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Kretinga vs Alytaus Alytus Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-72
20-18 27-13 24-18 34-23
Position#13
Record11-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#15
Record9-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game89.2
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus
07 Mar 2026
KRET101
ALYT97
09 Oct 2025
KRET106
ALYT71
20 Feb 2025
KRET105
ALYT72
31 Oct 2024
KRET71
ALYT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 70
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
57-72
57
72
-15
45avg 70
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
80-61
80
61
+19
83avg 70
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
100avg 70
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
88avg 70
A25/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
75-77
75
77
-2
72avg 70
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 70
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 70
H13/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
12-17
19-21
14-17
11-19
23-12
10-18
13-23
20-24
21-15
20-28
12-20
21-18
18-14
13-19
17-27
16-17
23-14
20-16
21-14
31-26
17-19
23-25
17-18
25-25
20-22
23-24
19-18
18-20
24-13
18-23
15-21
18-16
16-17
24-11
21-23
32-8
21-14
23-26
17-24
154.9Avg total
77.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.782.9161.7-4.233%
Season at home (17)78.181.2159.3-3.141%
Season away (16)79.484.8164.2-5.425%
Last 10 (10)77.377.6154.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.385.1159.4-10.827%
vs Similar (15)80.881.3162.1-0.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.280.0161.2+1.250%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
58-107
58
107
-49
28avg 68
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 68
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
38avg 68
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
56-69
56
69
-13
38avg 68
H11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
61-80
61
80
-19
44avg 68
H16/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
76avg 68
H18/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
73avg 68
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
75-103
75
103
-28
57avg 68
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
60-109
60
109
-49
39avg 68
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
78-111
78
111
-33
60avg 68
A13/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-35
16-21
15-28
14-23
25-17
17-25
19-23
14-23
9-30
11-14
21-8
12-28
17-14
13-9
11-22
15-24
17-16
14-23
16-20
14-21
14-27
27-27
28-21
14-15
27-22
18-18
18-25
19-19
13-27
15-22
19-27
28-27
15-34
17-24
17-22
11-29
19-34
20-30
23-22
16-25
160.2Avg total
68.1Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.889.2167.1-11.427%
Season at home (16)77.989.1167.0-11.219%
Season away (17)77.889.3167.1-11.535%
Last 10 (10)68.192.1160.2-24.00%
Last 5 (5)75.699.4175.0-23.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.889.3165.1-13.525%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -7.7-7.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -8.7-8.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -7.7-7.7
KretingaAlytaus Alytus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A25/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H13/02
NKL
75.1Avg total
40.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.482.5+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.281.2-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.175.1+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.080.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.184.6-3.545%-
vs Similar (15)41.338.179.5+3.253%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.541.883.2-0.250%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H11/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H18/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H06/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A08/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A13/02
NKL
80.6Avg total
33.7Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.382.1-4.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.441.280.6-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)38.345.183.4-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.746.980.6-13.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.053.090.0-16.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.843.581.2-5.732%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.5
50.1%
52.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
70.5%12.2
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.919.3
42.0%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.35.8
24.9%
32.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws17.611.6
65.9%
70.5%11.6
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WWLLWWLLLL
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLLLLL
#13
League position
#15
-0.4
Net rating
-30.8
99.0
Offensive rating
87.8
99.4
Defensive rating
118.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
40.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.8%
3-point %
24.9%
72.3%
Assist %
43.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 87.8Defence99.4 · 118.6Shooting48.1% · 40.5%3-point %29.8% · 24.9%Ball care18.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Kretinga   ■ Alytaus Alytus
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kretinga wins
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Alytaus Alytus v Kretinga61-80
31/10/24Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus71-79
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HPlunges Olimpas93-72
08/02/25ASilute79-67
06/02/25HUkmerges Stekas75-77
25/01/25AVilkaviskis87-89
18/01/25HSilute102-97 OT
16/01/25AAlytaus Alytus80-61
11/01/25HPlunges Olimpas69-78
09/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 273-87
05/01/25HJurbarkas57-72
21/12/24AUkmerges Stekas58-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25ANeptunas 278-111
08/02/25AUkmerges Stekas60-109
06/02/25HPlunges Olimpas75-103
01/02/25ASilute82-84
18/01/25HOmega-Tauras83-90
16/01/25HKretinga61-80
11/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 256-69
09/01/25AJurbarkas53-80
04/01/25HVilkaviskis75-88
21/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga58-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW33%
HomeLLWLW41%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %33%41%25%
Points / game78.778.179.4
Allowed / game82.981.284.8
Point differential-4.2-3.1-5.4
Avg total161.7159.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %27%19%35%
Points / game77.877.977.8
Allowed / game89.289.189.3
Point differential-11.4-11.2-11.5
Avg total167.1167.0167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai34241071%86.078.8+7.3
2 BC Olimpas Palanga34231168%81.473.3+8.1
3 Vytis VDU34231168%90.085.2+4.8
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 234231168%80.075.9+4.1
5 Jurbarkas33221167%82.079.3+2.8
6 Vilkaviskis34211362%83.478.9+4.5
7 Suduva-Mantinga34201459%81.476.9+4.6
8 Omega-Tauras35181751%81.281.8-0.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas33161748%78.877.8+1.0
10 Neptunas 233161748%80.180.4-0.3
11 Rytas 234161847%80.782.4-1.6
12 Silute34122235%80.884.0-3.2
13 Kretinga33112233%78.782.9-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas33102330%77.882.1-4.3
15 Alytaus Alytus3392427%77.889.2-11.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3352815%79.692.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga20272434105
Alytaus Alytus1813182372
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