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Keilor Thunder W vs Ballarat W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 64-54
21-13 17-14 9-19 17-8
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#19
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game74.5
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2023
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W
14 Jun 2025
KEIL93
BALL70
03 Aug 2024
KEIL96
BALL75
04 May 2024
KEIL20
BALL0
14 Apr 2023
KEIL64
BALL54
28 May 2022
KEIL85
BALL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
60-81
60
81
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-22
25-18
19-25
24-16
28-14
15-14
18-29
22-22
25-22
8-21
12-15
13-15
21-13
22-14
21-21
19-11
13-19
20-5
24-11
20-31
27-27
21-17
14-17
11-22
24-15
12-21
18-14
19-22
31-13
23-19
18-11
22-9
13-19
16-17
7-19
12-23
12-22
15-20
21-16
146.5Avg total
74.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
Season at home (1)60.081.0141.0-21.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.072.5146.5+1.540%
Last 5 (5)71.274.8146.0-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.381.3151.7-11.017%
vs Similar ◀ (4)79.582.2161.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)79.166.9146.0+12.386%
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H24/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A07/08
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
69-54
69
54
+15
A12/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H14/08
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H01/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
64-95
64
95
-31
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
22-17
18-25
25-19
19-19
19-24
17-19
28-15
23-19
15-22
11-26
23-22
14-24
16-17
11-15
18-14
37-2
27-22
17-21
8-23
29-15
15-6
26-18
15-20
13-12
20-14
22-13
14-15
14-26
22-27
31-23
20-20
19-21
24-8
11-17
25-8
14-20
17-26
14-21
19-28
151.7Avg total
77.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.574.5146.0-3.050%
Season at home (2)71.574.5146.0-3.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.674.1151.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)76.871.6148.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.480.6151.0-10.230%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.271.6142.9-0.438%
vs Weaker (12)82.368.3150.7+14.083%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
Keilor Thunder WBallarat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat W
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A10/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H17/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H23/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#10
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H13/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#4
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/08
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#12
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H02/04
NBL1 South Women
77.2Avg total
39.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.741.480.1-2.848%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.438.676.0-1.258%-
Last 30 away (11)40.044.584.5-4.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.177.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.844.180.8-7.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)43.546.590.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (7)39.134.073.1+5.186%-
This opponent (Ballarat W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ballarat WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder W
#11
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/07
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/07
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H24/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#7
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A30/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#19
W
64-24
64
24
+40
H06/08
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#18
W
44-21
44
21
+23
A07/08
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A12/08
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H14/08
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#17
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H01/04
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo W
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
76.2Avg total
40.3Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.2+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.339.077.3-0.731%-
Last 30 away (14)38.536.474.9+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.976.2+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.435.072.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.741.174.8-7.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.839.276.0-2.538%-
vs Weaker (12)43.434.177.5+9.367%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Ballarat W wins
DateGameScore
09/07/22Ballarat W v Keilor Thunder W89-79
28/05/22Keilor Thunder W v Ballarat W85-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HKnox W60-81
14/08/22AKnox W58-64
13/08/22HCasey Cavaliers W91-65
06/08/22HGeelong W65-72
30/07/22ASandringham W82-92
23/07/22HDiamond Valley W76-46
17/07/22HFrankston W77-63
16/07/22AEltham W67-80
10/07/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-73
09/07/22ABallarat W79-89
Ballarat Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/23HBendigo W64-95
01/04/23HMelbourne Tigers W79-54
14/08/22HBendigo W87-96
12/08/22AMt. Gambier W69-54
07/08/22AMelbourne Tigers W85-59
06/08/22HDiamond Valley W89-68
30/07/22ANunawading W59-70
24/07/22HLaunceston W72-89
16/07/22HFrankston W83-77
09/07/22HKeilor Thunder W89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game60.060.0-
Allowed / game81.081.0-
Point differential-21.0-21.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ballarat W
NBL1 South Women 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game74.574.5-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Launceston W110100%92.053.0+39.0
2 Kilsyth W220100%72.554.5+18.0
3 Bendigo W220100%76.060.0+16.0
4 Diamond Valley W110100%84.073.0+11.0
5 Mt. Gambier W220100%82.571.5+11.0
6 Waverley W220100%83.575.0+8.5
7 Knox W21150%75.068.0+7.0
8 Frankston W21150%66.061.0+5.0
9 Ballarat W21150%71.574.5-3.0
10 Nunawading W21150%72.578.0-5.5
11 Dandenong Rangers W21150%67.576.0-8.5
12 Sandringham W2020%69.577.0-7.5
13 Geelong W1010%51.060.0-9.0
14 Ringwood W1010%72.081.0-9.0
15 Casey Cavaliers W1010%67.077.0-10.0
16 Eltham W1010%73.084.0-11.0
17 Melbourne Tigers W2020%66.082.5-16.5
18 Keilor Thunder W1010%60.081.0-21.0
19 Hobart Chargers W1010%53.092.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W211791764
Ballarat W131419854
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