Parnu vs Tartu Ulikool Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 15:00

Projected 78-83

Projected total 161.5

In play

Position#7

Record4-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game78.1

Parnu

32%

68%

■ PAR 32%■ TUL 68%

Pythia win probability

Form · last 5 games

5.0/10

Around normal

4.5/10

Below normal

Tartu Ulikool

Position#4

Record5-3

FormWWLLL

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game76.4

Latvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall

Other2026

Meetings · Parnu v Tartu Ulikool

Sections

Game preview & prediction

Parnu will host Tartu Ulikool on 15 November 2026 in the Latvia-Estonian League, with the model favouring the visitors who are 5-3 and average 82.8 points per game while conceding 76.4, placing fifth, versus Parnu's 4-3 record, 78.9 points scored and 78.1 allowed, seventh. Parnu has a 4-1 home record, 80.4 points for and 75.8 against, and has won two of its last five, including a 89-80 victory over Ventspils, but also suffered a 65-86 loss to Keravnos; Tartu Ulikool's road record is 3-1, 86.8 points for and 80.0 against, and it has won two of its last five, though it lost recent games to Dziki Warszawa, Valmiera Glass Via and Wurzburg. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Tartu Ulikool winning nine and the most recent meeting on 23 March 2026 ending 89-88 in favour of the visitors. The model projects a 78-83 score, 161.5 total points, and a 32% chance of a Parnu win versus 68% for Tartu Ulikool; the home line is 4.0 with a 43% probability of covering, and the over at 157.0 has a 60% chance, with a 5% overtime probability. Tartu Ulikool's recent 89-88 win over Parnu suggests the visitors will likely maintain their edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu win

31.7%fair 3.15

Best odds3.00

Implied36.1%

Edge-4.4pp

Tartu Ulikool win

68.3%fair 1.46

Best odds1.50

Implied63.9%

Edge+4.4pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormParnu

Date

Competition

Keila KK

70-75

-5

60avg 70

H10/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Nancy

61-84

-23

54avg 70

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

VEF Riga

72-89

-17

63avg 70

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Vienna Basket

#32

86-69

+17

80avg 70

H22/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Latvijas Universitate

#14

91-77

+14

92avg 70

H25/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Nitra Blue Wings

#35

80-82

-2

74avg 70

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera Glass Via

76-74

73avg 70

H01/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Szczecin

#16

69-82

-13

no box

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Ventspils

89-80

no box

H07/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Keravnos

#18

65-86

-21

no box

H12/11

FIBA Europe Cup

24-21

12-19

11-20

23-15

18-28

13-15

10-12

20-29

19-17

15-19

17-29

21-24

14-21

24-16

24-17

24-15

24-25

19-16

29-14

19-22

12-32

20-13

26-20

22-17

13-16

24-23

22-22

17-13

21-18

14-14

17-30

17-20

23-17

22-22

20-21

24-20

21-17

20-22

11-15

13-32

155.7Avg total

75.9Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	78.9	78.1	157.0	+0.7	57%
Season at home (5)	80.4	75.8	156.2	+4.6	80%
Season away (2)	75.0	84.0	159.0	-9.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	79.8	155.7	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	80.8	156.6	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	72.8	84.2	157.0	-11.4	13%
vs Similar (8)	79.2	75.6	154.9	+3.6	50%
vs Weaker (7)	84.6	75.0	159.6	+9.6	86%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormUlikool

Date

Competition

Rigas Zelli

74-94

-20

61avg 80

H09/10

Latvia-Estonian League

MZT Skopje

#47

95-92

93avg 80

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Keila KK

89-71

+18

91avg 80

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

AEK Larnaca

#25

93-99

-6

90avg 80

A21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Tal Tech

65-41

+24

57avg 80

H24/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Iraklis

#11

101-100 OT

101

100

91avg 80

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

VEF Riga

86-74

+12

82avg 80

A31/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Wurzburg

#13

79-113

113

-34

no box

A02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera Glass Via

86-93

-7

no box

H07/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Dziki Warszawa

84-91

-7

no box

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

19-29

18-17

26-24

11-24

24-17

20-22

28-23

23-30

19-19

23-21

26-9

21-22

21-32

30-25

20-22

22-20

15-9

21-15

12-9

17-8

24-22

19-25

28-22

18-20

25-34

15-17

18-9

28-14

20-23

19-31

17-33

23-26

24-30

21-22

15-19

26-22

16-24

24-28

26-23

18-16

172.0Avg total

85.2Scored

86.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	82.8	76.4	159.1	+6.4	62%
Season at home (4)	78.8	72.8	151.5	+6.0	50%
Season away (4)	86.8	80.0	166.8	+6.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	86.8	172.0	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	94.2	181.4	-7.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	84.1	91.2	175.2	-7.1	31%
vs Similar (4)	89.2	82.5	171.8	+6.8	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	87.5	75.0	162.5	+12.5	90%

