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Kataja vs Lahti Basketball Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 16 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game88.7
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v Lahti Basketball
16 Dec 2026
KAT v LAHT
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAT82
LAHT89
22 Nov 2025
KAT107
LAHT93
03 Feb 2024
KAT110
LAHT68
30 Dec 2022
KAT95
LAHT87
23 Mar 2022
KAT73
LAHT75
29 Jan 2022
KAT84
LAHT74
06 Mar 2021
KAT78
LAHT85
08 Feb 2020
KAT91
LAHT86
02 Nov 2019
KAT62
LAHT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lahti Basketball win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 76
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 76
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 76
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 76
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 76
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 76
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 76
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasketball
Date
Competition
Kataja
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
78avg 78
H07/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 78
H14/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
71avg 78
A16/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
108-102 OT
108
102
+6
95avg 78
H21/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
68-73
68
73
-5
62avg 78
A23/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 78
H27/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
52-80
52
80
-28
38avg 78
H30/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A08/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
88-97
88
97
-9
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-22
19-23
24-17
16-11
30-30
18-21
27-21
24-16
22-30
21-26
19-28
22-18
19-19
26-24
28-34
11-29
13-19
26-10
18-15
23-27
12-18
23-16
20-29
20-17
13-26
16-22
3-15
25-20
20-17
23-20
16-27
16-26
29-26
19-24
17-24
27-34
24-15
20-24
17-24
173.6Avg total
83.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.488.7171.1-6.436%
Season at home (6)84.789.5174.2-4.850%
Season away (5)79.687.8167.4-8.220%
Last 10 (10)83.690.0173.6-6.440%
Last 5 (5)78.491.4169.8-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)83.988.9172.8-5.131%
vs Similar (11)87.791.6179.4-3.936%
vs Weaker (3)105.799.3205.0+6.367%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
KatajaLahti Basketball
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (Lahti Basketball) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lahti BasketballLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H07/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H14/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A23/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H30/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A04/11
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A08/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
41.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.789.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.845.189.9-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)42.446.488.8-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.444.385.7-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.287.0-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.544.687.1-2.138%-
vs Similar (11)42.946.689.5-3.727%-
vs Weaker (3)52.348.3100.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lahti Basketballtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lahti Basketball: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.621.9
49.1%
54.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.0
29.8%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.0
68.6%
75.8%12.0
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
Lahti Basketball
LLWLLLWLWW
#7
League position
#10
-2.1
Net rating
-5.7
95.2
Offensive rating
87.4
97.3
Defensive rating
93.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.4%
3-point %
29.8%
55.0%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 87.4Defence97.3 · 93.0Shooting50.5% · 47.3%3-point %34.4% · 29.8%Ball care12.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Kataja   ■ Lahti Basketball
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
Lahti Basketball wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki88-97
08/11/26AKTP Kotka Basket81-100
04/11/26ABisons Loimaa93-90 OT
30/10/26HSalon Vilpas52-80
27/10/26HKipina78-90
23/10/26AKarhu Basket68-73
21/10/26HKarhu Basket108-102 OT
16/10/26AHonka86-100
14/10/26HKouvot Kouvola91-83
07/10/26HKataja91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lahti Basketball
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game82.484.779.6
Allowed / game88.789.587.8
Point differential-6.4-4.8-8.2
Avg total171.1174.2167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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