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NW Tasmania vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 77-62
18-13 14-8 21-23 24-18
Position#13
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game75.5
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 2
Other2022
Meetings · NW Tasmania v Keilor Thunder
26 Apr 2025
NW T98
KEIL53
07 Jul 2023
NW T77
KEIL92
30 Apr 2022
NW T77
KEIL62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW TasmaniaAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
94-68
94
68
+26
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A23/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
94-104
94
104
-10
H29/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H05/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H26/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
70-98
70
98
-28
H03/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A10/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
A11/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H23/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-22
22-27
25-13
24-16
21-17
25-23
33-14
15-14
26-18
17-12
25-20
30-13
28-23
17-20
22-26
27-35
23-26
23-29
21-13
27-13
24-16
24-16
17-10
17-28
20-34
8-23
9-28
33-13
22-20
19-11
20-22
16-18
15-24
28-16
14-28
29-18
17-15
26-19
12-13
18-20
167.8Avg total
88.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.279.6167.8+8.680%
Last 5 (5)80.480.4160.8+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.188.2168.4-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.584.6168.1-1.246%
vs Weaker (9)87.272.2159.4+15.089%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
19-11
22-8
21-20
25-17
22-28
15-24
157.5Avg total
82.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
Season at home (1)81.062.0143.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
Last 10 (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
Last 5 (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.075.5157.5+6.550%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
NW TasmaniaKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H15/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A23/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H05/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#7
L
28-57
28
57
-29
H03/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A10/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A11/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H23/04
NBL1 South
84.5Avg total
43.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.179.9-0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)41.938.380.2+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.184.5+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.643.281.9-4.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.239.380.5+1.962%-
vs Weaker (9)41.935.877.7+6.178%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/04
NBL1 South
83.0Avg total
43.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
Last 30 away (1)46.037.083.0+9.0100%-
Last 10 (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
Last 5 (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NW Tasmania wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/22HHobart Chargers73-67
11/07/21AMelbourne Tigers100-96 OT
10/07/21ADandenong77-71
03/07/21HGeelong70-98
26/06/21HBendigo Braves82-70
05/06/21HHobart Chargers94-81
29/05/21HMt Gambier94-104
23/05/21AKilsyth98-63
22/05/21AEltham94-68
15/05/21HDiamond Valley100-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/22AHobart Chargers83-89
23/04/22HBendigo Braves81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.081.083.0
Allowed / game75.562.089.0
Point differential+6.5+19.0-6.0
Avg total157.5143.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong220100%104.077.5+26.5
2 Frankston220100%96.078.0+18.0
3 Nunawading110100%66.058.0+8.0
4 Mt Gambier110100%101.095.0+6.0
5 NW Tasmania110100%73.067.0+6.0
6 Waverley110100%76.074.0+2.0
7 Ringwood32167%70.780.7-10.0
8 Keilor Thunder21150%82.075.5+6.5
9 Dandenong21150%88.083.5+4.5
10 Hobart Chargers21150%78.078.0+0.0
11 Casey Cavaliers21150%85.090.5-5.5
12 Kilsyth21150%69.075.5-6.5
13 Ballarat1010%96.098.0-2.0
14 Knox2020%62.066.0-4.0
15 Melbourne Tigers1010%79.084.0-5.0
16 Diamond Valley1010%95.0101.0-6.0
17 Eltham1010%58.066.0-8.0
18 Bendigo Braves2020%68.078.5-10.5
19 Sandringham Sabres1010%82.0111.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
NW Tasmania1814212477
Keilor Thunder138231862
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