWLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#12
-6.0
Net rating
-17.7
105.9
Offensive rating
106.8
111.9
Defensive rating
124.5
47.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.5%
3-point %
36.4%
64.9%
Assist %
55.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 106.8Defence111.9 · 124.5Shooting47.2% · 52.7%3-point %30.5% · 36.4%Ball care14.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 25.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Kataja   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kataja wins
3
Lahti Basketball wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ABisons Loimaa95-85
19/01/24ABC Nokia73-88
16/01/24HHelsinki Seagulls90-79
12/01/24AKouvot Kouvola69-84
05/01/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki96-92
03/01/24HKarhu Basket78-73
30/12/23HSalon Vilpas81-92
28/12/23ABC Nokia80-123
16/12/23APyrinto Tampere79-68
09/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket76-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HSalon Vilpas80-103
16/01/24ABC Nokia82-98
10/01/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki109-101
07/01/24APyrinto Tampere83-112
31/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket92-88
28/12/23AKobrat87-102
19/12/23HKarhu Basket77-89
15/12/23HBisons Loimaa88-101
11/12/23AHelsinki Seagulls74-105
01/12/23HKouvot Kouvola97-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game83.485.181.9
Allowed / game83.081.684.2
Point differential+0.5+3.5-2.3
Avg total166.4166.7166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL19%
HomeLLLWL27%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %19%27%10%
Points / game87.288.785.5
Allowed / game101.798.8104.9
Point differential-14.5-10.1-19.4
Avg total188.9187.5190.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2117481%92.980.0+12.9
2 BC Nokia2116576%90.483.7+6.8
3 Kataja2113862%83.483.0+0.5
4 Salon Vilpas2112957%88.385.9+2.4
5 Karhu Basket21111052%88.082.1+5.9
6 Kouvot Kouvola21111052%90.488.2+2.2
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki21111052%90.390.2+0.1
8 Kobrat21101148%81.681.0+0.6
9 KTP Kotka Basket2191243%83.487.4-4.0
10 Pyrinto Tampere2181338%81.986.2-4.4
11 Bisons Loimaa2141719%82.791.0-8.3
12 Lahti Basketball2141719%87.2101.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja25233527110
Lahti Basketball192581668
← all games of the day
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