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Kataja vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 105-84
29-15 21-24 31-23 24-22
Position#3
Record16-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game85.3
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#4
Record14-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game84.5
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kataja v Salon Vilpas
06 Mar 2027
KAT v SVI
upcoming
16 May 2026
KAT75
SVI59
12 May 2026
KAT79
SVI86
05 May 2026
KAT75
SVI70
08 Nov 2025
KAT87
SVI83
19 Apr 2025
KAT99
SVI100
28 Feb 2025
KAT105
SVI84
06 Nov 2024
KAT116
SVI114
30 Mar 2024
KAT84
SVI90
30 Dec 2023
KAT81
SVI92
29 Apr 2023
KAT107
SVI96
22 Mar 2023
KAT111
SVI95
10 Dec 2022
KAT104
SVI78
19 Oct 2022
KAT71
SVI69
22 Apr 2022
KAT88
SVI71
18 Apr 2022
KAT84
SVI98
17 Nov 2021
KAT74
SVI95
29 Jan 2021
KAT112
SVI114
08 Jan 2020
KAT89
SVI88
06 Oct 2019
KAT76
SVI78
16 Jan 2019
KAT121
SVI128
27 Oct 2018
KAT87
SVI94
19 Jan 2018
KAT87
SVI85
15 Oct 2017
KAT81
SVI84
13 May 2017
KAT94
SVI65
07 May 2017
KAT96
SVI90
04 May 2017
KAT86
SVI61
01 Feb 2017
KAT65
SVI68
06 Nov 2016
KAT83
SVI90
06 Mar 2016
KAT94
SVI92
29 Nov 2015
KAT89
SVI71
08 Apr 2015
KAT87
SVI74
09 Jan 2015
KAT84
SVI68
05 Mar 2014
KAT82
SVI65
26 Nov 2013
KAT85
SVI63
23 Mar 2013
KAT94
SVI74
06 Feb 2013
KAT96
SVI87
14 Apr 2012
KAT85
SVI68
10 Apr 2012
KAT90
SVI59
10 Jan 2012
KAT75
SVI67
05 Oct 2011
KAT91
SVI68
19 Jan 2011
KAT98
SVI71
18 Oct 2010
KAT95
SVI73
02 Jan 2010
KAT79
SVI74
04 Oct 2009
KAT72
SVI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
89avg 78
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 78
A04/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 78
H08/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
98avg 78
H15/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
53avg 78
H18/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
71avg 78
A25/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 78
H29/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
69-85
69
85
-16
60avg 78
A01/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 78
A08/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 78
H12/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-20
17-20
30-18
21-17
20-14
14-21
18-26
26-29
19-22
19-18
28-21
26-22
23-18
26-21
27-18
15-23
18-20
16-23
15-20
25-15
21-14
20-20
12-31
29-22
18-16
16-29
22-24
17-23
17-19
15-28
20-15
27-18
15-14
24-26
27-28
24-20
23-20
19-24
14-21
165.6Avg total
82.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.185.3173.3+2.859%
Season at home (13)90.888.2179.1+2.662%
Season away (14)85.582.5168.0+3.057%
Last 10 (10)82.183.5165.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)81.085.4166.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.291.3173.5-9.217%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.586.1172.5+0.455%
vs Weaker (13)91.282.2173.4+8.977%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
61-87
61
87
-26
47avg 76
A28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 76
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
64avg 76
H04/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
72avg 76
A08/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 76
H15/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 76
A18/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
67avg 76
H25/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
78-90
78
90
-12
74avg 76
H29/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
101-114
101
114
-13
94avg 76
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
80-73
80
73
+7
87avg 76
H12/02
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
13-21
16-26
18-19
20-20
21-29
22-15
16-21
17-21
14-20
21-14
26-18
23-18
15-17
25-19
19-23
25-12
16-22
24-31
25-21
24-25
18-20
22-20
11-17
15-25
14-21
20-20
31-12
22-26
19-23
14-19
23-22
25-28
21-31
22-32
33-23
21-14
17-17
18-22
24-20
164.9Avg total
80.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.384.5169.9+0.854%
Season at home (14)85.182.1167.1+3.064%
Season away (12)85.787.4173.1-1.842%
Last 10 (10)80.484.5164.9-4.150%
Last 5 (5)82.887.4170.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.0103.3198.3-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)84.483.0167.4+1.348%
vs Weaker (6)82.580.2162.7+2.383%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.0+3.0
KatajaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Honka
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H30/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H08/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H15/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A25/01
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H29/01
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A08/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/02
