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Keflavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-87
26-33 13-15 24-20 19-19
Position#5
Record13-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record14-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game89.4
IcelandPremier leaguePremier League - Quarter-finals· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Keflavik
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 94.1
92.0▼ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 91.3
89.6▼ 1.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.2
19.8▼ 0.4
🔥 Form · Valur
5.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.7
83.0▼ 5.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.4
91.2▲ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
51%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.8
19.2▼ 0.6
KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
98-78
98
78
+20
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
99-105
99
105
-6
H13/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A19/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
106-96
106
96
+10
A06/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
A12/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A02/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
21-28
28-24
23-20
24-29
18-22
23-12
33-15
24-27
21-20
29-27
21-21
24-23
18-36
30-26
27-20
27-31
28-14
22-29
19-23
17-20
28-16
39-33
22-27
27-26
19-27
25-33
34-21
20-16
16-31
26-20
23-21
27-21
15-27
22-18
22-16
14-21
18-21
25-19
21-14
187.7Avg total
95.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)94.091.0185.0+3.157%
Season at home (11)94.585.6180.1+8.873%
Season away (12)93.795.8189.5-2.242%
Last 10 (10)95.891.9187.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)92.089.6181.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.194.1183.3-5.029%
vs Similar ◀ (14)97.195.9193.1+1.257%
vs Weaker (8)94.287.1181.4+7.162%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
108-87
108
87
+21
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
78-110
78
110
-32
A12/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A19/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H26/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H02/04
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
21-17
24-28
26-17
31-23
26-23
23-18
34-24
25-22
19-18
26-23
25-25
14-18
19-25
15-35
18-29
26-21
16-20
31-16
20-26
21-23
17-24
25-23
20-24
20-22
21-14
21-18
19-25
14-21
172.0Avg total
84.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.989.4179.3+0.461%
Season at home (12)88.786.6175.2+2.158%
Season away (11)91.292.5183.7-1.464%
Last 10 (10)84.987.1172.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.091.2174.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.587.8176.2+0.856%
vs Weaker (6)92.588.5181.0+4.083%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H13/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A19/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A06/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H19/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A26/03
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A02/04
Premier league
89.7Avg total
43.2Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.593.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.944.690.5+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.896.3-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.589.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.285.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.349.495.7-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.048.193.1-3.121%-
vs Weaker (8)48.146.494.5+1.862%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A12/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A19/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H26/03
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H02/04
Premier league
82.8Avg total
39.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.087.9-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.344.387.6-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)42.545.888.3-3.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.982.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.285.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)45.343.789.0+1.656%-
vs Weaker (6)41.043.384.3-2.333%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.8
53.0%
54.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.519.9
84.7%
74.2%19.9
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.924.1
53.7%
54.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.0
29.5%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.2
70.9%
74.2%11.2
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WWLLWLLLWW
Valur
LLWLWWWLWL
#5
League position
#4
+4.2
Net rating
-0.7
101.7
Offensive rating
93.7
97.4
Defensive rating
94.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
12.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.6%
3-point %
29.5%
66.3%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 93.7Defence97.4 · 94.3Shooting52.6% · 49.9%3-point %34.6% · 29.5%Ball care12.4% · 11.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
7
Valur wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26Valur v Keflavik75-78
19/03/26Keflavik v Valur85-88
12/01/26Valur v Keflavik93-94
11/12/25Valur v Keflavik111-91
19/03/25Keflavik v Valur67-91
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
24/10/24Valur v Keflavik104-80
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26AValur78-75
26/03/26ANjardvik86-82
19/03/26HValur85-88
12/03/26AKR Basket105-107
06/03/26AAlftanes106-96
19/02/26AAkranes IA96-97
13/02/26HGrindavik99-105
03/02/26HStjarnan107-110 OT
30/01/26AThorl98-78
26/01/26HTindastoll98-81
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26HKeflavik75-78
26/03/26HIR Reykjavik82-93
19/03/26AKeflavik88-85
12/03/26ANjardvik78-110
07/03/26HKR Basket92-90 OT
20/02/26AAlftanes108-87
12/02/26HAkranes IA102-85
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayLWLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%73%42%
Points / game94.094.593.7
Allowed / game91.085.695.8
Point differential+3.1+8.8-2.2
Avg total185.0180.1189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWWWLL58%
AwayLLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%58%64%
Points / game89.988.791.2
Allowed / game89.486.692.5
Point differential+0.4+2.1-1.4
Avg total179.3175.2183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %17%17%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tindastoll2419579%102.492.0+10.5
2 Grindavik2419579%93.289.3+3.9
3 Stjarnan2416867%103.994.4+9.5
4 Valur2314961%89.989.4+0.4
5 Keflavik23131057%94.091.0+3.1
6 KR Basket24131154%98.895.1+3.7
7 IR Reykjavik24111346%91.592.1-0.6
8 Njardvik2491538%94.995.8-1.0
9 Alftanes2281436%92.993.2-0.4
10 Armann2271532%87.999.6-11.7
11 Thorl2261627%89.096.6-7.5
12 Akranes IA2241818%88.6100.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik2613241982
Valur3315201987
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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