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Kedainiu SC vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 99-88
25-23 29-24 17-27 28-14
Position#6
Record2-1
FormWWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaNKL· Sport Center
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kedainiu SC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kedainiu SCLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSC
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
88avg 87
H02/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
90-72
90
72
+18
83avg 87
A04/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
98-106 OT
98
106
-8
89avg 87
A09/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
25-13
34-30
21-30
15-18
26-16
28-20
21-18
22-17
24-30
28-26
18-19
184.3Avg total
94.0Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.090.3184.3+3.767%
Season at home (1)94.093.0187.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)94.089.0183.0+5.050%
Last 10 (3)94.090.3184.3+3.767%
Last 5 (3)94.090.3184.3+3.767%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)92.082.5174.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (1)98.0106.0204.0-8.00%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 76
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
105-72
105
72
+33
109avg 76
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 76
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 76
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 76
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
90avg 76
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 76
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 76
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
71-98
71
98
-27
60avg 76
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
108avg 76
H09/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-8
21-14
23-26
17-24
20-18
27-13
24-18
34-23
21-17
27-32
20-17
30-22
26-14
27-18
21-19
18-23
17-19
31-21
22-29
9-21
25-19
22-26
26-23
20-26
23-20
21-27
19-26
25-29
16-23
20-22
17-23
25-21
19-18
13-17
17-29
22-34
26-19
22-12
29-22
29-18
175.3Avg total
90.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.086.0171.0-1.033%
Season at home (2)92.080.0172.0+12.050%
Season away (1)71.098.0169.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)90.385.0175.3+5.350%
Last 5 (5)87.290.8178.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.589.7167.2-12.215%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.581.4162.8+0.136%
vs Weaker (6)93.878.7172.5+15.283%
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
Kedainiu SCKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H02/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A04/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A09/10
NKL
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (1)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
Last 30 away (2)43.540.584.0+3.050%-
Last 10 (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 5 (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.033.573.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)46.047.093.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A04/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H09/10
NKL
83.3Avg total
45.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.983.7+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.282.8+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.637.783.3+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.682.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.344.685.9-3.346%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.137.080.1+6.173%-
vs Weaker (6)45.740.085.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 92.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.7 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.326.3
60.8%
54.5%52.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.09.0
27.3%
32.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.0
62.9%
69.3%13.0
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.0
56.3%
54.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
32.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.8
71.5%
69.3%10.8
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kedainiu SC
LWW
Kretinga
WLLLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#9
+3.8
Net rating
+7.2
116.2
Offensive rating
117.1
112.4
Defensive rating
110.0
52.2%
Effective FG%
56.3%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.6%
41.7%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.3%
3-point %
37.5%
63.2%
Assist %
69.4%
67%
Form (last 3/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 117.1Defence112.4 · 110.0Shooting52.2% · 56.3%3-point %27.3% · 37.5%Ball care15.0% · 14.6%Off. rebounds41.7% · 30.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 3/10)67% · 50%
■ Kedainiu SC   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kedainiu SC wins
0
Kretinga wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AOmega-Tauras98-106 OT
04/10/25ASilute90-72
02/10/25HJurbarkas94-93
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HAlytaus Alytus106-71
04/10/25ANeptunas 271-98
02/10/25HVytis VDU78-89
08/03/25HVytis VDU88-102
06/03/25AVytis VDU93-94
01/03/25HNeptunas 279-90
27/02/25ARytas 292-74
22/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis98-88
20/02/25HAlytaus Alytus105-72
13/02/25HPlunges Olimpas93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kedainiu SC
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game94.094.094.0
Allowed / game90.393.089.0
Point differential+3.7+1.0+5.0
Avg total184.3187.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%0%50%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game85.092.071.0
Allowed / game86.080.098.0
Point differential-1.0+12.0-27.0
Avg total171.0172.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vytis VDU220100%85.072.0+13.0
2 Vilkaviskis440100%84.571.8+12.8
3 Suduva-Mantinga110100%81.080.0+1.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 243175%81.878.8+3.0
5 Telsiai32167%88.080.3+7.7
6 Omega-Tauras32167%92.788.7+4.0
7 Kedainiu SC32167%94.090.3+3.7
8 Jurbarkas21150%86.583.5+3.0
9 Neptunas 231233%86.781.3+5.3
10 Mazeikiai31233%82.082.3-0.3
11 Kretinga31233%85.086.0-1.0
12 Rytas 231233%86.087.7-1.7
13 BC Olimpas Palanga31233%76.380.3-4.0
14 Plunges Olimpas31233%82.087.3-5.3
15 Silute31233%79.790.3-10.7
16 Alytaus Alytus3030%74.792.0-17.3
17 Ukmerges Stekas2020%69.087.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kedainiu SC2529172899
Kretinga2324271488
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