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Kataja vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-90
14-22 22-24 23-24 25-20
Position#7
Record17-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#6
Record17-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game83.7
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kataja v Salon Vilpas
06 Mar 2027
KAT v SVI
upcoming
16 May 2026
KAT75
SVI59
12 May 2026
KAT79
SVI86
05 May 2026
KAT75
SVI70
08 Nov 2025
KAT87
SVI83
19 Apr 2025
KAT99
SVI100
28 Feb 2025
KAT105
SVI84
06 Nov 2024
KAT116
SVI114
30 Mar 2024
KAT84
SVI90
30 Dec 2023
KAT81
SVI92
29 Apr 2023
KAT107
SVI96
22 Mar 2023
KAT111
SVI95
10 Dec 2022
KAT104
SVI78
19 Oct 2022
KAT71
SVI69
22 Apr 2022
KAT88
SVI71
18 Apr 2022
KAT84
SVI98
17 Nov 2021
KAT74
SVI95
29 Jan 2021
KAT112
SVI114
08 Jan 2020
KAT89
SVI88
06 Oct 2019
KAT76
SVI78
16 Jan 2019
KAT121
SVI128
27 Oct 2018
KAT87
SVI94
19 Jan 2018
KAT87
SVI85
15 Oct 2017
KAT81
SVI84
13 May 2017
KAT94
SVI65
07 May 2017
KAT96
SVI90
04 May 2017
KAT86
SVI61
01 Feb 2017
KAT65
SVI68
06 Nov 2016
KAT83
SVI90
06 Mar 2016
KAT94
SVI92
29 Nov 2015
KAT89
SVI71
08 Apr 2015
KAT87
SVI74
09 Jan 2015
KAT84
SVI68
05 Mar 2014
KAT82
SVI65
26 Nov 2013
KAT85
SVI63
23 Mar 2013
KAT94
SVI74
06 Feb 2013
KAT96
SVI87
14 Apr 2012
KAT85
SVI68
10 Apr 2012
KAT90
SVI59
10 Jan 2012
KAT75
SVI67
05 Oct 2011
KAT91
SVI68
19 Jan 2011
KAT98
SVI71
18 Oct 2010
KAT95
SVI73
02 Jan 2010
KAT79
SVI74
04 Oct 2009
KAT72
SVI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
110-68
110
68
+42
111avg 73
H03/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 73
A11/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 73
A14/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
67avg 73
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
78avg 73
H02/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 73
A05/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 73
H13/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 73
H16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
69-62
69
62
+7
61avg 73
A19/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
81avg 73
A22/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
23-25
35-8
27-16
20-20
20-20
25-33
16-17
19-24
16-21
13-23
21-29
19-21
12-17
25-22
25-13
17-15
20-37
23-26
24-14
13-22
27-20
22-16
16-23
25-23
20-21
26-20
10-13
24-26
19-19
21-21
13-21
32-13
19-14
6-11
12-24
10-26
30-18
24-38
24-15
164.2Avg total
81.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)82.982.8165.7+0.155%
Season at home (15)85.680.9166.5+4.767%
Season away (16)80.484.6164.9-4.244%
Last 10 (10)81.882.4164.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.688.4170.0-6.936%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.579.2160.6+2.355%
vs Weaker (4)99.083.8182.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
W
90-67
90
67
+23
83avg 74
H03/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
72avg 74
H08/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 74
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
52avg 74
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 74
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 74
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
70avg 74
A09/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
58avg 74
A16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 74
H22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 74
H26/03
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
18-15
31-11
21-11
24-19
17-15
11-17
30-21
25-26
22-20
19-17
10-16
24-23
17-19
22-19
7-16
22-19
26-21
18-24
25-15
22-13
20-27
16-22
23-16
23-24
26-17
4-29
34-21
15-20
22-18
16-23
21-22
11-20
23-19
23-24
24-14
18-21
21-27
14-23
25-17
160.1Avg total
81.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.983.7169.6+2.255%
Season at home (16)86.183.6169.8+2.556%
Season away (15)85.783.8169.5+1.953%
Last 10 (10)81.079.1160.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)80.283.4163.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.288.8172.0-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.581.8164.3+0.753%
vs Weaker (7)96.785.4182.1+11.386%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
KatajaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H02/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A05/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H13/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A19/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A22/03
Korisliiga
83.1Avg total
41.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.085.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.742.486.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.884.3+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.183.1-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.484.2+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.543.185.6-0.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.039.381.3+2.755%-
vs Weaker (4)50.843.294.0+7.5100%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/02
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H08/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A09/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H26/03
Korisliiga
82.9Avg total
41.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.084.2+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.283.4+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.985.0-0.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.382.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.281.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.845.888.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.441.783.1-0.337%-
vs Weaker (7)44.040.984.9+3.171%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.7
47.7%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.4
35.8%
33.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.211.2
69.1%
73.5%11.2
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.4
45.8%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.7
36.3%
33.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.3
69.6%
73.5%13.3
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LWLWLLWLLW
Salon Vilpas
LWLLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-1.1
Net rating
+2.5
107.5
Offensive rating
105.6
108.6
Defensive rating
103.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.8%
3-point %
36.3%
59.1%
Assist %
49.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 105.6Defence108.6 · 103.1Shooting50.5% · 49.6%3-point %35.8% · 36.3%Ball care17.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds34.4% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kataja wins
6
Salon Vilpas wins
DateGameScore
05/03/24Salon Vilpas v Kataja81-78
30/12/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas81-92
28/10/23Salon Vilpas v Kataja80-75
29/04/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas107-96 OT
22/03/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas111-95
15/02/23Salon Vilpas v Kataja85-81
16/12/22Salon Vilpas v Kataja88-81
10/12/22Kataja v Salon Vilpas104-78
19/10/22Kataja v Salon Vilpas71-69
24/04/22Salon Vilpas v Kataja81-64
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ABC Nokia88-97
19/03/24AKarhu Basket69-62
16/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls77-87
13/03/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-77
05/03/24ASalon Vilpas78-81
02/03/24HKarhu Basket84-92
17/02/24HBC Nokia81-73
14/02/24AHelsinki Seagulls69-97
11/02/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki81-90
03/02/24HLahti Basketball110-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls78-88
22/03/24HKarhu Basket81-77
16/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki74-83
09/03/24ABC Nokia87-91
05/03/24HKataja81-78
01/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-79
17/02/24AKarhu Basket70-77
14/02/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki76-79
08/02/24HBC Nokia82-72
03/02/24HKobrat90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%67%44%
Points / game82.985.680.4
Allowed / game82.880.984.6
Point differential+0.1+4.7-4.2
Avg total165.7166.5164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%56%53%
Points / game85.986.185.7
Allowed / game83.783.683.8
Point differential+2.2+2.5+1.9
Avg total169.6169.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%19%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)56% (9)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls3123874%91.280.3+10.9
2 BC Nokia31201165%88.384.7+3.6
3 Kouvot Kouvola31191261%88.283.1+5.1
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki31181358%87.487.4+0.1
5 Karhu Basket31171455%85.980.7+5.2
6 Salon Vilpas31171455%85.983.7+2.2
7 Kataja31171455%82.982.8+0.1
8 Kobrat31141745%81.482.2-0.8
9 Pyrinto Tampere31121939%82.786.1-3.4
10 KTP Kotka Basket31121939%84.288.8-4.7
11 Bisons Loimaa3192229%83.088.8-5.8
12 Lahti Basketball3182326%85.698.2-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja1422232584
Salon Vilpas2224242090
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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