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Kauno Atletas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-97
24-26 15-20 24-32 25-19
Position#18
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game96.6
Vs
43%
57%
■ KAUN 43%■ MAZ 57%
Pythia win probability
Projected 82-84
Projected total 165.4
Position#16
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game86.3
LithuaniaNKLRound 10· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Mazeikiai
31 Oct 2026
KAUN88
MAZ97
18 Feb 2023
KAUN63
MAZ88
19 Nov 2022
KAUN84
MAZ77
15 Jan 2022
KAUN96
MAZ64
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Kauno Atletas host Mazeikiai in the NKL. Pythia makes Mazeikiai the favourite at 57% and projects 82-84, about 165 points in all (over 167.25: 44%). On the market's main spread (Kauno Atletas -1) Pythia gives Kauno Atletas 41% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Kauno Atletas are 0-8 this season (76.0 scored, 96.6 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Mazeikiai are 1-8 this season (74.2 scored, 86.3 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winLost
43.0%fair 2.33
Best odds2.92
Implied37.1%
Edge+5.9pp
Mazeikiai winWon
57.0%fair 1.75
Best odds1.91
Implied62.9%
Edge-5.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
85-92 OT
85
92
-7
no box
A12/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
60avg 64
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
76-84
76
84
-8
70avg 64
H08/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 64
A10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
83-107
83
107
-24
71avg 64
A15/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 64
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 64
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
63-113
63
113
-50
48avg 64
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
66avg 64
A29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
13-21
16-17
25-17
20-19
18-20
21-20
17-17
20-21
16-22
19-29
23-30
18-17
19-29
27-24
12-14
26-20
13-21
12-26
24-19
20-21
21-25
28-30
14-31
16-23
23-24
10-17
23-20
21-34
16-25
22-14
26-24
9-32
26-33
12-28
16-20
16-29
13-17
17-21
30-33
170.6Avg total
76.2Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.096.6172.6-20.60%
Season at home (3)75.390.0165.3-14.70%
Season away (5)76.4100.6177.0-24.20%
Last 10 (10)76.294.4170.6-18.20%
Last 5 (5)75.8100.2176.0-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.994.7169.6-19.80%
vs Similar (18)76.777.8154.4-1.139%
vs Weaker (2)87.587.5175.0+0.050%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 73
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 73
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
67avg 73
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
62-91
62
91
-29
47avg 73
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 73
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 73
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 73
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 73
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 73
H29/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
10-24
20-15
20-24
21-30
18-20
16-16
15-20
18-18
16-13
23-16
18-25
16-24
17-21
14-19
25-19
13-27
13-12
21-24
15-28
16-21
21-25
25-28
23-18
24-27
24-25
16-23
13-15
21-22
16-17
10-24
25-17
19-14
17-17
17-18
17-25
13-28
22-26
26-35
24-20
160.2Avg total
74.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.286.3160.6-12.111%
Season at home (5)74.288.4162.6-14.220%
Season away (4)74.283.8158.0-9.50%
Last 10 (10)74.086.2160.2-12.210%
Last 5 (5)77.889.0166.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.691.1163.7-18.60%
vs Similar (20)82.685.8168.3-3.235%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.369.0153.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 162Actual: Over 162
Over 162
57.4%
Under 162
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.25 · main lineActual: Over 167.25
Over 167.25
44.1%
@ 1.82-5.7pp
Under 167.25
55.9%
@ 1.80+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 172Actual: Over 172
Over 172
33.4%
Under 172
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Kauno Atletas total 77.5Actual: Kauno Atletas over 77.5
Over 77.5
65.4%
@ 1.38+2.1pp
Under 77.5
34.6%
@ 2.38-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.38
Kauno Atletas total 81.5 · main lineActual: Kauno Atletas over 81.5
Over 81.5
50.3%
@ 1.80+0.1pp
Under 81.5
49.7%
@ 1.83-0.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Kauno Atletas total 85.5Actual: Kauno Atletas over 85.5
Over 85.5
35.3%
@ 2.36-1.7pp
Under 85.5
64.7%
@ 1.39+1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.39
Mazeikiai total 81.5Actual: Mazeikiai over 81.5
Over 81.5
58.2%
@ 1.38-5.2pp
Under 81.5
41.8%
@ 2.39+5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.39
Mazeikiai total 85.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai over 85.5
Over 85.5
42.8%
@ 1.80-7.5pp
Under 85.5
57.2%
@ 1.85+7.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.72
Mazeikiai total 89.5Actual: Mazeikiai over 89.5
Over 89.5
28.5%
@ 2.36-8.6pp
Under 89.5
71.5%
@ 1.39+8.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kauno Atletas -4Actual: Mazeikiai +4
KAUN -4
30.7%
MAZ +4
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
KAUN
No market prices yet.
MAZ
No market prices yet.
