Kennesaw State hosts Austin Peay on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Owls the clear favourite, rating them 89% to win because their season record is 1-0, they average 116.0 points per game while allowing only 57.0, and they sit 11th in the league; Austin Peay also has a 1-0 record, 109.0 points per game and 65.0 allowed, but their league position is 31st. Kennesaw State's single game was a 116-57 home victory over Midway, and their last five games include four wins and one loss, with the most recent result a 116-57 win at home; Austin Peay's lone game was a 109-65 home win over Lane College, and their last five games contain two wins and three losses, with the most recent a 109-65 win at home. The teams have met twice before, each winning once, and the last encounter on 8 February 2024 saw Austin Peay triumph 85-69. Pythia projects a 87-74 score, a total of 161.1 points, a 77% chance the home team covers the -6.0 line, and a 58% chance the over on 157.5, with a 2% overtime probability. The game will end with Kennesaw State's 87 points.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kennesaw State winWon
88.6%fair 1.13
Best odds1.40
Implied68.7%
Edge+19.9pp
Austin Peay winLost
11.4%fair 8.77
Best odds3.10
Implied31.3%
Edge-19.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5Actual: Under 156.5
Over 156.5
60.7%
@ 1.76+6.7pp
Under 156.5
39.3%
@ 2.37-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathon Be
1.74
Bet365
1.74
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.02
Over/Under 161.5 · main lineActual: Under 161.5
Over 161.5
48.6%
@ 1.93-0.8pp
Under 161.5
51.4%
@ 1.90+0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5
Over 166.5
36.6%
@ 2.47-0.7pp
Under 166.5
63.4%
@ 1.47+0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Kennesaw State total 78Actual: Kennesaw State under 78
Over 78
83.8%
Under 78
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kennesaw State total 82 · main lineActual: Kennesaw State under 82
Over 82
71.7%
@ 1.87+21.9pp
Under 82
28.3%
@ 1.85-21.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Kennesaw State total 86Actual: Kennesaw State under 86
Over 86
56.1%
Under 86
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austin Peay total 72Actual: Austin Peay under 72
Over 72
56.1%
Under 72
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austin Peay total 76 · main lineActual: Austin Peay under 76
Over 76
39.8%
@ 1.87-10.0pp
Under 76
60.2%
@ 1.85+10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Austin Peay total 80Actual: Austin Peay under 80
Over 80
25.4%
Under 80
74.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Kennesaw State -9Actual: Austin Peay +9
KENN -9
67.3%
@ 2.35+27.7pp
AUST +9
32.7%
@ 1.54-27.7pp
Best 5 market prices
KENN
Bet365
2.35
AUST
Bet365
1.54
Spread Kennesaw State -6 · main lineActual: Austin Peay +6
KENN -6
76.8%
@ 1.93+26.8pp
AUST +6
23.2%
@ 1.93-26.8pp
Best 5 market prices
KENN
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.86
AUST
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Spread Kennesaw State -3Actual: Austin Peay +3
KENN -3
84.4%
@ 1.52+23.2pp
AUST +3
15.6%
@ 2.40-23.2pp
Best 5 market prices
KENN
Bet365
1.52
AUST
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Kennesaw StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 2nd half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Alabama
#341
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/02
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Stetson
#304
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H06/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Lane College
#429
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/11
NCAA
81.8Avg total
42.4Scored
39.4Allowed
2nd half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 84.5
Last 30 (30)
40.6
38.5
79.0
+2.1
50%
30%
Last 30 at home (15)
41.9
34.6
76.5
+7.3
67%
33%
Last 30 away (15)
39.2
42.3
81.5
-3.1
33%
27%
Last 10 (10)
42.4
39.4
81.8
+3.0
50%
40%
Last 5 (5)
44.0
43.6
87.6
+0.4
40%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)
35.0
51.0
86.0
-16.0
0%
100%
vs Similar (4)
36.8
45.5
82.2
-8.8
0%
50%
vs Weaker (24)
41.2
36.7
77.9
+4.5
58%
21%
This opponent (Kennesaw State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Kennesaw State win
KENN win
no forecast
@ 1.57
AUST win
no forecast
@ 2.40
2nd half Spread Kennesaw State -2.5 · main lineActual: Kennesaw State -2.5
KENN -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
AUST +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kennesaw State (regulation)
KENN
no forecast
@ 1.62
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
AUST
no forecast
@ 2.45
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Kennesaw State -8
70.6%
2.23
Pinnacle
2.31
Bet365
2.15
-
-
-
+29.1pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -7
73.8%
2.06
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.00
-
-
-
+28.6pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -7.5
71.5%
2.11
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
-
-
+28.2pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -6.5
74.6%
1.94
Pinnacle
2.02
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
BetVictor
1.85
-
+27.1pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -6
76.8%
1.90
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
-
+26.8pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -5.5
77.5%
1.81
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
BetVictor
1.78
+25.0pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -5
79.7%
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.71
-
-
+24.9pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -3.5
82.8%
1.58
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
+24.5pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -4
82.3%
1.62
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
-
-
-
+23.7pp
Lost
Kennesaw State (regulation)
87.0%
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathon Bet
1.41
-
-
-
+23.6pp
Won
Kennesaw State -4.5
80.2%
1.69
Betano
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
-
+23.3pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -3
84.4%
1.52
Bet365
1.52
-
-
-
-
+23.2pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -2.5
84.8%
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+22.9pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -2
86.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
-
+22.3pp
Push
Kennesaw State -1.5
87.2%
1.42
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+22.1pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 82
71.7%
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+21.9pp
Lost
Kennesaw State -1
88.4%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+20.7pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 80.5
75.9%
1.59
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+20.1pp
Lost
Kennesaw State win
88.6%
1.38
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathon Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.37
+19.9pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 81.5
72.6%
1.74
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.57
-
+19.5pp
Lost
Kennesaw State +1
89.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+19.0pp
Won
Kennesaw State +1.5
89.8%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+18.9pp
Won
Kennesaw State +2.5
91.4%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 76.5
86.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Lost
Kennesaw State +2
91.2%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+16.9pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 78.5
81.7%
1.41
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Kennesaw State over 77.5
84.2%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Lost
Austin Peay under 79.5
72.3%
1.60
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
Kennesaw State +4.5
93.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Won
Kennesaw State over 79.5
78.9%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Lost
Austin Peay under 80.5
75.4%
1.44
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+11.8pp
Won
Kennesaw State +9.5
97.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Kennesaw State +14.5
98.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Over 151
73.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
Over 152
71.4%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Lost
Overtime: no
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
-
Over 150
75.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Lost
Over 151.5
72.0%
1.39
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Lost
Over 150.5
74.0%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Lost
Over 149.5
76.0%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Lost
Over 147.5
79.7%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+4.4pp
Lost
Over 132.5
96.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Over 137.5
92.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Won
Over 142.5
87.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Lost
Austin Peay over 58.5
93.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Under 182.5
90.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Kennesaw State under 101.5
92.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Kennesaw State under 100.5
90.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Austin Peay over 60.5
90.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Under 177.5
84.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Austin Peay over 62.5
86.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Kennesaw State under 98.5
86.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Austin Peay over 65.5
78.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.3pp
Won
Under 172.5
76.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-7.0pp
Won
Austin Peay over 64.5
81.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Kennesaw State under 96.5
81.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.4pp
Won
Austin Peay over 66.5
75.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-10.4pp
Won
Kennesaw State under 94.5
76.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-11.0pp
Won
Austin Peay +20.5
72.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-14.1pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.