Korisliiga
80.5Avg total
42.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.385.3+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.045.090.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.138.181.1+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.380.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.244.386.5-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.140.383.4+2.855%-
vs Weaker (13)45.540.886.3+4.869%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H04/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A08/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/01
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A18/01
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H25/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H29/01
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A08/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H12/02
Korisliiga
80.5Avg total
37.4Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.883.0-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.841.581.3-1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)42.742.284.9+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.443.180.5-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.085.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.355.3106.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.541.081.5-0.643%-
vs Weaker (6)38.537.876.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.0
51.2%
51.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.8
33.2%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.314.1
81.5%
73.9%14.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.9
49.8%
51.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.6
31.0%
34.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
73.9%13.2
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LWLLLLWWLW
Salon Vilpas
WLLWLWWWLL
#3
League position
#4
-1.1
Net rating
-5.0
109.4
Offensive rating
105.6
110.5
Defensive rating
110.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.2%
3-point %
31.0%
63.2%
Assist %
60.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 105.6Defence110.5 · 110.7Shooting50.6% · 48.6%3-point %33.2% · 31.0%Ball care17.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 34.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kataja wins
7
Salon Vilpas wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Salon Vilpas v Kataja80-78
04/01/25Salon Vilpas v Kataja78-73
06/11/24Kataja v Salon Vilpas116-114 OT
30/03/24Kataja v Salon Vilpas84-90
05/03/24Salon Vilpas v Kataja81-78
30/12/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas81-92
28/10/23Salon Vilpas v Kataja80-75
29/04/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas107-96 OT
22/03/23Kataja v Salon Vilpas111-95
15/02/23Salon Vilpas v Kataja85-81
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HHelsinki Seagulls80-85
08/02/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki93-86
01/02/25AKarhu Basket69-85
29/01/25HBisons Loimaa85-91
25/01/25ASalon Vilpas78-80
18/01/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki64-86
15/01/25HBisons Loimaa102-79
08/01/25HKarhu Basket92-90
04/01/25ASalon Vilpas73-78
30/12/24HHonka85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HKarhu Basket80-73
08/02/25AHelsinki Seagulls101-114
29/01/25HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki78-90
25/01/25HKataja80-78
18/01/25ABC Nokia75-82
15/01/25HPyrinto Tampere90-86
08/01/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82-77
04/01/25HKataja78-73
30/12/24HKouvot Kouvola79-85
28/12/24ABisons Loimaa61-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayLLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game88.190.885.5
Allowed / game85.388.282.5
Point differential+2.8+2.6+3.0
Avg total173.3179.1168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%38%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayLLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %54%64%42%
Points / game85.385.185.7
Allowed / game84.582.187.4
Point differential+0.8+3.0-1.8
Avg total169.9167.1173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2724389%96.883.3+13.6
2 Karhu Basket2718967%83.180.4+2.7
3 Kataja27161159%88.185.3+2.8
4 Salon Vilpas26141254%85.384.5+0.8
5 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki27141352%82.482.7-0.2
6 Pyrinto Tampere27141352%84.084.9-1.0
7 Bisons Loimaa26131350%81.380.6+0.7
8 BC Nokia27131448%84.184.7-0.6
9 Kouvot Kouvola27121544%83.485.6-2.2
10 Honka27111641%83.788.0-4.3
11 KTP Kotka Basket2791833%85.586.5-1.0
12 Kobrat2732411%77.989.2-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja29213124105
Salon Vilpas1524232284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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