This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 153

Over 153

69.6%

@ 1.67+13.7pp

Under 153

30.4%

@ 2.12-13.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.67

Under

Pinnacle

2.12

Over/Under 158.25 · main line

Over 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 158.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 163

Over 163

45.6%

Under 163

54.4%

@ 1.53

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

Marathon Be

1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Parnu total 72.5

Over 72.5

70.2%

@ 1.52+6.6pp

Under 72.5

29.8%

@ 2.52-6.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.52

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.40

Parnu total 76.5 · main line

Over 76.5

55.5%

@ 1.87+5.5pp

Under 76.5

44.5%

@ 1.91-5.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.87

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

WilliamHill

1.80

Under

WilliamHill

1.91

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.80

Parnu total 80.5

Over 80.5

40.2%

@ 2.80+4.9pp

Under 80.5

59.8%

@ 1.42-4.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.80

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.36

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

Bet365

1.38

Tartu Ulikool total 76.5

Over 76.5

75.2%

@ 1.39+8.4pp

Under 76.5

24.8%

@ 2.72-8.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.31

Under

Betano

2.72

1xBet

2.71

Tartu Ulikool total 80.5 · main line

Over 80.5

61.4%

@ 1.85+9.9pp

Under 80.5

38.6%

@ 2.00-9.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

WilliamHill

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.70

1xBet

1.59

Under

Betano

2.00

WilliamHill

1.91

1xBet

1.89

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Tartu Ulikool total 84.5

Over 84.5

45.8%

@ 2.30+5.4pp

Under 84.5

54.2%

@ 1.53-5.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.30

1xBet

2.13

Under

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Parnu +1.5

PAR +1.5

34.3%

@ 2.70-7.8pp

TUL -1.5

65.7%

@ 1.60+7.8pp

Best 5 market prices

PAR

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.45

Pinnacle

2.20

1xBet

1.99

TUL

Pinnacle

1.60

1xBet

1.59

Marathon Be

1.48

Betano

1.47

Bet365

1.41

Spread Parnu +4.5 · main line

PAR +4.5

45.7%

@ 2.12-3.2pp

TUL -4.5

54.3%

@ 1.83+3.2pp

Best 5 market prices

PAR

Bet365

2.12

Betfair

2.00

Betano

1.95

Marathon Be

1.92

Pinnacle

1.91

TUL

Pinnacle

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

SBO

1.80

Marathon Be

1.76

Betfair

1.73

Spread Parnu +7.5

PAR +7.5

57.1%

@ 1.74+0.6pp

TUL -7.5

42.9%

@ 2.10-0.6pp

Best 5 market prices

PAR

Bet365

1.74

Betano

1.62

Marathon Be

1.61

1xBet

1.53

TUL

Betano

2.10

1xBet

2.09

Bet365

1.95

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ParnuTartu Ulikool

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.4	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (19)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.2	53%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	55%	27%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	47%	27%
vs Similar (8)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	38%	25%
vs Weaker (7)	23.9	18.3	42.1	+5.6	86%	57%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.4	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	22.9	42.4	-3.3	36%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.2	38%	69%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	23.9	44.6	-3.2	30%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	26.6	48.4	-4.8	20%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.0	25.3	44.3	-6.3	12%	75%
vs Similar (4)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	75%	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.8	18.3	41.1	+4.5	60%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.4	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (19)	19.2	19.8	38.9	-0.6	42%	63%
Last 30 away (11)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.6	27%	55%
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.7	19.5	37.1	-1.8	27%	53%
vs Similar (8)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	50%	62%
vs Weaker (7)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.1	43%	71%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.0	43.5	-0.4	43%	73%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	44%	88%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	24.6	44.2	-5.0	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.6	23.4	43.9	-2.8	31%	75%
vs Similar (4)	26.2	22.2	48.5	+4.0	75%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	50%	60%

ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keila KK

36-40

-4

H10/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Nancy

31-43

-12

H13/10

FIBA Europe Cup

VEF Riga

34-36

-2

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Vienna Basket

#32

38-37

H22/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Latvijas Universitate

#14

43-41

H25/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Nitra Blue Wings

#35

32-45

-13

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera Glass Via

37-39

-2

H01/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Szczecin

#16

35-32

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Ventspils

45-39

H07/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Keravnos

#18

41-39

H12/11

FIBA Europe Cup

76.3Avg total

37.2Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.25
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.7	50%	30%
Last 30 at home (19)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.5	68%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	35.9	41.5	77.5	-5.6	18%	18%
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.1	76.3	-1.9	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.3	39.9	76.2	-3.7	33%	20%
vs Similar (8)	37.4	40.0	77.4	-2.6	50%	38%
vs Weaker (7)	43.0	39.6	82.6	+3.4	86%	43%