Spread Kauno Atletas -1 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai +1
KAUN -1
41.4%
@ 1.85-8.1pp
MAZ +1
58.6%
@ 1.81+8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
KAUN
Pinnacle
1.85
MAZ
Pinnacle
1.81
Spread Kauno Atletas +2Actual: Mazeikiai -2
KAUN +2
48.0%
@ 2.20+5.9pp
MAZ -2
52.0%
@ 1.60-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
KAUN
Pinnacle
2.20
MAZ
Pinnacle
1.60

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
Kauno AtletasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H10/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/10
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/10
NKL
Kretinga
#15
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-59
37
59
-22
A22/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
35-65
35
65
-30
A27/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A29/10
NKL
83.6Avg total
35.9Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)37.742.279.9-4.530%40%
Last 30 at home (14)37.841.479.1-3.629%43%
Last 30 away (16)37.642.980.6-5.331%38%
Last 10 (10)35.947.783.6-11.80%50%
Last 5 (5)36.252.688.8-16.40%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.047.484.4-10.40%50%
vs Similar (18)37.638.676.2-1.150%28%
vs Weaker (2)42.548.591.0-6.00%100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A23/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A01/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#17
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A08/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H10/10
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#6
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H29/10
NKL
79.0Avg total
35.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.5
Last 30 (30)40.143.583.6-3.537%60%
Last 30 at home (16)42.043.385.3-1.344%69%
Last 30 away (14)37.943.881.6-5.929%50%
Last 10 (10)35.743.379.0-7.620%40%
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.820%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.148.984.0-13.70%57%
vs Similar (20)41.543.384.8-1.845%65%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.732.774.3+9.067%33%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Mazeikiai win
KAUN win
no forecast
@ 2.30
MAZ win
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Kauno Atletas +2.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai -2.5
KAUN +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MAZ -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 82.5 · main lineActual: Over 82.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Kauno Atletas 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Kauno Atletas under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Mazeikiai 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Mazeikiai over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Kauno Atletas +1.5Actual: Mazeikiai -1.5
KAUN +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
MAZ -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Spread Kauno Atletas +3.5Actual: Mazeikiai -3.5
KAUN +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MAZ -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Mazeikiai (regulation)
KAUN
no forecast
@ 2.37
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.00
MAZ
no forecast
@ 1.62

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KAUN win + total 167.5
🔒 Pro
MAZ win + total 167.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KAUN leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Kauno Atletas +8.571.4%1.46
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.36
---+12.7ppLost
Kauno Atletas +870.4%1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
----+9.3ppLost
Mazeikiai under 89.571.5%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+8.6ppLost
Mazeikiai under 90.574.7%1.33
1xBet
1.33
----+8.5ppLost
Mazeikiai under 91.577.7%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+8.5ppLost
Mazeikiai +4.570.3%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+6.6ppWon
Kauno Atletas +9.574.4%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+5.9ppWon
Overtime: no94.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+3.4pp-
Kauno Atletas over 75.572.2%1.28
1xBet
1.28
----+2.7ppWon
Kauno Atletas under 87.571.4%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+2.5ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.1
51.1%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.94.9
24.6%
31.3%14.7
🏀 Free throws22.513.7
60.9%
67.1%13.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
54.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
31.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.111.3
66.1%
67.1%11.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
LLLLLLLLLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLWLL
#18
League position
#16
-19.0
Net rating
-13.9
83.4
Offensive rating
85.4
102.4
Defensive rating
99.3
46.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
24.6%
3-point %
33.1%
60.4%
Assist %
50.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence83.4 · 85.4Defence102.4 · 99.3Shooting46.8% · 49.4%3-point %24.6% · 33.1%Ball care18.0% · 17.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 10%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kauno Atletas wins
3
Mazeikiai wins
Kauno Atletaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ATelsiai76-100
27/10/26ASuduva-Mantinga63-113
22/10/26AVytis VDU85-97
17/10/26HKretinga72-84
15/10/26AZalgiris Kaunas 283-107
10/10/26AAlytaus Patriotai75-86
08/10/26HVilkaviskis76-84
03/10/26HJurbarkas78-102
12/03/24AVilkaviskis85-92 OT
10/03/24HVilkaviskis69-79
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga85-109
24/10/26AUkmerges Stekas70-74
22/10/26HPlunges Olimpas72-80
17/10/26HNeptunas 277-90
15/10/26AKedainiai BC85-92
10/10/26HJurbarkas62-91
08/10/26ATelsiai72-83
03/10/26HRytas 275-72
01/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga70-86
23/03/26AJurbarkas72-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.075.376.4
Allowed / game96.690.0100.6
Point differential-20.6-14.7-24.2
Avg total172.6165.3177.0
Over 167.2562%33%80%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game74.274.274.2
Allowed / game86.388.483.8
Point differential-12.1-14.2-9.5
Avg total160.6162.6158.0
Over 167.2522%20%25%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas880100%90.173.5+16.6
2 Telsiai10100100%88.272.5+15.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga108280%93.080.6+12.4
4 Suduva-Mantinga75271%93.480.4+13.0
5 Silute75271%84.078.1+5.9
6 Omega-Tauras96367%88.783.2+5.4
7 Neptunas 296367%77.074.2+2.8
8 Vytis VDU74357%94.092.6+1.4
9 Plunges Olimpas95456%80.378.7+1.7
10 Vilkaviskis84450%82.583.9-1.4
11 Alytaus Patriotai94544%84.487.9-3.4
12 Kedainiai BC94544%78.282.2-4.0
13 Zalgiris Kaunas 2104640%95.797.1-1.4
14 Ukmerges Stekas93633%81.990.8-8.9
15 Kretinga91811%80.289.9-9.7
16 Mazeikiai91811%74.286.3-12.1
17 Rytas 29090%73.385.8-12.4
18 Kauno Atletas8080%76.096.6-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas2415242588
Mazeikiai2620321997
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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