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Kretinga vs Vytis VDU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-102
23-20 21-27 19-26 25-29
Position#13
Record14-24
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#4
Record25-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game85.9
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kretinga v Vytis VDU
28 Jan 2027
KRET v VYTI
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
KRET69
VYTI75
31 Mar 2026
KRET78
VYTI96
02 Oct 2025
KRET78
VYTI89
08 Mar 2025
KRET88
VYTI102
12 Dec 2024
KRET90
VYTI86
25 Nov 2023
KRET73
VYTI84
06 Dec 2022
KRET69
VYTI86
05 Mar 2022
KRET83
VYTI89
14 Oct 2021
KRET63
VYTI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vytis VDU winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
100avg 72
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
88avg 72
A25/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
75-77
75
77
-2
72avg 72
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 72
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
105-72
105
72
+33
109avg 72
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
102avg 72
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 72
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 72
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
90avg 72
A06/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
17-19
23-25
17-18
25-25
20-22
23-24
19-18
18-20
24-13
18-23
15-21
18-16
16-17
24-11
21-23
32-8
21-14
23-26
17-24
20-18
27-13
24-18
34-23
21-17
27-32
20-17
30-22
26-14
27-18
21-19
18-23
17-19
31-21
22-29
9-21
25-19
22-26
26-23
20-26
172.3Avg total
90.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)80.783.0163.7-2.437%
Season at home (19)79.681.2160.7-1.642%
Season away (19)81.784.9166.6-3.232%
Last 10 (10)90.382.0172.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)93.483.6177.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.187.7164.8-10.620%
vs Similar (14)81.483.4164.8-1.929%
vs Weaker (6)88.080.0168.0+8.067%
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVDU
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
103-97
103
97
+6
106avg 85
A23/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 85
A25/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 85
A06/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
95-87
95
87
+8
83avg 85
H08/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 85
A13/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
58avg 85
H20/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
90-83
90
83
+7
90avg 85
A22/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
90-103
90
103
-13
82avg 85
A27/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 85
H01/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
94-93
94
93
+1
90avg 85
H06/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
25-17
22-31
31-21
22-23
27-28
14-10
19-18
30-31
22-18
13-21
33-24
15-21
24-26
31-19
25-21
15-19
26-23
16-22
32-22
23-26
14-23
25-16
10-24
35-23
5-25
32-17
18-18
18-33
27-29
24-21
21-20
14-25
20-16
27-30
16-18
19-25
26-22
23-26
26-20
179.0Avg total
89.0Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)89.885.9175.7+3.966%
Season at home (19)89.384.8174.2+4.568%
Season away (19)90.387.0177.3+3.363%
Last 10 (10)89.090.0179.0-1.070%
Last 5 (5)84.691.4176.0-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.593.5185.0-2.050%
vs Similar (19)85.485.8171.3-0.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.182.3176.4+11.889%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
KretingaVytis VDU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A25/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H06/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A08/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H13/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H20/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A22/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A27/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H01/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A06/03
NKL
84.2Avg total
46.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.183.9+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.439.582.9+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.684.8-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)46.537.784.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.488.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.545.387.8-2.860%-
vs Similar (14)42.738.080.7+4.764%-
vs Weaker (6)43.541.284.7+2.350%-
This opponent (Vytis VDU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vytis VDULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A25/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H08/02
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A13/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H20/02
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A22/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A27/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H06/03
NKL
91.3Avg total
43.2Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.586.5+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.582.5+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)44.945.590.5-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.248.191.3-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.249.489.6-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.043.591.5+4.550%-
vs Similar (19)42.543.385.8-0.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.040.786.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.523.2
55.9%
52.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.1
74.5%
70.5%11.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vytis VDUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vytis VDU: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.8
59.9%
52.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.9
31.0%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
70.5%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWWWWWLLW
Vytis VDU
WLLWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#4
+10.6
Net rating
-1.8
113.6
Offensive rating
114.5
103.1
Defensive rating
116.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.3%
3-point %
31.0%
73.1%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 114.5Defence103.1 · 116.3Shooting56.5% · 54.8%3-point %38.3% · 31.0%Ball care16.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vytis VDU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kretinga wins
6
Vytis VDU wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Vytis VDU v Kretinga94-93
12/12/24Kretinga v Vytis VDU90-86
17/10/24Vytis VDU v Kretinga87-91
25/11/23Kretinga v Vytis VDU73-84
07/10/23Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-90
14/01/23Vytis VDU v Kretinga100-67
06/12/22Kretinga v Vytis VDU69-86
05/03/22Kretinga v Vytis VDU83-89
12/02/22Vytis VDU v Kretinga84-90
09/12/21Vytis VDU v Kretinga107-60
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25AVytis VDU93-94
01/03/25HNeptunas 279-90
27/02/25ARytas 292-74
22/02/25ADelikatesas Joniskis98-88
20/02/25HAlytaus Alytus105-72
13/02/25HPlunges Olimpas93-72
08/02/25ASilute79-67
06/02/25HUkmerges Stekas75-77
25/01/25AVilkaviskis87-89
18/01/25HSilute102-97 OT
Vytis VDUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HKretinga94-93
01/03/25HSuduva-Mantinga77-89
27/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 290-103
22/02/25AOmega-Tauras90-83
20/02/25HBC Olimpas Palanga72-89
13/02/25ATelsiai89-86
08/02/25HJurbarkas95-87
06/02/25AVilkaviskis98-94
25/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga82-79
23/01/25AOmega-Tauras103-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL37%
HomeWLWWL42%
AwayLWWWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %37%42%32%
Points / game80.779.681.7
Allowed / game83.081.284.9
Point differential-2.4-1.6-3.2
Avg total163.7160.7166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%21%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)50% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Vytis VDU
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW66%
HomeWWLLW68%
AwayWWWWL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %66%68%63%
Points / game89.889.390.3
Allowed / game85.984.887.0
Point differential+3.9+4.5+3.3
Avg total175.7174.2177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%26%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)50% (6)71% (7)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai37261170%85.178.0+7.1
2 Jurbarkas37251268%81.378.3+3.0
3 Vytis VDU38251366%89.885.9+3.9
4 BC Olimpas Palanga37241365%81.374.2+7.1
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 237241365%80.176.4+3.7
6 Suduva-Mantinga39241562%81.976.9+5.1
7 Vilkaviskis38231561%82.478.7+3.8
8 Ukmerges Stekas38201853%80.178.3+1.8
9 Neptunas 238182047%80.480.5-0.1
10 Omega-Tauras38182047%81.482.7-1.3
11 Rytas 239182146%80.782.5-1.7
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga38142437%80.783.0-2.4
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2321192588
Vytis VDU20272629102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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