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Neptunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 98-71
18-19 17-13 29-17 34-22
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game89.0
LithuaniaNKL· Klaip
Other2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Kretinga
21 Jan 2027
NEPT v KRET
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
NEPT86
KRET58
04 Oct 2025
NEPT98
KRET71
14 Dec 2024
NEPT97
KRET89
10 Feb 2024
NEPT96
KRET84
16 Nov 2023
NEPT74
KRET83
09 Mar 2023
NEPT92
KRET77
01 Dec 2022
NEPT67
KRET81
03 Mar 2022
NEPT83
KRET71
06 Jan 2022
NEPT65
KRET83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 72
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 72
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
28-17
12-27
20-25
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
18-16
26-21
23-25
10-22
22-17
15-26
21-18
24-24
24-27
24-13
25-16
22-20
19-17
21-31
29-22
21-9
19-21
15-17
19-24
16-19
16-19
22-24
22-26
20-14
21-30
18-23
25-23
17-15
168.5Avg total
84.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)84.384.2168.5+0.130%
Last 5 (5)83.082.0165.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar (21)80.681.9162.5-1.243%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.285.5171.7+0.733%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
75-77
75
77
-2
72avg 75
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 75
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 75
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
105-72
105
72
+33
109avg 75
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 75
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 75
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 75
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
90avg 75
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
80avg 75
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 75
H02/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
24-13
18-23
15-21
18-16
16-17
24-11
21-23
32-8
21-14
23-26
17-24
20-18
27-13
24-18
34-23
21-17
27-32
20-17
30-22
26-14
27-18
21-19
18-23
17-19
31-21
22-29
9-21
25-19
22-26
26-23
20-26
23-20
21-27
19-26
25-29
16-23
20-22
17-23
25-21
170.5Avg total
88.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.082.5170.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)86.089.8175.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.189.0167.1-10.917%
vs Similar (13)81.883.8165.7-2.031%
vs Weaker (5)91.480.2171.6+11.280%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
Neptunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/10
NKL
85.2Avg total
43.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.383.5-3.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.282.7+0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.945.484.3-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.985.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.484.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (21)40.742.883.4-2.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.345.089.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H02/10
NKL
82.9Avg total
45.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.684.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.540.483.9+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)42.142.985.1-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.782.9+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.145.487.5-3.350%-
vs Similar (13)42.738.080.7+4.762%-
vs Weaker (5)45.241.887.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.9
54.5%
54.5%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.7
30.5%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.117.4
72.2%
69.3%17.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.723.7
56.8%
54.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
32.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.410.1
75.4%
69.3%10.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
LLLWWLLWLL
Kretinga
LLLLWWWWWL
#4
League position
#9
+0.1
Net rating
+7.7
110.6
Offensive rating
114.4
110.4
Defensive rating
106.7
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.19
30.5%
3-point %
36.0%
65.0%
Assist %
68.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.4Defence110.4 · 106.7Shooting50.7% · 55.7%3-point %30.5% · 36.0%Ball care16.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas 2 wins
5
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Kretinga v Neptunas 279-90
14/12/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga97-89
19/10/24Kretinga v Neptunas 276-78
10/02/24Neptunas 2 v Kretinga96-84
08/02/24Kretinga v Neptunas 284-79
18/11/23Kretinga v Neptunas 290-68
16/11/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga74-83
09/03/23Neptunas 2 v Kretinga92-77
02/02/23Kretinga v Neptunas 285-77
01/12/22Neptunas 2 v Kretinga67-81
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25AOmega-Tauras81-91
09/03/25HVilkaviskis80-83
07/03/25AVilkaviskis69-81
01/03/25AKretinga90-79
27/02/25HSilute95-76
22/02/25HPlunges Olimpas82-85
20/02/25AUkmerges Stekas77-84
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
08/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis77-95
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/25HVytis VDU78-89
08/03/25HVytis VDU88-102
06/03/25AVytis VDU93-94
01/03/25HNeptunas 279-90
27/02/25ARytas 292-74
22/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis98-88
20/02/25HAlytaus Alytus105-72
13/02/25HPlunges Olimpas93-72
08/02/25ASilute79-67
06/02/25HUkmerges Stekas75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game91.0-91.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total172.0-172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vilkaviskis220100%90.071.0+19.0
2 Vytis VDU110100%89.078.0+11.0
3 Omega-Tauras110100%91.081.0+10.0
4 Mazeikiai110100%81.074.0+7.0
5 Silute110100%90.085.0+5.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2110100%90.088.0+2.0
7 Kedainiu SC110100%94.093.0+1.0
8 Telsiai21150%85.574.5+11.0
9 Rytas 221150%89.091.0-2.0
10 Jurbarkas1010%93.094.0-1.0
11 Alytaus Alytus1010%85.090.0-5.0
12 Neptunas 21010%81.091.0-10.0
13 Kretinga1010%78.089.0-11.0
14 Plunges Olimpas1010%96.0108.0-12.0
15 BC Olimpas Palanga2020%66.582.0-15.5
16 Ukmerges Stekas1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 21817293498
Kretinga1913172271
← all games of the day
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