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Keila Coolbet vs Parnu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Projected 72-86
Projected total 158.2
Scheduled
Position#15
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game91.7
Vs
12%
88%
■ KEIL 12%■ PAR 88%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Keila Coolbet v Parnu
22 Nov 2026
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
KEIL64
PAR81
10 Jan 2025
KEIL96
PAR98
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Keila Coolbet host Parnu in the Latvia-Estonian League. Pythia makes Parnu the favourite at 88% and projects 72-86, about 158 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Keila Coolbet are 0-10 this season (68.9 scored, 91.7 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Parnu are 4-4 this season (77.4 scored, 77.1 allowed a game), form WLWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila Coolbet win
12.3%fair 8.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu win
87.7%fair 1.14
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila CoolbetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoolbet
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
42avg 64
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
56-95
56
95
-39
39avg 64
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
77-85
77
85
-8
58avg 64
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 64
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
41avg 64
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
77-98
77
98
-21
61avg 64
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 64
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 64
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-92
65
92
-27
no box
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
56-97
56
97
-41
no box
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-21
20-26
16-27
15-14
14-24
21-22
6-35
18-21
23-25
20-15
16-24
13-28
16-15
21-27
18-15
19-22
20-17
11-25
10-17
23-23
12-32
28-27
14-16
14-21
19-21
18-27
31-20
22-22
16-26
25-28
14-25
17-28
9-21
21-25
18-18
13-34
23-16
7-25
13-22
160.6Avg total
68.9Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.991.7160.6-22.80%
Season at home (4)68.090.2158.2-22.20%
Season away (6)69.592.7162.2-23.20%
Last 10 (10)68.991.7160.6-22.80%
Last 5 (5)71.495.4166.8-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.795.1168.8-21.44%
vs Similar (3)83.786.3170.0-2.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 70
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 70
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 70
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 70
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 70
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 70
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
18-18
17-17
7-25
25-10
154.9Avg total
75.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.477.1154.5+0.250%
Season at home (6)78.274.8153.0+3.367%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.679.3154.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.483.3155.8-10.912%
vs Similar (7)78.476.3154.7+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
46.4%
Under 159.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5
Over 164.5
34.6%
Under 164.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
24.2%
Under 169.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Keila Coolbet total 79.5
Over 79.5
24.1%
Under 79.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila Coolbet total 83.5
Over 83.5
14.0%
Under 83.5
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keila Coolbet total 87.5
Over 87.5
7.4%
Under 87.5
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parnu total 77
Over 77
81.9%
Under 77
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parnu total 81
Over 81
69.1%
Under 81
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parnu total 85
Over 85
53.2%
Under 85
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Keila Coolbet -3
KEIL -3
8.3%
PAR +3
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
PAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Keila Coolbet 0
KEIL 0
12.3%
PAR 0
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
PAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Keila Coolbet +3
KEIL +3
16.7%
PAR -3
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
KEIL
No market prices yet.
PAR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -6.3-6.3Q4: +0.0+0.0
Keila CoolbetParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila CoolbetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
26-49
26
49
-23
A04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
79.2Avg total
34.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.646.484.0-8.817%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.045.684.6-6.625%-
Last 30 away (14)36.047.383.3-11.37%-
Last 10 (10)34.145.179.2-11.00%-
Last 5 (5)33.648.882.4-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.446.783.1-10.311%-
vs Similar (3)48.343.391.7+5.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
75.7Avg total
37.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.238.677.8+0.668%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.675.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.875.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.239.675.8-3.431%-
vs Similar (7)37.139.977.0-2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Keila Coolbet) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila Coolbettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila Coolbet: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.7
47.4%
52.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
31.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.610.1
57.4%
68.3%10.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila Coolbet
LLLLLLLLLL
Parnu
LLWLWLWWLL
#15
League position
#8
-18.2
Net rating
-2.4
83.1
Offensive rating
86.7
101.3
Defensive rating
89.1
46.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.2%
3-point %
27.7%
45.3%
Assist %
70.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence83.1 · 86.7Defence101.3 · 89.1Shooting46.6% · 47.1%3-point %30.2% · 27.7%Ball care13.6% · 15.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Keila Coolbet   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keila Coolbet wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Parnu v Keila Coolbet98-82
21/12/25Keila Coolbet v Parnu64-81
10/01/25Keila Coolbet v Parnu96-98
21/12/24Parnu v Keila Coolbet72-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTal Tech56-97
04/11/26ABK Liepaja65-92
31/10/26ABK Ogre77-101
27/10/26ARigas Juniori82-89
24/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo77-98
20/10/26AKeila KK60-81
11/10/26HVentspils68-85
04/10/26HLatvijas Universitate77-85
29/09/26AValmiera Glass Via56-95
25/09/26HRigas Zelli71-94
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTartu Ulikool67-70
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila Coolbet
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.968.069.5
Allowed / game91.790.292.7
Point differential-22.8-22.2-23.2
Avg total160.6158.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.478.275.0
Allowed / game77.174.884.0
Point differential+0.2+3.3-9.0
Avg total154.5153.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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