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Kataja vs Lahti Basketball Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 107-93
31-21 18-18 25-25 33-29
Position#5
Record2-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.7
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game91.1
FinlandKorisliigaRound 11· Motonet Areena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kataja v Lahti Basketball
16 Dec 2026
KAT v LAHT
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAT82
LAHT89
22 Nov 2025
KAT107
LAHT93
03 Feb 2024
KAT110
LAHT68
30 Dec 2022
KAT95
LAHT87
23 Mar 2022
KAT73
LAHT75
29 Jan 2022
KAT84
LAHT74
06 Mar 2021
KAT78
LAHT85
08 Feb 2020
KAT91
LAHT86
02 Nov 2019
KAT62
LAHT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
W
77-74
77
74
+3
62avg 79
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
99avg 79
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
73avg 79
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
74-78
74
78
-4
65avg 79
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
58avg 79
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
78-95
78
95
-17
66avg 79
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 79
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
79avg 79
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 79
H08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
99-106
99
106
-7
91avg 79
A15/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
15-24
21-18
24-11
26-26
23-17
30-27
18-27
29-14
17-22
23-15
4-22
20-15
15-24
21-17
18-22
17-21
19-18
23-20
10-16
19-22
15-23
18-21
26-29
20-13
23-24
16-20
18-27
22-29
26-32
18-24
22-13
24-13
21-22
18-21
24-27
23-32
21-25
24-27
31-22
172.4Avg total
83.7Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.788.7172.4-5.020%
Season at home (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Season away (5)84.691.6176.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)83.788.7172.4-5.020%
Last 5 (5)85.893.2179.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.391.7181.0-2.333%
vs Similar (16)82.286.9169.1-4.725%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)90.987.6178.5+3.336%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 88
H05/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
77-109
77
109
-32
60avg 88
A08/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
94avg 88
H10/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
87-105
87
105
-18
75avg 88
A18/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
90-105
90
105
-15
84avg 88
H21/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 88
A25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
91-95
91
95
-4
77avg 88
A31/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
69avg 88
H05/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
103-78
103
78
+25
90avg 88
A08/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
60avg 88
H15/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
23-17
22-17
23-22
23-24
24-25
13-32
17-28
23-17
26-24
25-19
26-16
26-24
16-26
14-22
31-33
23-30
16-25
29-21
22-29
16-24
20-18
28-22
17-24
23-28
29-26
20-22
19-19
21-19
16-24
14-27
31-19
32-20
27-7
22-17
22-34
25-17
21-22
19-29
10-19
178.2Avg total
87.1Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.191.1178.2-4.030%
Season at home (5)86.487.2173.6-0.840%
Season away (5)87.895.0182.8-7.220%
Last 10 (10)87.191.1178.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)86.487.4173.8-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.393.7176.0-11.30%
vs Similar (6)88.889.2178.0-0.350%
vs Weaker (21)97.976.9174.8+21.090%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
KatajaLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H08/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H18/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A25/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A04/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A15/11
Korisliiga
84.9Avg total
41.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.985.9+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.739.586.2+7.282%-
Last 30 away (13)40.445.185.5-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.784.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.089.8-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.343.092.3+6.3100%-
vs Similar (16)43.240.483.7+2.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.543.787.3-0.245%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H05/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H10/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H21/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#3
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/10
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A31/10
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
59-27
59
27
+32
A08/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H15/11
Korisliiga
88.7Avg total
44.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.140.790.8+9.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.938.287.2+10.775%-
Last 30 away (14)51.543.494.9+8.164%-
Last 10 (10)44.744.088.7+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.087.0+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.745.786.3-5.033%-
vs Similar (6)45.541.587.0+4.033%-
vs Weaker (21)52.839.792.5+13.186%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.9
52.8%
2.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
33.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.2
76.3%
74.0%14.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.0
52.2%
2.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.410.9
29.9%
33.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.4
71.7%
74.0%11.4
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 3%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LWLLLLLLLW
Lahti Basketball
LWLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#10
-5.9
Net rating
-4.8
107.1
Offensive rating
104.3
113.0
Defensive rating
109.2
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.8%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.4%
3-point %
29.9%
50.0%
Assist %
55.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 104.3Defence113.0 · 109.2Shooting51.0% · 48.8%3-point %32.4% · 29.9%Ball care17.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 32.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Kataja   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kataja wins
3
Lahti Basketball wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AKarhu Basket99-106
08/11/25HSalon Vilpas87-83
04/11/25AHonka88-98
01/11/25HBisons Loimaa77-84
25/10/25APyrinto Tampere78-95
22/10/25HHelsinki Seagulls69-75
18/10/25HKobrat74-78
11/10/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-85 OT
08/10/25HKouvot Kouvola107-109 OT
03/10/25AKTP Kotka Basket77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki75-87
08/11/25AKouvot Kouvola103-78
05/11/25HKTP Kotka Basket82-89
31/10/25AKobrat91-95
25/10/25AKarhu Basket81-88
21/10/25HSalon Vilpas90-105
18/10/25AHonka87-105
10/10/25HBisons Loimaa100-76
08/10/25APyrinto Tampere77-109
05/10/25HHelsinki Seagulls85-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game83.782.884.6
Allowed / game88.785.891.6
Point differential-5.0-3.0-7.0
Avg total172.4168.6176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game87.186.487.8
Allowed / game91.187.295.0
Point differential-4.0-0.8-7.2
Avg total178.2173.6182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Salon Vilpas119282%92.982.2+10.7
2 Karhu Basket118373%85.580.6+4.8
3 Honka118373%86.588.1-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls117464%83.576.3+7.3
5 KTP Kotka Basket106460%84.078.2+5.8
6 Pyrinto Tampere116555%86.781.2+5.5
7 Bisons Loimaa115645%87.189.6-2.5
8 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki104640%86.386.8-0.5
9 Kouvot Kouvola114736%88.897.3-8.5
10 Lahti Basketball103730%87.191.1-4.0
11 Kataja102820%83.788.7-5.0
12 Kobrat112918%79.291.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja31182533107
Lahti Basketball2118252993
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