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Keflavik vs KR Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game85.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v KR Basket
11 Mar 2027
KEFL v KR B
upcoming
05 Dec 2025
KEFL104
KR B85
01 Nov 2024
KEFL94
KR B88
25 Nov 2022
KEFL91
KR B75
11 Mar 2022
KEFL110
KR B106
01 Nov 2021
KEFL84
KR B77
07 Jun 2021
KEFL88
KR B70
01 Jun 2021
KEFL89
KR B81
30 Apr 2021
KEFL95
KR B87
15 Nov 2019
KEFL66
KR B67
28 Mar 2019
KEFL64
KR B85
22 Mar 2019
KEFL76
KR B77
12 Oct 2018
KEFL85
KR B79
19 Nov 2017
KEFL85
KR B102
11 Apr 2017
KEFL84
KR B86
03 Apr 2017
KEFL81
KR B74
02 Dec 2016
KEFL80
KR B106
19 Nov 2015
KEFL89
KR B81
30 Oct 2014
KEFL67
KR B90
18 Nov 2013
KEFL70
KR B81
18 Oct 2012
KEFL83
KR B85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KR Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 85
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 85
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 85
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 85
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 85
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 85
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 85
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 85
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 93
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
87avg 93
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
80-104
80
104
-24
69avg 93
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
115-118 OT
115
118
-3
110avg 93
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
91-80
91
80
+11
80avg 93
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
88avg 93
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-74
108
74
+34
107avg 93
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
107-102
107
102
+5
106avg 93
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
102-94
102
94
+8
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-92
112
92
+20
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-28
24-23
9-24
22-22
20-14
32-29
23-27
16-12
29-32
22-21
13-25
16-26
29-20
26-25
25-27
12-20
18-18
15-20
23-15
35-27
18-24
17-17
27-26
22-6
18-26
35-11
27-23
28-14
19-22
30-20
33-28
25-32
28-20
23-21
22-33
29-20
21-23
29-22
32-33
30-14
189.2Avg total
97.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)100.785.8186.5+14.8100%
Season at home (4)102.885.2188.0+17.5100%
Season away (2)96.587.0183.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)97.691.6189.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)102.687.0189.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.4101.9198.2-5.525%
vs Similar (9)94.292.7186.9+1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)104.490.8195.2+13.792%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +4.2+4.2
KeflavikKR Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (KR Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KR BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A01/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/04
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H15/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H22/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A05/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H12/11
Premier league
92.0Avg total
48.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.346.196.4+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.543.493.9+7.169%-
Last 30 away (14)50.149.199.1+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.692.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.288.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)51.949.6101.5+2.262%-
vs Similar (9)47.844.191.9+3.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.045.695.6+4.458%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KR Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KR Basket: 96.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.324.1
54.4%
56.2%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.8
31.5%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.918.4
73.9%
73.9%18.4
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
KR Basket
WWWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+2.7
98.9
Offensive rating
96.3
96.7
Defensive rating
93.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
11.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
31.5%
55.9%
Assist %
69.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 96.3Defence96.7 · 93.6Shooting50.7% · 51.5%3-point %29.5% · 31.5%Ball care11.7% · 12.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Keflavik   ■ KR Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Keflavik wins
3
KR Basket wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26KR Basket v Keflavik107-105
05/12/25Keflavik v KR Basket104-85
31/01/25KR Basket v Keflavik97-93
01/11/24Keflavik v KR Basket94-88
06/03/23KR Basket v Keflavik94-87
25/11/22Keflavik v KR Basket91-75
11/03/22Keflavik v KR Basket110-106 OT
03/12/21KR Basket v Keflavik88-108
01/11/21Keflavik v KR Basket84-77
07/06/21Keflavik v KR Basket88-70
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
KR Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HHottur112-92
05/11/26AAlftanes102-94
29/10/26HSindri107-102
22/10/26HArmann108-74
15/10/26HNjardvik84-73
09/10/26AGrindavik91-80
14/04/26HStjarnan115-118 OT
10/04/26AStjarnan80-104
06/04/26HStjarnan91-82
01/04/26AStjarnan86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
KR Basket
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.7102.896.5
Allowed / game85.885.287.0
Point differential+14.8+17.5+9.5
Avg total186.5188.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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