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Keflavik vs Grindavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 24 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game87.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Grindavik
24 Mar 2027
KEFL v GRIN
upcoming
13 Feb 2026
KEFL99
GRIN105
29 Nov 2024
KEFL96
GRIN104
12 May 2024
KEFL89
GRIN82
04 May 2024
KEFL84
GRIN83
08 Mar 2024
KEFL74
GRIN87
20 Oct 2022
KEFL96
GRIN87
28 Mar 2022
KEFL78
GRIN70
25 Jan 2021
KEFL94
GRIN67
09 Jan 2020
KEFL80
GRIN60
18 Jan 2019
KEFL88
GRIN77
19 Oct 2017
KEFL93
GRIN88
18 Nov 2016
KEFL96
GRIN102
08 Feb 2016
KEFL88
GRIN101
04 Dec 2014
KEFL96
GRIN84
05 Dec 2013
KEFL77
GRIN63
08 Oct 2012
KEFL80
GRIN95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Grindavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 84
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 84
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 84
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 84
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 84
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 84
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 84
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 84
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 85
H09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
86-83
86
83
+3
81avg 85
A12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
76avg 85
H15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
109-102
109
102
+7
109avg 85
A18/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
64avg 85
H09/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 85
A16/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 85
H22/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
102avg 85
H30/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H13/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
21-16
13-26
23-20
22-27
18-15
21-17
25-24
26-29
21-22
21-18
21-25
31-19
17-26
36-27
25-30
18-18
20-15
15-23
27-35
26-29
28-16
14-17
6-19
29-24
23-22
25-22
21-24
23-13
29-28
19-27
23-26
20-29
28-11
29-20
23-21
25-20
15-16
20-20
24-20
179.2Avg total
90.9Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.087.3177.3+2.767%
Season at home (4)91.590.5182.0+1.075%
Season away (2)87.081.0168.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)90.988.3179.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)92.086.6178.6+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.691.7179.3-4.143%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.490.6179.0-2.260%
vs Weaker (18)90.885.1175.9+5.778%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.6-2.6
KeflavikGrindavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H09/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A12/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H15/05
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/05
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/10
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H22/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H30/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A05/11
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H13/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
46.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.744.288.9+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.341.587.8+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)42.847.490.1-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.388.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.690.8+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.944.085.9-2.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.847.895.6+0.060%-
vs Weaker (18)44.943.388.2+1.661%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.3
55.8%
56.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.513.2
33.4%
33.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
73.9%13.1
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
Grindavik
WWWWLLWLWW
#5
League position
#6
+2.1
Net rating
+2.3
98.9
Offensive rating
95.1
96.7
Defensive rating
92.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
33.4%
55.9%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 95.1Defence96.7 · 92.8Shooting50.7% · 52.8%3-point %29.5% · 33.4%Ball care11.7% · 13.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Keflavik   ■ Grindavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keflavik wins
8
Grindavik wins
DateGameScore
13/02/26Keflavik v Grindavik99-105
07/11/25Grindavik v Keflavik104-92
28/02/25Grindavik v Keflavik101-91
29/11/24Keflavik v Grindavik96-104
14/05/24Grindavik v Keflavik112-63
12/05/24Keflavik v Grindavik89-82
08/05/24Grindavik v Keflavik96-71
04/05/24Keflavik v Grindavik84-83
30/04/24Grindavik v Keflavik102-94
08/03/24Keflavik v Grindavik74-87
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSindri84-76
05/11/26AArmann100-81
30/10/26HNjardvik104-103 OT
22/10/26HStjarnan98-92
16/10/26AValur74-81
09/10/26HKR Basket80-91
18/05/26ATindastoll109-102
15/05/26HTindastoll89-94
12/05/26ATindastoll86-83
09/05/26HTindastoll85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Grindavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game90.091.587.0
Allowed / game87.390.581.0
Point differential+2.7+1.0+6.0
Avg total177.3182.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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