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Kilsyth vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 108-81
28-28 22-19 27-16 31-18
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game101.5
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game110.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H17/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H18/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H24/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A01/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
98-90
98
90
+8
A02/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H09/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H15/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A03/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
83-109
83
109
-26
H06/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
24-27
19-24
25-10
28-9
27-15
19-16
19-28
26-25
22-23
25-25
23-24
27-23
27-20
13-23
10-21
25-14
26-31
31-26
16-19
28-22
19-29
23-14
21-22
20-24
16-13
16-13
15-27
18-28
26-23
16-17
26-19
18-25
15-30
14-25
18-14
20-27
27-26
14-24
22-32
172.7Avg total
84.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.0101.5175.5-27.50%
Season at home (1)83.0109.0192.0-26.00%
Season away (1)65.094.0159.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)84.688.1172.7-3.540%
Last 5 (5)78.490.8169.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)87.290.5177.7-3.342%
vs Similar (11)86.089.1175.1-3.145%
vs Weaker (7)82.383.3165.6-1.043%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
69-103
69
103
-34
A17/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H25/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A07/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A08/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
85-116
85
116
-31
A15/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
63-98
63
98
-35
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
98-115
98
115
-17
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
20-27
15-21
14-28
26-23
23-27
17-23
23-18
21-20
14-25
29-19
24-25
27-24
27-23
19-32
17-26
29-26
28-14
22-22
13-15
21-20
24-31
16-29
28-17
27-28
17-40
19-25
22-23
18-24
21-29
11-22
13-23
21-38
34-23
18-32
25-22
26-20
23-25
36-28
25-33
187.0Avg total
87.3Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.0110.5214.5-6.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)104.0110.5214.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)87.399.7187.0-12.420%
Last 5 (5)89.0106.4195.4-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)86.095.8181.9-9.829%
vs Similar (8)82.081.8163.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)110.0106.0216.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
KilsythKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H17/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
55-24
55
24
+31
H18/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A01/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A02/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A03/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H06/04
NBL1 South
91.9Avg total
46.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.745.991.6-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.642.888.4+2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)45.849.094.8-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.891.9+0.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.449.490.8-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)45.247.993.1-2.825%-
vs Similar (11)45.147.092.1-1.936%-
vs Weaker (7)47.640.788.3+6.957%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A17/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H01/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A07/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
44-68
44
68
-24
A15/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A09/04
NBL1 South
98.1Avg total
46.7Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.592.4-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.943.988.7+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)44.951.196.0-6.340%-
Last 10 (10)46.751.498.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.455.6102.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)45.749.795.3-4.038%-
vs Similar (8)42.242.184.4+0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)49.045.094.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kilsyth wins
2
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth98-89
02/07/22Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth87-82
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HKnox83-109
03/04/24ARingwood65-94
15/07/23HKnox86-87
09/07/23HEltham67-77
07/07/23AMelbourne Tigers91-87
02/07/23AFrankston98-90
01/07/23ADiamond Valley77-87
24/06/23HBallarat96-97
18/06/23HNW Tasmania93-68
17/06/23HNunawading90-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24ADiamond Valley110-106
05/04/24AFrankston98-115
16/07/23ACasey Cavaliers63-98
15/07/23AGeelong85-116
08/07/23AHobart Chargers89-97
07/07/23ANW Tasmania92-77
01/07/23HNunawading90-105
25/06/23HBendigo Braves88-89
24/06/23HDiamond Valley89-91
17/06/23AKnox69-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.083.065.0
Allowed / game101.5109.094.0
Point differential-27.5-26.0-29.0
Avg total175.5192.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game104.0-104.0
Allowed / game110.5-110.5
Point differential-6.5--6.5
Avg total214.5-214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania110100%85.061.0+24.0
2 Knox220100%109.088.0+21.0
3 Frankston220100%109.594.5+15.0
4 Nunawading220100%95.581.0+14.5
5 Mt Gambier220100%82.071.0+11.0
6 Geelong110100%81.079.0+2.0
7 Eltham32167%95.084.0+11.0
8 Dandenong32167%85.777.3+8.3
9 Ringwood32167%92.086.0+6.0
10 Ballarat21150%88.083.5+4.5
11 Bendigo Braves21150%88.085.0+3.0
12 Keilor Thunder21150%104.0110.5-6.5
13 Casey Cavaliers31233%81.089.7-8.7
14 Melbourne Tigers2020%78.088.5-10.5
15 Waverley2020%68.078.5-10.5
16 Sandringham Sabres3030%84.397.7-13.3
17 Diamond Valley2020%89.5109.5-20.0
18 Hobart Chargers1010%61.085.0-24.0
19 Kilsyth2020%74.0101.5-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kilsyth28222731108
Keilor Thunder2819161881
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