This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rigas Zelli

37-46

-9

H09/10

Latvia-Estonian League

MZT Skopje

#47

44-39

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Keila KK

42-40

A17/10

Latvia-Estonian League

AEK Larnaca

#25

51-57

-6

A21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Tal Tech

36-24

+12

H24/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Iraklis

#11

43-47

-4

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

VEF Riga

40-51

-11

A31/10

Latvia-Estonian League

Wurzburg

#13

39-54

-15

A02/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Valmiera Glass Via

45-52

-7

H07/11

Latvia-Estonian League

Dziki Warszawa

40-52

-12

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

87.9Avg total

41.7Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.25
Last 30 (30)	42.4	44.2	86.6	-1.8	37%	80%
Last 30 at home (14)	40.0	43.1	83.1	-3.1	21%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	44.5	45.2	89.8	-0.8	50%	88%
Last 10 (10)	41.7	46.2	87.9	-4.5	30%	90%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	51.2	92.6	-9.8	0%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.6	48.7	88.2	-9.1	0%	88%
vs Similar (4)	49.5	42.2	91.8	+7.2	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.1	37.9	82.0	+6.2	70%	60%

This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

PAR win

no forecast

@ 2.55

TUL win

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Parnu +2.5 · main line

PAR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

TUL -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 79.25 · main line

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Parnu 1st half total 38 · main line

Over

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Tartu Ulikool 1st half total 41 · main line

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 1.82

1st half: PAR + total 78.5

PAR & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

PAR & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: TUL + total 78.5

TUL & over

no forecast

@ 3.05

TUL & under

no forecast

@ 2.85

1st half Over/Under 78

Over

no forecast

@ 1.76

Under

no forecast

@ 1.99

1st half Over/Under 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.25

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Parnu +1.5

PAR +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

TUL -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Parnu +3.5

PAR +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

TUL -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

1st half Over/Under 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Over/Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.70

Under

no forecast

@ 1.41

1st half Spread Parnu +0.5

PAR +0.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

TUL -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

PAR

no forecast

@ 2.62

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

TUL

no forecast

@ 1.62

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.6	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (19)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.6	42%	47%
Last 30 away (11)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	45%	73%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	20%	67%
vs Similar (8)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.4	62%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.6	71%	43%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+1.9	63%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	71%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.3	40.9	+2.3	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	23.5	20.9	44.4	+2.6	69%	69%
vs Similar (4)	18.2	21.2	39.5	-3.0	25%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	70%	40%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (19)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+0.9	42%	47%
Last 30 away (11)	19.3	21.4	40.6	-2.1	36%	45%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.7	40.7	-0.7	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.3	21.9	39.1	-4.6	13%	53%
vs Similar (8)	21.8	16.9	38.6	+4.9	75%	25%
vs Weaker (7)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	57%	57%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.0	41.2	+1.1	50%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.6	42.2	+3.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.2	20.9	41.1	-0.6	44%	50%
vs Similar (4)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	60%	70%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78
Last 30 (30)	38.7	39.4	78.1	-0.7	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (19)	37.7	37.4	75.1	+0.4	47%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	40.3	42.9	83.2	-2.6	36%	55%
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.7	79.4	-2.0	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	42.0	79.8	-4.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	35.6	43.3	78.9	-7.7	13%	40%
vs Similar (8)	41.9	35.6	77.5	+6.2	75%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.1	71%	43%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78
Last 30 (30)	42.6	39.6	82.2	+3.0	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	38.4	81.2	+4.5	64%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	40.6	83.0	+1.8	44%	62%
Last 10 (10)	42.3	39.5	81.8	+2.8	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	43.8	41.8	85.6	+1.9	50%	81%
vs Similar (4)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.5	25%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.9	35.7	77.6	+6.2	70%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PAR win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

TUL win + total 157.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: TUL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PAR:TUL): PAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Over 148.5	78.1%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+12.5pp
Tartu Ulikool +5.5	82.0%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+11.0pp
Over 149.5	76.3%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+10.3pp
Tartu Ulikool over 76.5	75.2%	1.35	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+8.4pp
Parnu over 68.5	82.2%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 63 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.1	21.8	50.6%	52.5%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	7.3	27.7%	31.4%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	15.1	10.2	67.5%	68.3%	10.2

They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

52%

30%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.4	22.9	54.0%	52.5%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.6	33.3%	31.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	20.5	13.5	65.9%	68.3%	13.5

