PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keilor Thunder W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 93-70
31-23 26-14 13-11 23-22
Position#4
Record11-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#13
Record4-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game82.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W
14 Jun 2025
KEIL93
BALL70
03 Aug 2024
KEIL96
BALL75
04 May 2024
KEIL20
BALL0
14 Apr 2023
KEIL64
BALL54
28 May 2022
KEIL85
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
16-19
16-22
8-21
18-23
17-14
27-19
13-12
12-14
23-24
24-21
16-15
19-22
26-15
14-12
25-20
23-19
27-24
15-21
33-8
16-27
147.5Avg total
76.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.071.5151.5+8.585%
Season at home (6)83.267.0150.2+16.2100%
Season away (7)77.375.4152.7+1.971%
Last 10 (10)76.670.9147.5+5.780%
Last 5 (5)79.675.2154.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.590.5146.0-35.00%
vs Similar (9)71.267.9139.1+3.378%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.566.0147.5+15.595%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#17
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
77-55
77
55
+22
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
49-82
49
82
-33
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
56-100
56
100
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-19
26-25
28-21
17-19
12-27
16-25
24-15
23-30
21-17
29-17
15-16
19-25
10-13
18-10
18-26
18-16
22-16
22-11
15-12
21-29
6-13
7-21
15-19
17-22
18-22
18-22
18-20
12-24
17-33
25-23
18-29
13-34
14-20
15-22
14-24
15-17
20-16
5-15
26-12
152.5Avg total
70.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)70.282.8153.0-12.733%
Season at home (6)65.379.8145.2-14.517%
Season away (6)75.085.8160.8-10.850%
Last 10 (10)70.781.8152.5-11.140%
Last 5 (5)62.887.4150.2-24.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.782.9156.7-9.250%
vs Similar (7)75.680.1155.7-4.657%
vs Weaker (5)87.470.0157.4+17.4100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Keilor Thunder WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H31/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
77.8Avg total
40.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.436.476.8+4.066%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.335.277.5+7.187%-
Last 30 away (14)38.437.776.1+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.477.8+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.279.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.551.586.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (9)35.634.870.3+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.535.679.1+7.978%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Launceston W
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H04/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H11/05
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South Women
76.8Avg total
33.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.282.2-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.342.678.9-6.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.543.985.4-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)33.543.376.8-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.646.076.6-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.044.281.2-7.222%-
vs Similar (7)39.145.684.7-6.443%-
vs Weaker (5)45.636.482.0+9.280%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Ballarat W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers W91-80
31/05/25HCasey Cavaliers W88-66
24/05/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
17/05/25HWaverley W69-59
10/05/25AKnox W58-85
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/25ABendigo Braves W66-60
24/05/25HMt. Gambier W56-100
17/05/25ASandringham W72-109
11/05/25HDiamond Valley W71-86
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W49-82
04/05/25HLaunceston W77-55
03/05/25HWaverley W65-74
26/04/25AEltham W88-80
12/04/25AHobart Chargers W69-86
11/04/25ALaunceston W94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%100%71%
Points / game80.083.277.3
Allowed / game71.567.075.4
Point differential+8.5+16.2+1.9
Avg total151.5150.2152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%17%50%
Points / game70.265.375.0
Allowed / game82.879.885.8
Point differential-12.7-14.5-10.8
Avg total153.0145.2160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W12120100%90.866.6+24.2
2 Keilor Thunder W1311285%80.071.5+8.5
3 Knox W1310377%80.869.8+10.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W1410471%84.171.7+12.4
5 Diamond Valley W139469%85.778.3+7.4
6 Waverley W149564%76.369.9+6.4
7 Frankston W138562%74.368.3+6.0
8 Melbourne Tigers W127558%78.877.6+1.2
9 Ringwood W137654%77.572.3+5.2
10 Sandringham W126650%79.977.8+2.1
11 Nunawading W136746%68.174.0-5.9
12 Mt. Gambier W146843%71.475.1-3.6
13 Casey Cavaliers W145936%72.580.4-7.9
14 Ballarat W124833%70.282.8-12.7
15 Hobart Chargers W1441029%70.979.4-8.6
16 Kilsyth W1541127%68.980.7-11.9
17 Launceston W1431121%72.381.0-8.7
18 Bendigo Braves W1531220%71.181.5-10.4
19 Eltham W1221017%75.885.9-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W3126132393
Ballarat W2314112270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.