PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keilor Thunder W vs Frankston W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 55-54
15-13 12-13 17-14 11-14
Position#4
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.7
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Frankston W
13 Apr 2025
KEIL55
FRAN54
17 Jul 2022
KEIL77
FRAN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
24-20
18-18
23-17
16-16
23-9
14-24
22-23
15-14
11-16
22-18
16-25
20-15
17-21
14-18
17-5
21-21
23-18
26-19
26-17
29-21
19-29
13-20
21-17
32-17
15-17
18-21
25-19
28-23
29-17
24-13
19-17
25-23
12-21
22-19
25-14
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
155.1Avg total
80.0Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.879.2161.0+2.575%
Season at home (1)100.070.0170.0+30.0100%
Season away (3)75.782.3158.0-6.767%
Last 10 (10)80.075.1155.1+4.970%
Last 5 (5)81.880.8162.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.096.0149.0-43.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.970.7143.6+2.171%
vs Weaker (22)80.565.7146.2+14.791%
This opponent (Frankston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
17-22
15-20
22-25
24-16
21-28
18-14
22-25
24-22
22-31
20-16
11-17
21-18
20-18
13-26
19-16
22-26
22-14
18-27
26-26
18-13
17-23
21-15
26-26
26-7
20-23
17-18
25-24
17-16
19-15
16-18
10-24
17-23
19-17
18-21
21-8
23-12
16-25
12-24
13-21
157.6Avg total
76.7Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.074.7141.7-7.733%
Season at home (2)63.077.5140.5-14.50%
Season away (1)75.069.0144.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.780.9157.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)74.274.6148.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.077.5150.5-4.533%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.280.1151.3-8.927%
vs Weaker (13)77.772.0149.7+5.777%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Keilor Thunder WFrankston W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham W
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H03/08
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/08
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
81.2Avg total
41.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.836.377.1+4.462%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.135.980.0+8.386%-
Last 30 away (15)37.636.774.3+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.381.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.091.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.062.099.0-25.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.636.070.6-1.443%-
vs Weaker (21)43.035.278.2+7.871%-
This opponent (Frankston W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Frankston WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox W
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#18
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A29/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H30/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#17
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A09/07
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#14
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H11/04
NBL1 South Women
80.2Avg total
40.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.173.1+0.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.434.771.1+1.765%-
Last 30 away (13)37.837.975.8-0.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.880.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.335.570.8-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.738.372.0-4.536%-
vs Weaker (13)40.634.575.2+6.185%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keilor Thunder W wins
1
Frankston W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
05/04/25ABendigo Braves W84-77
30/03/25HMt. Gambier W100-70
29/03/25ADiamond Valley W90-74
10/08/24HWaverley W82-87
03/08/24HBallarat W96-75
20/07/24HDandenong Rangers W68-59
13/07/24AKnox W64-73
11/07/24HEltham W75-72
07/07/24ASandringham W88-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HDiamond Valley W64-82
07/04/25ARingwood W75-69
29/03/25HSandringham W62-73
12/07/24HHobart Chargers W88-72
09/07/24ASandringham W82-77
06/07/24AWaverley W88-93
04/07/24HKilsyth W73-78
30/06/24HBallarat W77-86
29/06/24ACasey Cavaliers W85-83
22/06/24AKnox W73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game81.8100.075.7
Allowed / game79.270.082.3
Point differential+2.5+30.0-6.7
Avg total161.0170.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game67.063.075.0
Allowed / game74.777.569.0
Point differential-7.7-14.5+6.0
Avg total141.7140.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dandenong Rangers W440100%92.860.8+32.0
2 Geelong W440100%90.562.5+28.0
3 Knox W330100%87.366.3+21.0
4 Keilor Thunder W43175%81.879.2+2.5
5 Sandringham W43175%71.870.5+1.2
6 Casey Cavaliers W43175%68.571.8-3.2
7 Waverley W42250%73.871.5+2.2
8 Bendigo Braves W42250%75.879.0-3.2
9 Nunawading W42250%62.568.0-5.5
10 Hobart Chargers W52340%73.671.4+2.2
11 Kilsyth W52340%64.871.8-7.0
12 Diamond Valley W52340%78.485.6-7.2
13 Melbourne Tigers W31233%81.781.7+0.0
14 Ringwood W31233%69.770.3-0.7
15 Eltham W31233%70.775.0-4.3
16 Frankston W31233%67.074.7-7.7
17 Ballarat W41325%74.587.0-12.5
18 Mt. Gambier W51420%67.483.8-16.4
19 Launceston W5050%70.280.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W1512171155
Frankston W1313141454
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.