They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	18.7	51.1%	52.5%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.4	37.0%	31.4%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.2	65.2%	68.3%	12.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	22.2	53.2%	52.5%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	7.9	28.8%	31.4%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	23.7	16.8	70.9%	68.3%	16.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	20.5	50.3%	52.5%	41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	8.3	30.2%	31.4%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	18.0	11.7	65.0%	68.3%	11.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.9	52.4%	52.5%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.4	33.1%	31.4%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.0	71.8%	68.3%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	19.4	50.2%	52.5%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	8.2	32.1%	31.4%	24.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.0	69.7%	68.3%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	19.9	49.7%	52.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.9	31.9%	31.4%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	22.9	15.0	65.4%	68.3%	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Parnu

LWLWLWWLLL

Tartu Ulikool

LLLWWWLWWL

League position

-2.4

Net rating

+0.2

86.7

Offensive rating

92.0

89.1

Defensive rating

91.8

47.1%

Effective FG%

52.5%

52.9%

Opp. effective FG%

49.3%

15.2%

Turnover %

15.9%

0.22

Free-throw rate

0.30

27.7%

3-point %

33.3%

70.8%

Assist %

68.9%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Parnu ■ Tartu Ulikool

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Parnu wins

Tartu Ulikool wins

Date	Game	Score
23/03/26	Parnu v Tartu Ulikool	88-89 OT
20/03/26	Tartu Ulikool v Parnu	80-71
04/03/26	Parnu v Tartu Ulikool	70-91
01/11/25	Tartu Ulikool v Parnu	83-71
14/01/25	Parnu v Tartu Ulikool	87-90
30/11/24	Tartu Ulikool v Parnu	94-91
13/05/24	Parnu v Tartu Ulikool	63-71
11/05/24	Tartu Ulikool v Parnu	75-78
09/05/24	Parnu v Tartu Ulikool	78-86
07/05/24	Tartu Ulikool v Parnu	80-77

Parnulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Keravnos	65-86
07/11/26	H	Ventspils	89-80
04/11/26	H	Szczecin	69-82
01/11/26	H	Valmiera Glass Via	76-74
28/10/26	A	Nitra Blue Wings	80-82
25/10/26	H	Latvijas Universitate	91-77
22/10/26	H	Vienna Basket	86-69
17/10/26	A	VEF Riga	72-89
13/10/26	H	Nancy	61-84
10/10/26	H	Keila KK	70-75

Tartu Ulikoollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Dziki Warszawa	84-91
07/11/26	H	Valmiera Glass Via	86-93
02/11/26	A	Wurzburg	79-113
31/10/26	A	VEF Riga	86-74
28/10/26	H	Iraklis	101-100 OT
24/10/26	H	Tal Tech	65-41
21/10/26	A	AEK Larnaca	93-99
17/10/26	A	Keila KK	89-71
14/10/26	A	MZT Skopje	95-92
09/10/26	H	Rigas Zelli	74-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu

Latvia-Estonian League 2026

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	57%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	5	2
Win %	57%	80%	0%
Points / game	78.9	80.4	75.0
Allowed / game	78.1	75.8	84.0
Point differential	+0.7	+4.6	-9.0
Avg total	157.0	156.2	159.0
Over 158.25	43%	40%	50%
Win by 10+	14%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	67% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tartu Ulikool

Latvia-Estonian League 2026

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	62%
Home	WLWL	50%
Away	WLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	50%	75%
Points / game	82.8	78.8	86.8
Allowed / game	76.4	72.8	80.0
Point differential	+6.4	+6.0	+6.8
Avg total	159.1	151.5	166.8
Over 158.25	75%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rigas Zelli	9	9	0	100%	93.7	74.1	+19.6
2	VEF Riga	10	8	2	80%	90.2	76.0	+14.2
3	Valmiera Glass Via	10	8	2	80%	89.8	76.4	+13.4
4	Tartu Ulikool	8	5	3	62%	82.8	76.4	+6.4
5	Ventspils	10	6	4	60%	86.1	83.4	+2.7
6	Tal Tech	10	6	4	60%	73.7	73.8	-0.1
7	Parnu	7	4	3	57%	78.9	78.1	+0.7
8	BC Kalev/Cramo	9	5	4	56%	85.1	81.9	+3.2
9	Keila KK	10	5	5	50%	74.3	81.6	-7.3
10	BK Ogre	9	4	5	44%	86.7	86.7	+0.0
11	BK Liepaja	10	4	6	40%	82.4	77.3	+5.1
12	Rigas Juniori	8	3	5	38%	80.0	88.5	-8.5
13	Viimsi	11	2	9	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
14	Latvijas Universitate	10	1	9	10%	76.8	91.6	-14.8
15	Keila Coolbet	9	0	9	0%	70.3	91.1	-20.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Parnu vs Tartu Ulikool Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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