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Kataja vs Salon Vilpas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
3.2/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v Salon Vilpas
06 Mar 2027
KAT v SVI
upcoming
16 May 2026
KAT75
SVI59
12 May 2026
KAT79
SVI86
05 May 2026
KAT75
SVI70
08 Nov 2025
KAT87
SVI83
19 Apr 2025
KAT99
SVI100
28 Feb 2025
KAT105
SVI84
06 Nov 2024
KAT116
SVI114
30 Mar 2024
KAT84
SVI90
30 Dec 2023
KAT81
SVI92
29 Apr 2023
KAT107
SVI96
22 Mar 2023
KAT111
SVI95
10 Dec 2022
KAT104
SVI78
19 Oct 2022
KAT71
SVI69
22 Apr 2022
KAT88
SVI71
18 Apr 2022
KAT84
SVI98
17 Nov 2021
KAT74
SVI95
29 Jan 2021
KAT112
SVI114
08 Jan 2020
KAT89
SVI88
06 Oct 2019
KAT76
SVI78
16 Jan 2019
KAT121
SVI128
27 Oct 2018
KAT87
SVI94
19 Jan 2018
KAT87
SVI85
15 Oct 2017
KAT81
SVI84
13 May 2017
KAT94
SVI65
07 May 2017
KAT96
SVI90
04 May 2017
KAT86
SVI61
01 Feb 2017
KAT65
SVI68
06 Nov 2016
KAT83
SVI90
06 Mar 2016
KAT94
SVI92
29 Nov 2015
KAT89
SVI71
08 Apr 2015
KAT87
SVI74
09 Jan 2015
KAT84
SVI68
05 Mar 2014
KAT82
SVI65
26 Nov 2013
KAT85
SVI63
23 Mar 2013
KAT94
SVI74
06 Feb 2013
KAT96
SVI87
14 Apr 2012
KAT85
SVI68
10 Apr 2012
KAT90
SVI59
10 Jan 2012
KAT75
SVI67
05 Oct 2011
KAT91
SVI68
19 Jan 2011
KAT98
SVI71
18 Oct 2010
KAT95
SVI73
02 Jan 2010
KAT79
SVI74
04 Oct 2009
KAT72
SVI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 74
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 74
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 74
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 74
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 74
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 74
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 74
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 78
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 78
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#33
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 78
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
70avg 78
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 78
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
80-52
80
52
+28
71avg 78
A30/10
Korisliiga
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Kipina
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#7
W
108-89
108
89
+19
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
90-98
90
98
-8
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
18-19
20-28
23-26
23-14
20-25
18-12
20-19
21-23
21-23
14-16
16-23
16-15
24-23
17-12
22-14
13-26
25-18
19-23
22-19
17-20
26-13
22-16
15-3
18-20
20-22
22-10
17-17
28-22
18-16
22-26
18-23
30-20
23-29
27-21
28-19
23-22
30-16
17-30
20-30
163.5Avg total
83.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.281.8169.0+5.450%
Season at home (4)89.886.5176.2+3.250%
Season away (6)85.578.7164.2+6.850%
Last 10 (10)83.380.2163.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)88.279.0167.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.582.5170.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.791.3171.0-11.70%
vs Weaker (24)86.277.8164.0+8.562%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
KatajaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/10
Korisliiga
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/11
Champions League
Kipina
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A14/11
Korisliiga
84.9Avg total
43.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.984.8+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.785.1+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.184.5+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.584.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.086.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.543.590.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.044.086.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (24)43.740.283.9+3.575%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.9
53.5%
54.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
75.8%15.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
Salon Vilpas
LWLWWLWLWL
#7
League position
#6
-2.1
Net rating
+5.3
95.2
Offensive rating
96.8
97.3
Defensive rating
91.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
34.1%
55.0%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 96.8Defence97.3 · 91.5Shooting50.5% · 52.7%3-point %34.4% · 34.1%Ball care12.9% · 14.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kataja wins
5
Salon Vilpas wins
DateGameScore
19/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja100-69
16/05/26Kataja v Salon Vilpas75-59
14/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja90-81
12/05/26Kataja v Salon Vilpas79-86
09/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja82-45
05/05/26Kataja v Salon Vilpas75-70
02/05/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja75-84
14/01/26Salon Vilpas v Kataja89-92
08/11/25Kataja v Salon Vilpas87-83
19/04/25Kataja v Salon Vilpas99-100 OT
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKouvot Kouvola90-98
11/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki108-89
07/11/26AKipina86-87
03/11/26HAntwerp Giants77-69
30/10/26ALahti Basketball80-52
27/10/26AHelsinki Seagulls79-86
24/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls79-64
20/10/26ASzombathely72-85
17/10/26ABisons Loimaa81-70
14/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.289.885.5
Allowed / game81.886.578.7
Point differential+5.4+3.2+6.8
Avg total169.0176.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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