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Kent State vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-64
39-27 37-37
Position#199
Record13-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#362
Record4-23
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game79.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kent State v Buffalo
02 Jan 2027
KENT v BUFF
upcoming
27 Feb 2024
KENT76
BUFF64
27 Jan 2023
KENT74
BUFF68
04 Mar 2022
KENT70
BUFF65
19 Jan 2021
KENT84
BUFF81
21 Feb 2020
KENT98
BUFF104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
83-52
83
52
+31
A02/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
85-47
85
47
+38
H17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
49-41
35-35
39-39
32-33
32-38
24-39
43-32
51-22
32-30
27-25
36-36
29-37
39-41
44-26
41-21
33-27
24-36
27-32
43-51
140.5Avg total
71.8Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.972.0147.9+3.948%
Season at home (15)80.372.5152.8+7.953%
Season away (12)70.271.4141.7-1.242%
Last 10 (10)71.868.7140.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)68.666.4135.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.7159.7-11.70%
vs Similar (15)74.275.5149.7-1.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.765.4144.1+13.473%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#226
L
59-87
59
87
-28
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
62-73
62
73
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
28-42
33-35
32-40
26-41
44-50
22-51
30-32
26-34
47-53
45-33
27-39
34-31
34-41
32-26
30-47
33-31
45-38
32-47
40-44
149.0Avg total
68.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.879.8147.6-12.015%
Season at home (13)68.181.4149.5-13.315%
Season away (14)67.678.3145.9-10.714%
Last 10 (10)68.180.9149.0-12.820%
Last 5 (5)72.477.2149.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)67.480.4147.8-13.111%
vs Similar (2)76.569.0145.5+7.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: -6.0-6.02nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -6.9-6.9
Kent StateBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H20/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H31/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A02/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/02
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.168.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.933.069.9+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.133.267.4+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)32.431.263.6+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.461.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.739.768.3-11.00%-
vs Similar (15)33.334.167.4-0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.630.070.6+10.682%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#226
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/01
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A31/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
22-51
22
51
-29
H02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A24/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
31.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.137.568.6-6.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.439.670.9-8.229%-
Last 30 away (16)30.935.766.6-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)31.437.468.8-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.137.767.8-7.722%-
vs Similar (2)35.532.067.5+3.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kent State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kent State wins
3
Buffalo wins
DateGameScore
02/02/24Buffalo v Kent State52-83
10/02/23Buffalo v Kent State65-72
28/01/23Kent State v Buffalo74-68
04/03/22Kent State v Buffalo70-65
22/01/22Buffalo v Kent State64-51
05/03/21Buffalo v Kent State81-67
19/01/21Kent State v Buffalo84-81
22/02/20Kent State v Buffalo98-104 OT
24/01/20Buffalo v Kent State66-70
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/24AAkron70-83
21/02/24AOhio57-63
17/02/24HNorthern Illinois85-47
10/02/24HTroy68-78
07/02/24HWestern Michigan63-61
02/02/24ABuffalo83-52
31/01/24HMiami (Ohio)67-71
26/01/24HOhio64-71
24/01/24ABowling Green90-84 OT
20/01/24HAkron71-77
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AWestern Michigan72-91
21/02/24HEastern Michigan78-69
17/02/24HAkron62-73
14/02/24ANorthern Illinois68-72
10/02/24AGeorgia Southern82-81 OT
07/02/24ABowling Green73-87
02/02/24HKent State52-83
31/01/24AOhio70-91
27/01/24AEastern Michigan65-75
24/01/24HBall State59-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %48%53%42%
Points / game75.980.370.2
Allowed / game72.072.571.4
Point differential+3.9+7.9-1.2
Avg total147.9152.8141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%7%17%
Buffalo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL15%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%15%14%
Points / game67.868.167.6
Allowed / game79.881.478.3
Point differential-12.0-13.3-10.7
Avg total147.6149.5145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2720774%75.065.0+10.0
2 UMass27171063%79.271.6+7.6
3 Bowling Green27171063%75.271.9+3.3
4 Toledo27171063%80.077.1+3.0
5 Central Michigan27161159%66.470.1-3.7
6 Ohio27151256%78.471.8+6.6
7 Miami (Ohio)26131350%72.870.4+2.4
8 Kent State27131448%75.972.0+3.9
9 Ball State27131448%73.370.4+2.9
10 Eastern Michigan27111641%67.374.4-7.1
11 Western Michigan27101737%71.374.5-3.1
12 Northern Illinois2791833%73.378.1-4.8
13 Buffalo2742315%67.879.8-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State393776
Buffalo273764
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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